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Bt Brinjal The scope and adequacy of the GEAC environmental risk assessment

Bt Brinjal: The scope and adequacy of the GEAC ... - Down To Earth

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Environmental Risk Assessment 37et al. 2006, Lu et al. 2010) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>of</strong>ten dire financial straits <strong>of</strong> Indian brinjal farmers, a more thorough evaluation ismerited.Imagine if <strong>the</strong> government claims <strong>the</strong>re are no <strong>risk</strong>s <strong>of</strong> secondary pests, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>na secondary pest arises. <strong>The</strong> government might be perceived as favouring GMseed companies at <strong>the</strong> expense <strong>of</strong> small-scale farmers.• Reduction in soil quality or health, adversely affecting crop production in ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> short or long term. EC-II examinedthis problem cursorily. If India considers this a serious potential <strong>risk</strong>, <strong>the</strong>n it needs to be examined more concretely,considering what crops follow brinjal <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> soil factors that limit productivity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se crops. This approach to <strong>risk</strong><strong>assessment</strong> is akin to fault-tree analysis (Hayes 2002), <strong>and</strong> can more rapidly identify effects that people care about than <strong>the</strong>approach used in EC-II.• Reduced value <strong>of</strong> non-crop economic activities (such as honey production or wild food harvesting). <strong>The</strong> potential noncropactivities that could be at <strong>risk</strong> in India need to be determined. This may include silkworm production <strong>and</strong> wildhoneybees (e.g., Apis cerana). India might be wise to consider an exp<strong>and</strong>ed list <strong>of</strong> potential adverse effects.• Reduced cultural value by affecting a culturally iconic species or a species <strong>of</strong> cultural significance (e.g., Monarch butterfly<strong>and</strong> bald eagle in <strong>the</strong> United States). India should first consider if <strong>the</strong>re are any such species (cows <strong>and</strong> Bhodi trees maybe such species), <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n, as discussed below, consider how great a <strong>risk</strong> <strong>Bt</strong> brinjal poses to <strong>the</strong>se species.• Increased conservation concern, such as an adverse effect on an endangered species. India should first consider if <strong>the</strong>reare any such species associated with brinjal. If <strong>the</strong>re are none, <strong>the</strong> endangered species that occur closest to brinjal shouldbe considered, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n, as discussed below, consider how great a <strong>risk</strong> <strong>Bt</strong> brinjal poses to <strong>the</strong>se species.• Reduced <strong>environmental</strong> quality through an effect on an ecosystem service such as pollination. Of <strong>the</strong> possible ecosystemservices to be assessed, India apparently considers only pollination, although <strong>the</strong>re is no <strong>assessment</strong> <strong>of</strong> effects on nativepollinators <strong>and</strong> pollination services <strong>of</strong> plants o<strong>the</strong>r than brinjal. India should consider if <strong>the</strong>re are additional ecosystemservices (MEA 2005) that need to be assessed for <strong>Bt</strong> brinjal.2) Specify <strong>risk</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>ses. Specify scenarios (also known as <strong>risk</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>ses) by which <strong>the</strong> kinds <strong>of</strong> <strong>risk</strong>s listed in 1 couldoccur in India. This includes specifying a concrete potential adverse effect <strong>and</strong> an <strong>assessment</strong> endpoint that can be measured.<strong>The</strong>se scenarios are testable hypo<strong>the</strong>ses about how adverse effects could possibly arise. <strong>The</strong>y are statements about possibilitiesnot necessarily realities. This also includes specification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> people who may be affected. For this analysis, organic brinjalfarmers need not be considered, because <strong>the</strong>se farmers will not be using <strong>Bt</strong> brinjal. Details on <strong>the</strong> construction <strong>of</strong> <strong>risk</strong>hypo<strong>the</strong>ses can be found in USEPA (1998) <strong>and</strong> Hilbeck et al. (2008).3) Test <strong>risk</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>ses. Test <strong>the</strong> <strong>risk</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>ses ei<strong>the</strong>r to falsify <strong>the</strong>m (<strong>and</strong> conclude that <strong>the</strong>re is insignificant <strong>risk</strong>) orestimate <strong>the</strong> <strong>risk</strong> (qualitatively or quantitatively). In some cases, laboratory toxicity tests can be useful on appropriately chosenindicator species <strong>and</strong> in some cases small-scale field experiments can be useful, but in all cases careful thought must be given t<strong>of</strong>ind <strong>the</strong> simplest ways to meaningfully assess <strong>the</strong> <strong>risk</strong>s.4) Secondary pests. It is not possible to state exactly what experiments must be done until India decides which <strong>of</strong> kinds <strong>of</strong><strong>risk</strong> listed in 1 are important enough to assess. It seems clear, however, that India considers secondary pests to be a seriouspotential <strong>risk</strong> that needs to be evaluated. EC-II has already specified a concrete potential <strong>risk</strong> (loss <strong>of</strong> yield <strong>and</strong> income to <strong>Bt</strong>brinjal farmers), <strong>and</strong> has also identified a list <strong>of</strong> potential <strong>assessment</strong> endpoints. <strong>The</strong>se are:• aphids (primarily Aphis gossypii),• leafhoppers ( primarily Amrasca devastans),• thrips ( Thrips sp. <strong>and</strong> Frankliniella schultzii),• white fly (primarily Bemisia tabaci),• mites ( Tetranychus spp.),• Helicoverpa armigera,• stem borer ( Euzophera perticella),

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