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Wind Erosion in Western Queensland Australia

Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One

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Chapter 8 – Conclusionsmodels are not dissimilar. Maps of u *t and land erodibility modelled by Lu (1999) andAUSLEM for western <strong>Queensland</strong> show similarities across the Channel Country. It would beconstructive to compare the assessments <strong>in</strong> cross-model validation exercises. Themethodology for collect<strong>in</strong>g field surveys of land erodibility described <strong>in</strong> Chapter 6 wouldsupport these comparisons and provide additional data for validat<strong>in</strong>g models like IWEMS.F<strong>in</strong>ally, this research has clearly demonstrated the requirement for further studies to assessspatial and temporal patterns <strong>in</strong> land susceptibility to w<strong>in</strong>d erosion. Dynamic changes <strong>in</strong> landerodibility like those identified by AUSLEM must be considered <strong>in</strong> the context of modell<strong>in</strong>gregional to global scale dust emission and transport (e.g. Mahowald et al., 2003a). Gr<strong>in</strong>i et al.(2005) sought to identify suitable methods for characteris<strong>in</strong>g erodibility patterns <strong>in</strong> globaldust source areas. The frameworks for modell<strong>in</strong>g soil and land erodibility presented <strong>in</strong> thisthesis support that research, and there is significant potential for <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g the methods andf<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs of this research <strong>in</strong>to such studies.8.4 Research LimitationsThe major limitations of this research relate to three ma<strong>in</strong> areas. They are: 1) the availabilityof robust models to predict temporal changes <strong>in</strong> soil erodibility, and the lack of quantitativedata with which to parameterise such models; 2) spatial scale effects on model performance<strong>in</strong> heterogeneous landscapes; and 3) the availability of data suitable for model validation.1. The accuracy of AUSLEM at spatial scales less than ~50 km 2 was severely affected bythe absence of a robust scheme to predict temporal changes <strong>in</strong> soil erodibility. This issuebecame evident when analys<strong>in</strong>g trends <strong>in</strong> the model output at locations with similarvegetation cover but different soil textural attributes (Chapter 5). Analysis of the modeloutput was therefore restricted to the landscape (10 3 km 2 ) to regional (10 4 km 2 ) scales.While AUSLEM output accuracy at smaller scales is affected by the accuracy of itsAussie GRASS <strong>in</strong>puts, the addition of a soil erodibility scheme is likely to significantlyimprove model performance. It would also allow for the analysis of model output at timescales less than one month, at which variations <strong>in</strong> soil erodibility are an important controlon land erodibility dynamics.198

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