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The World in 2030

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<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 171<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce 1979 the National Coal Board, British Gas<br />

and the Central Electricity Generat<strong>in</strong>g Board have<br />

all been broken up. Energy trad<strong>in</strong>g, electricity pools,<br />

auctions and futures markets first developed, but<br />

they failed to solve the old energy policy problems<br />

of security of supply and network <strong>in</strong>tegrity, and the<br />

new ones of the environment and reliance on gas.<br />

<strong>The</strong> government <strong>in</strong>troduced a new regulatory regime<br />

as a temporary necessity but regulation did not wither<br />

away, rather it grew to be more pervasive. Chang<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the ownership of the <strong>in</strong>dustries did not reduce the government’s<br />

<strong>in</strong>volvement, it simply changed its form. 325<br />

And as Mike Childs, Head of Campaigns for Friends of the<br />

Earth told me bluntly, ‘Energy policy is the s<strong>in</strong>gle biggest<br />

failure of market forces <strong>in</strong> our economy’.<br />

This is a cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g problem. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Dieter Helm,<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2007 the current British government is <strong>in</strong> danger of fail<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to develop an adequate energy policy for the future, so much<br />

so that ‘by 2010 there is a danger that Brita<strong>in</strong> will face a<br />

severe shortage of energy.’ 326<br />

<strong>The</strong> USA followed Brita<strong>in</strong>’s lead and from 1996 onwards<br />

began deregulat<strong>in</strong>g and, to some extent, privatis<strong>in</strong>g energy<br />

generation and supply. But the <strong>in</strong>ternational energy <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>s wholly under the control of politicians who have<br />

their own national <strong>in</strong>terests as their top priorities. Less than<br />

4 per cent of the electricity generated <strong>in</strong> Europe is exported<br />

between EU nations. 327 This <strong>in</strong>flexibility <strong>in</strong> the European<br />

energy market has grave consequences for the future security

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