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Wind Erosion in Western Queensland Australia

Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One

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Chapter 8 – ConclusionsThe third aim of this thesis was to validate the performance of the land erodibilitymodel. This was achieved through the fifth and sixth research objectives: to develop amethod for visually assess<strong>in</strong>g land erodibility at the landscape scale; and to employ the visualassessments of land erodibility and observational records of w<strong>in</strong>d erosion activity to validatethe model.The first approach for model validation drew on a comparison of time-series modelassessments of land erodibility with observational records of w<strong>in</strong>d erosion activity acrosswestern <strong>Queensland</strong> (Chapter 5). The observational data <strong>in</strong>cluded records of locally blow<strong>in</strong>gdust, dust storms, dust hazes, and dust whirls. The validation was conducted at eightmeteorological stations located across the four bioregions cover<strong>in</strong>g the study area. A crosscorrelationapproach was used to exam<strong>in</strong>e the synchronisation of trends <strong>in</strong> modelled landerodibility, annual total dust-event frequencies, and mean annual 3 pm w<strong>in</strong>d speeds at fourspatial length scales (from 25 to 150 km) between 1980 and 1990. The model output hadstrong correlations with dust-event frequencies at half of the validation stations. The modelagreement with trends <strong>in</strong> dust-event frequencies varied across spatial scales and was highlydependent on land type variability around the reference stations. Poor correlations at the otherstations were l<strong>in</strong>ked to limitations of the model, i.e. the lack of a soil erodibility scheme, andthe coarse spatial resolution of the model <strong>in</strong>put data. The validation was also affected by thetypes of dust events used <strong>in</strong> the validation process. Dust source areas for dust storms and dusthazes cannot be detected from the observational data and so these event types did not alwaysprovide good records of w<strong>in</strong>d erosion activity by which model performance could beassessed.The second approach for model validation relates to the fifth objective of this thesis. Thatwas, to develop a method for visually assess<strong>in</strong>g land erodibility that can be used to monitorrangeland conditions at the landscape scale (Chapter 6). This objective was addressed byestablish<strong>in</strong>g criteria for evaluat<strong>in</strong>g land erodibility based on empirical relationships betweensoil texture, vegetation cover, land type characteristics, and w<strong>in</strong>d erosion. The criteria werethen used to visually assess land erodibility over long distances (10 3 km) on vehicle-basedtransects run through the western <strong>Queensland</strong> rangelands. To validate the model, datacollected on the transects were compared with model assessments of land erodibility at a 200x 200 m spatial resolution <strong>in</strong> five sub-sections of the study area. The comparison <strong>in</strong>dicatedthat AUSLEM performs better <strong>in</strong> the open grasslands of the western Mitchell Grass Downs192

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