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A Look at Amazon Basin Seasonal Dynamics with the Biophysical ...

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ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION OF LAND USE IN BRAZILIAN AMAZONIADiógenes S. Alves, Maria Isabel S. Escada, Morris Scherer-Warren, José C. da Silveira Jr.Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)Av. dos Astronautas 1758, São José dos Campos SP CEP 12201-010 BRAZILdalves@dpi.inpe.brHuman occup<strong>at</strong>ion in Brazilian Amazônia has been accompanied by persistent changes in <strong>Amazon</strong>ian landscapes,ecosystems, and in demographic and socioeconomic conditions of people settling in <strong>the</strong> newly established frontiers.In this paper, we use 1985 and 1996 Census d<strong>at</strong>a to investig<strong>at</strong>e how c<strong>at</strong>tle ranching, annual and permanent cropshave evolved in Amazônia. Our goal is to review some of <strong>the</strong> available d<strong>at</strong>a and discuss some characteristics ofagriculture and c<strong>at</strong>tle ranching th<strong>at</strong> may have different impacts on land degrad<strong>at</strong>ion and on sustainable land use.Census d<strong>at</strong>a show important regional differences in <strong>the</strong> rel<strong>at</strong>ive importance of c<strong>at</strong>tle and crops, frequently associ<strong>at</strong>ed<strong>with</strong> Federal Government coloniz<strong>at</strong>ion programs but also depending on <strong>the</strong> evolution of <strong>the</strong> agrarian structure indifferent regions. Pastures do constitute <strong>the</strong> prevailing land use, <strong>at</strong> <strong>the</strong> same time as <strong>the</strong> total number of headsfrequently increased faster <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> total area of pasture. The rel<strong>at</strong>ive area of crops decreased in some areas ofagrarian reform and family agriculture coloniz<strong>at</strong>ion, while pastures increased <strong>the</strong>ir rel<strong>at</strong>ive importance in suchregions. At <strong>the</strong> same time, grain production and productivity have significantly increased in few areas whereconnections to <strong>the</strong> n<strong>at</strong>ion-wide grain networks were set up. In general, <strong>the</strong> d<strong>at</strong>a suggest a scenario of land useintensific<strong>at</strong>ion in regions of more important settlement and agricultural production, where deforest<strong>at</strong>ion has alsobeen concentr<strong>at</strong>ed. The analysis suggests th<strong>at</strong> system<strong>at</strong>ic research should be carried out on <strong>the</strong> carrying capacity ofdifferent regions and on <strong>the</strong> rel<strong>at</strong>ionships between land use intensific<strong>at</strong>ion, land degrad<strong>at</strong>ion and sustainable landuse.

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