The World in 2030

100 The World in 2030
economic assistance has been provided in large
measure by Russia, Asia and Canada to help the
plight of millions of European refuges fleeing Siberian
conditions.
Evidence of past climate patterns found buried in
rocks and sediments (paleoclimatic evidence) suggests
that these abruptly altered climatic patterns in
Europe could last for as much as a century, as they
did when the ocean conveyor last collapsed 8,200
years ago, or, at the extreme, could last as long as
1,000 years as they did during the Younger Dryas period,
which began about 12,700 years ago.
The above paragraphs are not a prediction of the results
of climate change produced for this report. They are an
extrapolation from a ‘worst case’ prediction made by US
defence advisors in a 2003 report entitled ‘An Abrupt
Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United
States National Security’. 188
The report’s authors, Peter Schwartz, 189 a CIA consultant
and former Head of Planning at Royal Dutch/Shell Group,
and Doug Randall 190 of the California-based Global Business
Network, 191 are two highly respected future scenario
planners.
Schwartz and Randall went on to add that in the worst
case scenario, annual average temperatures would drop by up
to five degrees Fahrenheit over Asia and North America and
six degrees Fahrenheit in northern Europe. They suggested
that annual average temperatures would increase by up to