The World in 2030

The World in 2030 The World in 2030

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The World in 2030 113 In the year 2030 historians may look back on the first decade of the 21 st century and identify it as the period in which humans first became serious about tackling climate change. A clear and almost palpable change in the Western Zeitgeist is occurring – even as this report is being written – and it now seems as if hardly a day can pass without a major public figure, a supermarket chain or a government leader pledging new-found allegiance to the battle against global warming. VIII One former political leader who can claim to have been involved in tackling climate change longer than most is former US Vice President Al Gore. As well as starring in a feature film about climate change called ‘An Inconvenient Truth’ 223 (which won an Oscar for ‘Best Documentary’), Mr Gore also remains active politically. Called to testify to the US Congressional Committee on Energy and Air Quality in March 2007 he said: ‘I want to testify today about what I believe is a planetary emergency, a crisis that threatens the survival of our civilization and the habitability of the Earth. ‘The planet has a fever. If your baby has a fever, you go to the doctor. If the doctor says you need to intervene here, you don’t say ‘I read a science fiction novel that says it’s not a problem.’ You take action.’ 224 VIII Indeed, in commissioning this report (and encouraging a focus on climate change and energy conservation) PlasticsEurope has acted on behalf of the European plastics manufacturing industry to raise public awareness about this serious problem.

114 The World in 2030 Touching on some Less Well-Known Causes of Climate Change Much has been written on the causes of climate change and I do not intend to describe in this section details about the number of new power stations being built in China every year, nor the USA’s growing appetite for coal as a powergeneration resource. Suffice to say that the majority of human-produced carbon dioxide that enters the atmosphere is produced by electricity power generation and transport (road, rail, shipping and aviation). Before examining some lesser known sectors that emit carbon – in particular aviation and shipping, two forms of transport that because of their international nature makes it convenient for domestic politicians to overlook – it is worth noting that China, in particular, is a rapidly emerging economy which clearly understands how critical it is to reduce carbon output even as it ramps up its power generation capacity. The following article was published by the Ethical Corp think tank in February 2007: One recently completed ‘supercritical’ coal-fired plant in Shanghai shows the way forward. Phase two of the Waigaoqiao plant, which has two 900 MW generating units and uses turbines made by Siemens, is one of the most advanced coal-fired plants operating in China. With a net efficiency of more than 42 per cent – significantly higher than the worldwide average of 31 per cent for hard coal-fired units – it will save an annual one million tonnes of coal and cut carbon dioxide

<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 113<br />

In the year <strong>2030</strong> historians may look back on the first<br />

decade of the 21 st century and identify it as the period <strong>in</strong><br />

which humans first became serious about tackl<strong>in</strong>g climate<br />

change. A clear and almost palpable change <strong>in</strong> the Western<br />

Zeitgeist is occurr<strong>in</strong>g – even as this report is be<strong>in</strong>g written<br />

– and it now seems as if hardly a day can pass without a<br />

major public figure, a supermarket cha<strong>in</strong> or a government<br />

leader pledg<strong>in</strong>g new-found allegiance to the battle aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />

global warm<strong>in</strong>g. VIII<br />

One former political leader who can claim to have been<br />

<strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> tackl<strong>in</strong>g climate change longer than most is<br />

former US Vice President Al Gore. As well as starr<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a<br />

feature film about climate change called ‘An Inconvenient<br />

Truth’ 223 (which won an Oscar for ‘Best Documentary’), Mr<br />

Gore also rema<strong>in</strong>s active politically. Called to testify to the<br />

US Congressional Committee on Energy and Air Quality <strong>in</strong><br />

March 2007 he said:<br />

‘I want to testify today about what I believe is a planetary<br />

emergency, a crisis that threatens the survival of<br />

our civilization and the habitability of the Earth.<br />

‘<strong>The</strong> planet has a fever. If your baby has a fever, you<br />

go to the doctor. If the doctor says you need to <strong>in</strong>tervene<br />

here, you don’t say ‘I read a science fiction novel<br />

that says it’s not a problem.’ You take action.’ 224<br />

VIII<br />

Indeed, <strong>in</strong> commission<strong>in</strong>g this report (and encourag<strong>in</strong>g a focus on climate change and energy conservation)<br />

PlasticsEurope has acted on behalf of the European plastics manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry to<br />

raise public awareness about this serious problem.

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