The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
The World in 2030 121 As Jeremy Rifkin explains in ‘The Hydrogen Economy’: One third of the world’s agricultural land has been converted from growing food grains for human consumption to growing feed grain for cattle and other livestock. Cattle production is now the most energyconsuming agricultural activity in the world. It takes the equivalent of a gallon of gasoline to produce a pound of grain-fed beef in the US. To sustain the yearly beef requirements of an average family of four people requires the consumption of more than 260 gallons of fossil fuel. When that fuel is burned, it releases 2.5 tons of additional CO 2 into the atmosphere – as much CO 2 as the average car emits in six months of normal operation. Shipping Shipping is a transport sector producing significant carbon emissions but one which is rarely discussed (and one which is often omitted from domestic climate change recommendations and legislation). But, although relatively small, shipping is the fastest growing of all transport sectors, according to The Economist: World merchandise trade (shipping) is growing at 15 per cent a year. Trade between China, India, America and Europe accounts for 65 per cent of the 250mplus containers moved around the world each year. Freight rates rose by nearly one-third in the four
122 The World in 2030 years to the peak of the cycle in the third quarter of 2005. That led to a splurge in orders for new, larger ships. 239 Perhaps one of the best places in the world to witness for yourself the impact of ships’ greenhouse gas emissions is Istanbul. The beautiful old city sits either side of the narrowest shipping lane in the world, the Bosphorus, a strait which links the almost completely enclosed Black sea to the Aegean Sea and the Mediterranean beyond. For all of the rapidly developing countries around the Black Sea – Bulgaria, Romania, the Ukraine, Georgia, and Northern Turkey itself – the Bosphorus (which at places is only 700 metres wide) offers the only access channel for tankers and container ships. Every ten minutes huge cargo vessels pass in each direction, piloted by local watermen and controlled by a marine equivalent of an air traffic control system. All of them belch out large quantities of CO 2 , SOx 240 and NOx 241 . Istanbul already has a serious pollution crisis as its twelve million inhabitants attempt to get around their vast city. The transport infrastructure is poor because of a difficult topography, earthquake risk and chronic long-term underinvestment. There is almost no metro system and the ancient ferry boats which criss-cross the Bosphorus add their noxious outpourings to those of millions of cars and the giant cargo vessels and cruise liners which sail through the strait. As a result of all this shipping and heavily-jammed road transportation beautiful Istanbul is choking to death inside
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<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 121<br />
As Jeremy Rifk<strong>in</strong> expla<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> ‘<strong>The</strong> Hydrogen Economy’:<br />
One third of the world’s agricultural land has been<br />
converted from grow<strong>in</strong>g food gra<strong>in</strong>s for human consumption<br />
to grow<strong>in</strong>g feed gra<strong>in</strong> for cattle and other<br />
livestock. Cattle production is now the most energyconsum<strong>in</strong>g<br />
agricultural activity <strong>in</strong> the world. It takes<br />
the equivalent of a gallon of gasol<strong>in</strong>e to produce a<br />
pound of gra<strong>in</strong>-fed beef <strong>in</strong> the US. To susta<strong>in</strong> the<br />
yearly beef requirements of an average family of four<br />
people requires the consumption of more than 260<br />
gallons of fossil fuel. When that fuel is burned, it<br />
releases 2.5 tons of additional CO 2<br />
<strong>in</strong>to the atmosphere<br />
– as much CO 2<br />
as the average car emits <strong>in</strong> six<br />
months of normal operation.<br />
Shipp<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Shipp<strong>in</strong>g is a transport sector produc<strong>in</strong>g significant carbon<br />
emissions but one which is rarely discussed (and one which<br />
is often omitted from domestic climate change recommendations<br />
and legislation). But, although relatively small, shipp<strong>in</strong>g<br />
is the fastest grow<strong>in</strong>g of all transport sectors, accord<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to <strong>The</strong> Economist:<br />
<strong>World</strong> merchandise trade (shipp<strong>in</strong>g) is grow<strong>in</strong>g at 15<br />
per cent a year. Trade between Ch<strong>in</strong>a, India, America<br />
and Europe accounts for 65 per cent of the 250mplus<br />
conta<strong>in</strong>ers moved around the world each year.<br />
Freight rates rose by nearly one-third <strong>in</strong> the four