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Wind Erosion in Western Queensland Australia

Modelling Land Susceptibility to Wind Erosion in Western ... - Ninti One

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Chapter 3 – Modell<strong>in</strong>g Land Erodibility Review3.5.3 Up-scal<strong>in</strong>g Models and Sub-Grid Scale HeterogeneityModels that account for the effects of conditions such as soil texture, soil moisture andvegetation cover are based on plot-scale w<strong>in</strong>d tunnel experimentation. The relationshipsdriv<strong>in</strong>g the models are therefore functional at these scales. Accuracy issues arise when therelationships are applied to coarse resolution spatial data and are used to exam<strong>in</strong>e w<strong>in</strong>derosion processes at the landscape to regional scales. The spatial data used as <strong>in</strong>put to themodels represents gridded averages of land surface conditions, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g vegetation coverand soil moisture. These conditions are rarely homogeneous (Ok<strong>in</strong> and Gillette, 2001). Thisissue l<strong>in</strong>ks back to the nature of the model functions, which themselves may not adequatelyaccount for the non-uniform distribution of <strong>in</strong>puts (Raupach and Lu, 2004). Complicat<strong>in</strong>g theissue is the fact that the relationships between factors controll<strong>in</strong>g land susceptibility to w<strong>in</strong>derosion are non-l<strong>in</strong>ear and display threshold-like behaviour (Gillette, 1999).Shao (2000) reported on three methods for deal<strong>in</strong>g with sub-grid scale variations <strong>in</strong> spatialmodell<strong>in</strong>g. These <strong>in</strong>clude: averag<strong>in</strong>g surface properties, i.e. treat<strong>in</strong>g grid cells ashomogeneous areas; represent<strong>in</strong>g sub-grid scale heterogeneity through multiple smallerhomogeneous sub-grids; and us<strong>in</strong>g probability density functions to represent sub-grid scaleheterogeneity. The latter approach has been adopted <strong>in</strong> a number of w<strong>in</strong>d erosion models,<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g IWEMS and DEAD, to account for local variations <strong>in</strong> both land surface andmeteorological conditions (Lu and Shao, 2001; Zender et al., 2003a). The approach has alsobeen used to account for spatial variations <strong>in</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d shear stress <strong>in</strong> a model to predict surfaceroughness effects by Ok<strong>in</strong> (2008) (Chapter 2).The implications of not account<strong>in</strong>g for sub-grid scale heterogeneity are that models are likelyto significantly underestimate predictions of both land erodibility and dust emissions (Ok<strong>in</strong>and Gillette, 2004; Ok<strong>in</strong>, 2005). The issue may also complicate model validation as po<strong>in</strong>tobservations of w<strong>in</strong>d erosion activity that are typically used to validate w<strong>in</strong>d erosion modelsdo not necessarily reflect spatially averaged predictions.3.5.4 Validation of Regional to Global Scale Models<strong>W<strong>in</strong>d</strong> erosion models are most often validated by comparisons of output with po<strong>in</strong>tmeasurements of w<strong>in</strong>d erosion (Shao et al., 1996; Fryrear et al., 1998; Gregory and Darwish,95

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