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The World in 2030

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108 <strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong><br />

the next quarter of a century. What is clear is that mank<strong>in</strong>d’s<br />

activities are almost certa<strong>in</strong>ly caus<strong>in</strong>g the climate to warm<br />

up <strong>in</strong> an unnatural and dangerous way. <strong>The</strong> United Nation’s<br />

Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change 211 (the IPCC)<br />

produced a report 212 as this document was be<strong>in</strong>g written<br />

which stated that it is ‘90 per cent likely’ that human activity<br />

is responsible for global warm<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>The</strong>y said the evidence<br />

was ‘unequivocal.’<br />

Here are just three of the IPCC’s conclusions (with l<strong>in</strong>ks<br />

to the data sources):<br />

1). <strong>World</strong> sea levels are ris<strong>in</strong>g 50 per cent faster 213<br />

today than predicted <strong>in</strong> the last IPCC report <strong>in</strong><br />

2001.<br />

2). <strong>The</strong> Gulf Stream has slowed by about 30 per<br />

cent 214 between 1957 and 2004.<br />

3). <strong>The</strong> IPCC itself says there’s a dangerous lag<br />

with atmospheric warm<strong>in</strong>g. Eighty per cent of<br />

the extra heat currently be<strong>in</strong>g trapped by greenhouse<br />

gases is be<strong>in</strong>g drawn <strong>in</strong>to the oceans. As<br />

the oceans warm, more of that heat will rema<strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> the air. Even if emissions were sharply reduced,<br />

the world would cont<strong>in</strong>ue to warm by<br />

0.1° C per decade for some time.<br />

Over 2,000 scientists specialis<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> study<strong>in</strong>g climate<br />

change and related discipl<strong>in</strong>es contributed to the IPCC<br />

report and all had to agree unanimously with the report’s<br />

f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs. For all reasonable people the debate about whether<br />

or not climate change is a real and worry<strong>in</strong>g phenomenon is<br />

over. Perhaps the Australian environmentalist Tim Flannery

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