The World in 2030
The World in 2030 The World in 2030
CNN Online News: Europe, 18 October, 2030 Winter Ice Grips Europe Again Harbours around Ireland and the United Kingdom are already being closed by autumnal ice floes and the whole of Western Europe is bracing itself to face yet another frozen winter. Since climate change reached a tipping point ten years ago and the Atlantic conveyor stopped working (the conveyor was a system of underwater currents which brought the warm waters of the Gulf Stream up to Europe) millions have fled their homes in Ireland, the UK, Holland, Scandinavia, the Benelux, Germany and Northern France to find better living conditions in Southern Europe and even in North Africa. The economic impact of failing agriculture and forced migration over the last decade has been devastating, with national GDPs falling by up to 50 per cent across the affected regions. Food aid and
100 The World in 2030 economic assistance has been provided in large measure by Russia, Asia and Canada to help the plight of millions of European refuges fleeing Siberian conditions. Evidence of past climate patterns found buried in rocks and sediments (paleoclimatic evidence) suggests that these abruptly altered climatic patterns in Europe could last for as much as a century, as they did when the ocean conveyor last collapsed 8,200 years ago, or, at the extreme, could last as long as 1,000 years as they did during the Younger Dryas period, which began about 12,700 years ago. The above paragraphs are not a prediction of the results of climate change produced for this report. They are an extrapolation from a ‘worst case’ prediction made by US defence advisors in a 2003 report entitled ‘An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security’. 188 The report’s authors, Peter Schwartz, 189 a CIA consultant and former Head of Planning at Royal Dutch/Shell Group, and Doug Randall 190 of the California-based Global Business Network, 191 are two highly respected future scenario planners. Schwartz and Randall went on to add that in the worst case scenario, annual average temperatures would drop by up to five degrees Fahrenheit over Asia and North America and six degrees Fahrenheit in northern Europe. They suggested that annual average temperatures would increase by up to
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CNN Onl<strong>in</strong>e News:<br />
Europe, 18 October, <strong>2030</strong><br />
W<strong>in</strong>ter Ice Grips Europe Aga<strong>in</strong><br />
Harbours around Ireland and the United K<strong>in</strong>gdom<br />
are already be<strong>in</strong>g closed by autumnal ice floes and<br />
the whole of Western Europe is brac<strong>in</strong>g itself to face<br />
yet another frozen w<strong>in</strong>ter.<br />
S<strong>in</strong>ce climate change reached a tipp<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t ten<br />
years ago and the Atlantic conveyor stopped work<strong>in</strong>g<br />
(the conveyor was a system of underwater currents<br />
which brought the warm waters of the Gulf Stream<br />
up to Europe) millions have fled their homes <strong>in</strong> Ireland,<br />
the UK, Holland, Scand<strong>in</strong>avia, the Benelux,<br />
Germany and Northern France to f<strong>in</strong>d better liv<strong>in</strong>g<br />
conditions <strong>in</strong> Southern Europe and even <strong>in</strong> North<br />
Africa.<br />
<strong>The</strong> economic impact of fail<strong>in</strong>g agriculture and<br />
forced migration over the last decade has been<br />
devastat<strong>in</strong>g, with national GDPs fall<strong>in</strong>g by up to 50<br />
per cent across the affected regions. Food aid and
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