The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
The World in 2030 175 is claimed that China is far more aware of the need for a switch to renewable energy sources than most people in the West believe. Writing in The Birmingham Post two analysts of China’s energy policy reported in September 2006: The Chinese Government has devised a comprehensive renewable energy strategy designed to make power generation from renewable energy sources as economically competitive as coal-fired power generation. In 2003, renewable energy consumption accounted for only 3 per cent of China’s total energy consumption. The Renewables Law seeks to increase the proportion to 10 per cent by 2020, repre sen - ting a significant rise particularly given the rapid and continuing increase in China’s overall power consumption. 335 And The Economist reported 336 in June 2007 that solar power already heats about 80 per cent of China’s hot water supply – an astonishing statistic. In Eastern Europe there is plenty of potential renewable energy available but, as the International Herald Tribune reported in March 2007 there is, at present, a reluctance to begin the shift away from fossil fuels: Sun-baked Bulgaria, windy Poland and farm-rich Hungary have thousands of megawatts in untapped renewable energy that the European Union wants used to fight global warming.
176 The World in 2030 But eastern Europe remains heavily dependent on fossil fuels, causing friction between older and newer EU members as the bloc pushes an ambitious plan to boost its reliance on green energy. About 94 per cent of the electricity for coal-rich Poland comes from coal-fired plants, a major source of the carbon emissions that contribute to global warming. But in Poland, for example, leaders are disinclined to cut coal use, which helps limit dependence on Russian oil and gas. And with a 15 per cent unemployment rate — the EU’s highest — cutting jobs in an industry that employs roughly 200,000 people could be political suicide. 337 And in this incomplete and somewhat eclectic glance at attitudes and energy policies around the world it is worth noting that Denmark produces more than 20 per cent of its energy from wind sources today. By 2025 that figure will be more than 50 per cent. The UK produces 3 per cent of its power from wind today and the government’s announced targets stipulate that will be 10 per cent by 2010 and 15 per cent by 2015. 338 In Germany renewable energies made up 4.6 per cent of total primary energy supply in 2005, and the share of renewable energies in the total gross electricity consumption rose to 10.2 per cent. And in July 2007 German environment minister Sigmar Gabriel announced that by 2030 Germany intends to source 45 per cent of its energy requirements from renewable sources. 339
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176 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />
But eastern Europe rema<strong>in</strong>s heavily dependent on<br />
fossil fuels, caus<strong>in</strong>g friction between older and newer<br />
EU members as the bloc pushes an ambitious plan to<br />
boost its reliance on green energy.<br />
About 94 per cent of the electricity for coal-rich Poland<br />
comes from coal-fired plants, a major source of the carbon<br />
emissions that contribute to global warm<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
But <strong>in</strong> Poland, for example, leaders are dis<strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ed to<br />
cut coal use, which helps limit dependence on Russian<br />
oil and gas. And with a 15 per cent unemployment<br />
rate — the EU’s highest — cutt<strong>in</strong>g jobs <strong>in</strong> an<br />
<strong>in</strong>dustry that employs roughly 200,000 people could<br />
be political suicide. 337<br />
And <strong>in</strong> this <strong>in</strong>complete and somewhat eclectic glance at<br />
attitudes and energy policies around the world it is worth<br />
not<strong>in</strong>g that Denmark produces more than 20 per cent of its<br />
energy from w<strong>in</strong>d sources today. By 2025 that figure will be<br />
more than 50 per cent. <strong>The</strong> UK produces 3 per cent of its<br />
power from w<strong>in</strong>d today and the government’s announced<br />
targets stipulate that will be 10 per cent by 2010 and 15 per<br />
cent by 2015. 338<br />
In Germany renewable energies made up 4.6 per cent<br />
of total primary energy supply <strong>in</strong> 2005, and the share of<br />
renewable energies <strong>in</strong> the total gross electricity consumption<br />
rose to 10.2 per cent. And <strong>in</strong> July 2007 German environment<br />
m<strong>in</strong>ister Sigmar Gabriel announced that by <strong>2030</strong> Germany<br />
<strong>in</strong>tends to source 45 per cent of its energy requirements from<br />
renewable sources. 339