The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
The World in 2030 115 emissions by 2.1 million tonnes in comparison with a typical Chinese power station of the same size. 225 And in September 2007 China’s National Development and Reform Commission announced a $133.3 billion project to develop renewable energy sources: China has released an ambitious plan to develop renewable energy to cut its surging carbon dioxide emissions. The ‘Middle and Long-term Development Plan of Renewable Energies’ promises to derive ten per cent of China’s energy supply from renewables by 2010 and 15 per cent by 2020. 226 Cleaning up power stations, finding renewable and sustainable sources of energy (see the following section on energy), conserving energy and sharply reducing our emissions from transport are all necessary and urgent actions. But there are also other factors to be considered. As the paleo-climatologist Professor William Ruddiman points out, climate change began the moment humans started deforesting the planet and growing our food plants and husbanding our meat, instead of hunting and gathering. And deforestation is, itself, a major but under-appreciated source of global warming. The Independent reported in May 2007: In the next 24 hours, deforestation will release as much CO 2 into the atmosphere as 8 million people flying from London to New York.
116 The World in 2030 Stopping the loggers is the fastest and cheapest solution to climate change. So why are global leaders turning a blind eye to this crisis? The rampant slashing and burning of tropical forests is second only to the energy sector as a source of greenhouse gases according to a report published today by the Oxford-based Global Canopy Programme, 227 an alliance of leading rainforest scientists. Figures from the GCP, summarising the latest findings from the United Nations, and building on estimates contained in the Stern Report, show deforestation accounts for up to 25 per cent of global emissions of heat-trapping gases, while transport and industry account for 14 per cent each; and aviation makes up only 3 per cent of the total. 228 And, what is done with the land once it has been deforested? Most is used for cattle husbandry. You may be surprised to learn that cattle themselves are responsible for producing 18 per cent of greenhouse gases, their noted flatulence leading pugnacious Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary to remark famously that governments ‘should do something about cows farting’ 229 rather than pick on his airline (although he has no reason to be smug; see the section on aviation below). According to the Christian Science Monitor: It’s not just the well-known and frequently jokedabout flatulence and manure of grass-chewing cattle that’s the problem, according to a recent report by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the
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116 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />
Stopp<strong>in</strong>g the loggers is the fastest and cheapest solution<br />
to climate change. So why are global leaders<br />
turn<strong>in</strong>g a bl<strong>in</strong>d eye to this crisis?<br />
<strong>The</strong> rampant slash<strong>in</strong>g and burn<strong>in</strong>g of tropical forests is<br />
second only to the energy sector as a source of greenhouse<br />
gases accord<strong>in</strong>g to a report published today by<br />
the Oxford-based Global Canopy Programme, 227 an<br />
alliance of lead<strong>in</strong>g ra<strong>in</strong>forest scientists.<br />
Figures from the GCP, summaris<strong>in</strong>g the latest f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs<br />
from the United Nations, and build<strong>in</strong>g on<br />
estimates conta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the Stern Report, show deforestation<br />
accounts for up to 25 per cent of global<br />
emissions of heat-trapp<strong>in</strong>g gases, while transport and<br />
<strong>in</strong>dustry account for 14 per cent each; and aviation<br />
makes up only 3 per cent of the total. 228<br />
And, what is done with the land once it has been deforested?<br />
Most is used for cattle husbandry. You may be surprised to<br />
learn that cattle themselves are responsible for produc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
18 per cent of greenhouse gases, their noted flatulence<br />
lead<strong>in</strong>g pugnacious Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary to remark<br />
famously that governments ‘should do someth<strong>in</strong>g about<br />
cows fart<strong>in</strong>g’ 229 rather than pick on his airl<strong>in</strong>e (although he<br />
has no reason to be smug; see the section on aviation below).<br />
Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the Christian Science Monitor:<br />
It’s not just the well-known and frequently jokedabout<br />
flatulence and manure of grass-chew<strong>in</strong>g cattle<br />
that’s the problem, accord<strong>in</strong>g to a recent report<br />
by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the