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The World in 2030

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172 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

of European energy supplies as only a flexible and open<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternal market – ready both to import and export power<br />

at a moment’s notice – can weather the vagaries of the<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational energy market.<br />

Yet despite the apparently obvious benefits of an open<br />

and deregulated energy market across the European Union,<br />

the Commission is struggl<strong>in</strong>g aga<strong>in</strong>st real opposition from<br />

the governments of its member states. As <strong>The</strong> Economist<br />

reported <strong>in</strong> April 2007:<br />

<strong>The</strong> European Commission has been urg<strong>in</strong>g EU<br />

members to break up their vertically <strong>in</strong>tegrated energy<br />

companies, but France and Germany are resist<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

<strong>The</strong> problem, says the commission, is that national<br />

governments do not understand the l<strong>in</strong>k between liberalisation<br />

and greater energy security. ‘New member<br />

states equate security with nationalism. But the only<br />

alternative to <strong>in</strong>tegration is isolation,’ says one senior<br />

EU official. 328<br />

<strong>The</strong> EU Commission also plans to meet the need for a hugely<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased energy demand whilst aim<strong>in</strong>g to reduce overall<br />

carbon emission by 30 per cent by <strong>2030</strong>. Energy officials <strong>in</strong><br />

the Commission are certa<strong>in</strong> that this can be done.<br />

‘We have to educate the public about energy conservation<br />

and we have to reorganise the distribution system for<br />

electricity with<strong>in</strong> Europe,’ a senior energy official <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Commission told me. ‘Power generation must move closer<br />

to the po<strong>in</strong>t of consumption to reduce waste. We also have<br />

to make the consumers aware of the real cost of energy.’

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