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The World in 2030

The World in 2030

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182 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

the surface of the Earth and its oceans (produc<strong>in</strong>g oil, coal<br />

and gas, <strong>in</strong> the ma<strong>in</strong>). <strong>The</strong> compressed rema<strong>in</strong>s of these<br />

energy-rich organisms are called ‘fossil fuels’ and, because<br />

a) they have been relatively easy to m<strong>in</strong>e and, b) we haven’t<br />

realised until recently the effects of releas<strong>in</strong>g the carbon they<br />

conta<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>to the atmosphere as we consume them, we have<br />

burnt them <strong>in</strong>discrim<strong>in</strong>ately.<br />

Today, fossil fuels provide about 80 per cent of the<br />

world’s energy 345 and most commentators believe that by<br />

the year <strong>2030</strong> the world will still be obta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the majority<br />

of its energy from such fuels.<br />

In ascend<strong>in</strong>g order of ‘dirtyness’ (<strong>in</strong> carbon terms),<br />

these fossil fuels are, natural gas, oil and coal. Oil and gas<br />

reserves are spread very unevenly <strong>in</strong> the world which, for the<br />

moment, gives those nations with the largest reserves great<br />

economic and political power. Coal on the other hand is<br />

widely distributed around the planet and is the much-used<br />

and easy antidote to the power wielded by the oil and gas<br />

nations, currently supply<strong>in</strong>g (by one estimate) 24 per cent 346<br />

of the world’s energy needs. For political reasons coal is a<br />

favourite of many governments, even if it is often the most<br />

pollut<strong>in</strong>g form of fuel.<br />

<strong>The</strong> United States is plann<strong>in</strong>g to build many more coalfired<br />

power stations <strong>in</strong> an attempt to reduce its dependence<br />

on energy imports. As <strong>The</strong> Christian Science Monitor<br />

reported <strong>in</strong> February 2004:<br />

After 25 years on the blacklist of America’s energy<br />

sources, coal is poised to make a comeback, stoked

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