Wind Erosion in Western Queensland Australia

Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One

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Chapter 7 – Land Erodibility Dynamics 1980-2006Finally, the sensitivity of the bioregions to land erodibility change can be described. Theerodibility of the Mulga Lands is most sensitive to climate variability (Figure 7.5). This issupported by the correlation of land erodibility with rainfall, the SOI and the PDO, andhistorical reports of land degradation in the bioregion in response to drought and overgrazingin the 1960s, 1970s and early 1980s (McKeon et al., 2004). The sensitivity of the bioregion todegradation can be attributed to the region’s arid climate, high stocking rates and thefragmented nature of the landscape (Stokes et al., 2008). These factors contribute to lowvegetation resilience to short-term climate variability and a response of significant reductionsin understory grass cover during periods of low rainfall. This sensitivity exists in othersimilarly fragmented semi-arid rangelands around the world (Galvin et al., 2008), suggestingthat other dust source areas will be as responsive to global teleconnections.Figure 7.5 indicates that land erodibility dynamics in the Channel Country operates at asimilar time scale to the Mulga Lands, but that rapid (

Chapter 7 – Land Erodibility Dynamics 1980-20067.7 ConclusionsThis research has examined spatial and temporal patterns in land erodibility in westernQueensland, Australia. The distribution of erodible land areas has been mapped, and temporalchanges in land erodibility have been analysed in the context of regional and global scaleclimate variability. Consistently erodible land areas were found to be located in dunefieldsand the outer floodplains of the regions’ major river systems. These spatial patterns in landerodibility are consistent with observational records of wind erosion activity. Temporal trendsin land erodibility were found to be distinct across the four study area bioregions. Regionalscale land erodibility dynamics were found to be influenced by vegetation cover sensitivity torainfall, ENSO and PDO interactions. In a global context the research has highlighted thecomplex and dynamic nature of land erodibility.Model predictions of climate change indicate increasing variability in precipitation across theworld’s deserts (Meehl et al., 2007). Concurrently, global measurements of outgoing longwaveradiation indicate a poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation (Hu and Fu, 2007).These may lead to increased frequencies of drought and the expansion of mid-latitude desertsin the northern and southern hemispheres. The results presented in this chapter demonstratethat regional scale changes in land erodibility are sensitive to rainfall variability driven byglobal scale climate teleconnections. This emphasises the importance of research to map andmonitor land erodibility so that we can better understand the effects of land management andfuture climatic changes on wind erosion processes.Further research into land erodibility dynamics in Australia requires an extension of thatpresented here. Firstly, research should focus on extending the length of the modelsimulations. This would allow variations in land erodibility to be analysed under a greaterrange of ENSO and PDO conditions. Secondly, effort should be directed toward developingschemes to simulate temporal changes in soil erodibility in rangeland environments. Landerodibility dynamics over small (sub-regional) spatial and monthly temporal scales are highlydependent on soil erodibility, particularly in landscapes with sparse vegetation cover. Theaddition of a robust soil erodibility scheme to AUSLEM would improve model skill inassessing land erodibility. It would also allow for analyses of model output at higher temporalresolutions and an ability to assess the impacts of short- and long-term land managementpractices on potential wind erosion activity. Finally, analyses should be extended to include187

Chapter 7 – Land Erodibility Dynamics 1980-2006F<strong>in</strong>ally, the sensitivity of the bioregions to land erodibility change can be described. Theerodibility of the Mulga Lands is most sensitive to climate variability (Figure 7.5). This issupported by the correlation of land erodibility with ra<strong>in</strong>fall, the SOI and the PDO, andhistorical reports of land degradation <strong>in</strong> the bioregion <strong>in</strong> response to drought and overgraz<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong> the 1960s, 1970s and early 1980s (McKeon et al., 2004). The sensitivity of the bioregion todegradation can be attributed to the region’s arid climate, high stock<strong>in</strong>g rates and thefragmented nature of the landscape (Stokes et al., 2008). These factors contribute to lowvegetation resilience to short-term climate variability and a response of significant reductions<strong>in</strong> understory grass cover dur<strong>in</strong>g periods of low ra<strong>in</strong>fall. This sensitivity exists <strong>in</strong> othersimilarly fragmented semi-arid rangelands around the world (Galv<strong>in</strong> et al., 2008), suggest<strong>in</strong>gthat other dust source areas will be as responsive to global teleconnections.Figure 7.5 <strong>in</strong>dicates that land erodibility dynamics <strong>in</strong> the Channel Country operates at asimilar time scale to the Mulga Lands, but that rapid (

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