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The World in 2030

The World in 2030

The World in 2030

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<strong>The</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>2030</strong> 107<br />

And <strong>in</strong> 2007, Angela Merkel, Chancellor of Germany and<br />

then President of the European Union told the F<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

Times why she had pushed for EU agreement 208 on significant<br />

carbon reductions by 2020:<br />

We made a choice: We could have muddled through<br />

and looked away because it was not clear what the<br />

cost (of climate change) was go<strong>in</strong>g to be. Instead, we<br />

decided to act under the assumption that, whatever<br />

happens, the cost of <strong>in</strong>action will be higher. This, as<br />

made clear by the Stern report, is the ma<strong>in</strong> paradigm<br />

change. 209<br />

<strong>The</strong> Fuzz on the Sk<strong>in</strong> of a Peach<br />

If you want to picture Earth’s atmosphere, th<strong>in</strong>k of the white<br />

fuzz on the sk<strong>in</strong> of a peach. In relative terms, that fuzz is the<br />

same thickness as our planet’s atmosphere. To use another<br />

simile, it is as thick as an onion’s outmost layer.<br />

Yet, despite be<strong>in</strong>g so th<strong>in</strong>, this cl<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g strata of gases<br />

is what makes Earth unique among all of the other planets<br />

known to humank<strong>in</strong>d. This th<strong>in</strong> coat<strong>in</strong>g of atmosphere 210<br />

has brought life to Earth and all of our team<strong>in</strong>g, swarm<strong>in</strong>g<br />

diversity of biology relies totally on this <strong>in</strong>visible, fragile and<br />

threatened halo.<br />

It is impossible to know for sure how much more heated<br />

the planet’s atmosphere will have become <strong>in</strong> twenty-five<br />

years, partly because so much depends on our actions over

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