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Wind Erosion in Western Queensland Australia

Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One

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Chapter 7 – Land Erodibility Dynamics 1980-2006A number of factors affect model performance <strong>in</strong> the Simpson Desert. Firstly, sub-grid scaleaverag<strong>in</strong>g of vegetation cover over the model 5 x 5 km grid cells resulted <strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>ability todetect narrow (10-15 m) erodible dune crests that have an average spac<strong>in</strong>g of ~500 m (Purdie,1984). Secondly, the Aussie GRASS simulations of herbaceous vegetation cover, used as<strong>in</strong>put to AUSLEM, are driven by a plant growth-death-consumption scheme (Carter et al.,1996). The Simpson Desert is del<strong>in</strong>eated as a National Park, so plant consumption rates <strong>in</strong> theAussie GRASS model are kept low (low effective stock<strong>in</strong>g rates), result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> consistentlyhigh predictions of grass cover. F<strong>in</strong>ally, fire burn scars were not del<strong>in</strong>eated <strong>in</strong> the model <strong>in</strong>putdata. In November 2001 and January 2002 extensive burn<strong>in</strong>g of the Simpson Desert resulted<strong>in</strong> the denudation of ~4000 km 2 (10%) of the bioregion. These events resulted <strong>in</strong> aproportional <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the area of the bioregion susceptible to w<strong>in</strong>d erosion. However, theburn scars had not been <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> the model <strong>in</strong>put data at the time of acquisition so themodel has <strong>in</strong>deed underestimated the extent of erodible land between 2001 and 2006. Theseissues highlight the importance of data resolution and currency <strong>in</strong> the performance ofspatially explicit w<strong>in</strong>d erosion models. Updat<strong>in</strong>g the model <strong>in</strong>puts to account for fire burnscars and runn<strong>in</strong>g the model at a higher spatial resolution, e.g. 30 m, would be required toimprove model performance <strong>in</strong> the Simpson Desert bioregion.7.6.2 Temporal Patterns <strong>in</strong> Land ErodibilityFactors affect<strong>in</strong>g temporal patterns <strong>in</strong> land erodibility <strong>in</strong>clude: climate, <strong>in</strong> particular ra<strong>in</strong>fallquantities and distribution; land management practices, manifested here through stock<strong>in</strong>grates that affect the model grass cover <strong>in</strong>puts, and f<strong>in</strong>ally; the sensitivity of the bioregions tothese external forc<strong>in</strong>g mechanisms as governed by geomorphology, soil characteristics andvegetation structure and resilience. Seasonal variations <strong>in</strong> land erodibility are weak but followa north-south spatial pattern <strong>in</strong> response to differences <strong>in</strong> ra<strong>in</strong>fall seasonality across western<strong>Queensland</strong> (Figure 7.4). The lack of robust correlations between annual ra<strong>in</strong>fall, the SOI,PDO and land erodibility can be attributed to the complex <strong>in</strong>teraction of these factors andlags <strong>in</strong> the landscape response to climate variability. The length of the data time-series (27years) also affected the results. In particular, <strong>in</strong>terpretations of the <strong>in</strong>fluence of <strong>in</strong>ter-decadalvariations <strong>in</strong> the PDO should be treated with caution.183

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