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Wind Erosion in Western Queensland Australia

Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One

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Chapter 5 – Land Erodibility Model Developmentdata decreas<strong>in</strong>g land erodibility <strong>in</strong> heterogeneous landscapes where small erodible features(i.e. dune crests <strong>in</strong> the Simpson Desert region) are “lost” by sub-grid scale averag<strong>in</strong>g; and atshort time scales model output must be <strong>in</strong>terpreted relative to a reference w<strong>in</strong>d velocity (18ms -1 - determ<strong>in</strong>ed by the grass cover function), otherwise erodibility may be over- or underpredictedby the model.Us<strong>in</strong>g dust-event data for model validation follow<strong>in</strong>g its use <strong>in</strong> model development did notallow for a completely <strong>in</strong>dependent test of model performance. The dust-event data was,however, the only data available for test<strong>in</strong>g AUSLEM performance at comparable spatial andtemporal scales. The validation period (1980 – 1990) was selected to avoid us<strong>in</strong>g the sameevent data for model development and validation. Comparisons of model output withassessments of erosion hazard on long-range (> 100 km) transects have potential to be usefulfor validation (as per Hassett et al., 2000; described <strong>in</strong> Chapter 6). However, efforts by theauthors to develop such methods have been restricted by scal<strong>in</strong>g issues (relat<strong>in</strong>g field basedobservations to coarse resolution model output) and the limited availability of higher spatialresolution model <strong>in</strong>put data required for the comparison.Where possible, these limitations should be addressed <strong>in</strong> future research. As detailed <strong>in</strong>Chapter 4, attention must be directed toward develop<strong>in</strong>g models to simulate temporal changes<strong>in</strong> soil erodibility. A comparison of model output with field assessments of w<strong>in</strong>d erosionhazard and predictions from alternate models like the Integrated <strong>W<strong>in</strong>d</strong> <strong>Erosion</strong> Modell<strong>in</strong>gSystem (Shao et al., 1996, Lu and Shao, 1999) should also be conducted to <strong>in</strong>dependently testmodel performance.5.7 ConclusionsThis chapter has reported on the development of a model to predict land susceptibility tow<strong>in</strong>d erosion <strong>in</strong> western <strong>Queensland</strong>, <strong>Australia</strong>. A rationale for model development has beenpresented, and the model has been validated by a comparison of annual output time serieswith dust-event frequencies and DSI over an 11 year period. The model output had strongcorrelations with dust-event frequencies at half of the validation stations. Poor correlations atthe other stations were l<strong>in</strong>ked to limitations of the modell<strong>in</strong>g scheme, model <strong>in</strong>put datacharacteristics and problems with test<strong>in</strong>g model performance us<strong>in</strong>g dust-event data which <strong>in</strong>155

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