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Wind Erosion in Western Queensland Australia

Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One

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Chapter 5 – Land Erodibility Model Developmentdifferences <strong>in</strong> the types of dust-events be<strong>in</strong>g recorded at the stations. Increases <strong>in</strong> landerodibility outside the station AOIs was manifested through an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> observed dusthazes, rather than dust storms or locally blow<strong>in</strong>g dust. This should be reflected <strong>in</strong> improvedcorrelations of model output with the dust-event groups where dust hazes and whirls havebeen removed. However, the coarse temporal resolution of the comparison led to shortperiods of high erodibility and potential dust production be<strong>in</strong>g “lost” <strong>in</strong> the annual averag<strong>in</strong>gof model output. This further contributed to the poor synchronisation of trajectories with thefew rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g events <strong>in</strong> these years (potentially with local source areas).The strongest correlations between model output and dust-event frequencies were found atstations where events were dom<strong>in</strong>ated by local w<strong>in</strong>d erosion and dust storm activity (Boulia,Urandangie and <strong>W<strong>in</strong>d</strong>orah). The poor synchronisation/correlation at Longreach can beattributed to the fact that the dust events recorded at that station were predom<strong>in</strong>antly hazes forthe entire analysis period (Table 5.1). These events most likely had non-local orig<strong>in</strong>s, and sodo not provide a good measure of local w<strong>in</strong>d erosion activity by which model performancecan be measured. Interpret<strong>in</strong>g a poor correlation of model output with dust-event frequenciesas <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g poor model performance is therefore highly subjective and dependant on thedust events represent<strong>in</strong>g w<strong>in</strong>d erosion activity with<strong>in</strong> the potential dust source AOIs. Afurther issue with the dust-event comparison is <strong>in</strong>dicated by the significant differencesbetween the dust-event frequency and DSI trajectories and the differences <strong>in</strong> correlationsbetween these and model output. While all observed dust events were used to compile thefrequency data, DSI is computed us<strong>in</strong>g the severest (lowest visibility) dust event recorded ona particular day. A smooth<strong>in</strong>g of event frequencies by the <strong>in</strong>dex would have contributed tothe differences <strong>in</strong> correlations. Attempt<strong>in</strong>g to assess model performance at shorter time scales(i.e. weeks to months) us<strong>in</strong>g dust-event frequencies would create further problems <strong>in</strong> theanalysis as the dependence of w<strong>in</strong>d erosion activity on w<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>ess (relative to land erodibility)<strong>in</strong>creases and because w<strong>in</strong>d erosion activity can be low when land erodibility is high if u *

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