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PC Magazine - 2009 04.pdf - Libertad Zero - Blog

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The biggest flaw in Apple’s near-perfect<br />

iPhone has always been the network it’s on.<br />

So as rumors have arisen once more (based<br />

on an old story from September) of Apple<br />

developing an iPhone for Verizon Wireless,<br />

the most reliable cell-phone network<br />

in the U.S., the Internet has been going<br />

absolutely nuts. Of course Apple wants<br />

to develop an iPhone for Verizon. At this<br />

point, Apple wants to develop an iPhone<br />

for everyone. There’s just one problem:<br />

the hideous, mysterious, Faustian contract<br />

Apple signed with AT&T. And that one is a<br />

showstopper.<br />

Apple’s exclusivity contract with<br />

AT&T was an attempt to rewrite the eco-<br />

nomics of the cell-phone business. This<br />

arrangement wasn’t about visual voice<br />

mail or even, really, about branding. It was<br />

about money and control. In exchange for<br />

a bond of blood, AT&T would kick some<br />

of its monthly subscription fees to Apple<br />

and let Apple control retail distribution.<br />

This was radical. This was unique. This<br />

was a failure.<br />

The iPhone sold well here, but the<br />

United States is a fraction of the global<br />

mobile market, and international carriers<br />

weren’t too comfortable with Apple<br />

cutting into their monthlies. It turned out<br />

that mobile-phone carriers around the<br />

world are much more comfortable kicking<br />

in one-time subsidies than kicking back<br />

monthly fees. So for the international market,<br />

Apple went to a much more normal<br />

system of accounting (normal for the cellphone<br />

industry, that is), and as a result, the<br />

iPhone has reached spectacular sales numbers<br />

around the world.<br />

28 <strong>PC</strong> MAGAZINE DIGITAL EDITION APRIL <strong>2009</strong><br />

SASCHA SEGAN<br />

iPhones for Everyone!<br />

Along the way, Apple has also learned<br />

that tying itself to one wireless carrier<br />

damages, rather than reinforces, its brand.<br />

This is because the quality of its product<br />

becomes too tightly coupled to the quality<br />

of that carrier. Notice that in many of<br />

Apple’s “later” countries, the iPhone is<br />

available on multiple carriers. Apple’s<br />

acting CEO Tim Cook has clearly stated<br />

that the company is not married to a one-<br />

carrier strategy.<br />

Apple has also gotten more flexible<br />

in regard to pricing and distribution, two<br />

major stumbling blocks when Apple first<br />

tried to get Verizon interested in the firstgeneration<br />

iPhone, at least if you believe<br />

Developing a new iPhone for Verizon will take<br />

a year or so. But Apple plans ahead: It’ll have that<br />

phone ready when its AT&T contract is up.<br />

USA Today. Heck, these days the iPhone<br />

is available even at Wal-Marts across the<br />

country. Apple of <strong>2009</strong>, as opposed to<br />

Apple of 2006, is much more willing to<br />

work and partner with mobile-phone carriers<br />

and third-party retailers.<br />

Mobile-phone carriers have learned a<br />

couple of things in the past few years as<br />

well. Everyone’s dabbled with visual voice<br />

mail. Phones like the T-Mobile G1 and the<br />

Palm Pre have made U.S. carriers more<br />

comfortable with phone manufacturers’<br />

taking a starring role in product rollouts<br />

and software updates, though Apple takes<br />

that kind of control to a new level. Two<br />

years have also proved that the iPhone is<br />

a unique phenomenon that everybody<br />

wants in on.<br />

So Apple will put iPhones on everyone’s<br />

network, but in the U.S. it will want<br />

to put them on Verizon’s first. Verizon is<br />

now the largest carrier in the country. Also,<br />

Sprint has what Apple would consider<br />

an unhealthy relationship with Palm, and<br />

T-Mobile has that Google Android thing<br />

going on.<br />

If the iPhone were to go to Verizon<br />

before 2010, Apple would have to build a<br />

version for Verizon’s CDMA network. That<br />

would have been a great chore back in 2007.<br />

Apple isn’t actually that big a company;<br />

developing two cell phones from scratch<br />

would have been a big deal for it. But Apple<br />

is going on its third phone by now, and it<br />

has a few years of experience. The company<br />

could pull it off at this point.<br />

Developing a new phone for Verizon<br />

will take a year or so (especially considering<br />

the tasks of getting it through the FCC<br />

and Verizon’s own hellish network-testing<br />

process). But Apple plans ahead: It’ll have<br />

that phone ready when its AT&T contract<br />

is up. Verizon will likely demand a threemonth<br />

CDMA exclusivity agreement,<br />

to which Apple will consent. Sprint and<br />

T-Mobile will follow after a few months.<br />

If the AT&T contract lasts past 2010,<br />

a Verizon launch gets even easier. The<br />

iPhone could be one of the first devices<br />

on Verizon’s new LTE network, which will<br />

use a fourth-generation technology that<br />

Verizon will share with AT&T, T-Mobile,<br />

and dozens of international carriers. An<br />

LTE iPhone would eventually be an almost<br />

universal device.<br />

Apple’s AT&T contract is still shrouded<br />

in mystery. All we know about the terms is<br />

that the contract is a “multiyear.” Under<br />

the most liberal interpretation, that means<br />

Apple could be out from under AT&T’s<br />

thumb by July. But USA Today reported<br />

in separate stories that the contract runs<br />

through the end of 2010 or even 2012,<br />

which puts the Verizon launch firmly in<br />

the LTE zone. I’m pretty sure that whenever<br />

that clock goes ding, a whole lot more<br />

people will be able to buy iPhones.<br />

STAY PHONE-SMART Keep up with the<br />

latest on smartphones by reading Sascha’s<br />

column at go.pcmag.com/segan.

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