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Family Planning in Asia and the Pacific - International Council on ...

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next 25 years, however, TFR fluctuated between 4 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5,<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> dropped below 4 <strong>on</strong>ly <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2000.While Kiribati is an extreme case, Figure 3 showsthat several of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> larger <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> countries (>100,000populati<strong>on</strong>), <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>clud<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Federated States of Micr<strong>on</strong>esia,Samoa, Solom<strong>on</strong> Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> T<strong>on</strong>ga, have had similartrends. After peak<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g between 1960 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1975, TFRdropped steadily (<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> some cases rapidly) <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se countriesbefore levell<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g off between 4 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1990s. Although<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re is no technical def<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>iti<strong>on</strong> of what c<strong>on</strong>stitutes a “stalled”fertility transiti<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re is certa<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ly a str<strong>on</strong>g impressi<strong>on</strong><str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se countries that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pace of fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e slowedsignificantly after reach<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g a TFR of 5 4 .The periods <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> which fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e has stalled vary fromcountry to country: <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> T<strong>on</strong>ga fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e stalled for10 years between <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> periods 1970-1975 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1980-1985when TFR stood at about 5.5. Similarly, fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Papua New Gu<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ea stalled between <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> periods 1975-1980 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1980-1985 at a similar level. In Samoa, TFRstalled at just under 5 between <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> periods 1975-1980<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1995-2000. In T<strong>on</strong>ga <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> TFR stalled aga<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>at about 4.2 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1995-2000 period <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> has rema<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>edat that level s<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ce. Although a slowdown <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pace offertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e can be expected towards <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> latter stages of<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fertility transiti<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> reduced pace of fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se countries has occurred less than halfway through<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> transiti<strong>on</strong>.TableTable2Social <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> ec<strong>on</strong>omic <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dicators for <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> countries <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> territoriesSubregi<strong>on</strong>/countryExpectati<strong>on</strong> of life atbirth(both sexes)GDP percapita($US) PPP(2007)GNI percapita ($US)Atlas method(2007)Percentage of populati<strong>on</strong>below basic-needs povertyl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>eProporti<strong>on</strong> of populati<strong>on</strong>us<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g improvedwater source <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>sanitati<strong>on</strong> (%)E0 Ref. year GDP GNI Percentage Ref. year Water Sanitati<strong>on</strong>MelanesiaFiji 67.5 2007 4,072 3,750 34.3 2003 92.7 98.8New Caled<strong>on</strong>ia 75.9 2007 -- -- -- -- -- --Papua New54.3 2000 2,111 850 39.6 2002 40.0 45.0Gu<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>eaSolom<strong>on</strong> Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 61.1 1999 1,848 750 22.7 2006 29.8 22.4Vanuatu 67.3 1999 4,052 1,840 15.9 2006 75.3 95.2Micr<strong>on</strong>esiaMicr<strong>on</strong>esia (Federated67.7 2000 2,879 2,280 29.9 2005 94.0 44.0States of )Guam 73.6 2000 -- -- -- -- --Kiribati 61.0 2003 2,255 1,120 50.0 1996 53.1 36.5Marshall Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 65.6 1999 +2,500 3,240 20.0 1999 98.4 70.7Nauru 56.2 2006 -- 2,314 -- -- 81.7 96.9Nor<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rn Mariana 75.3 1999-01 -- -- -- -- -- --Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>sPalau 69.2 2005 -- 8,270 24.9 2006 100.0 100.0PolynesiaAmerican Samoa 72.6 2000 x8,000 -- -- -- -- --Cook Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 71.2 1996-02 &9,100 9,986 28.4 2006 95.1 99.3French Polynesia 74.1 2005-07 -- -- -- -- -- --Niue 71.5 2001-06 -- -- 13.0 2004 99.0 100.0Samoa 72.9 2006 4,670 2,700 20.3 2002 97.3 100.0T<strong>on</strong>ga 70.2 2004-5 3,782 2,480 22.3 2002 98.0 99.0Tuvalu 63.3 1997-02 -- 2,718 21.2 2006 92.5 86.5Wallis <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Futuna 74.9 1996-03 -- -- -- -- -- --Source: Database of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> UNFPA <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> Sub-regi<strong>on</strong>al Office. Secretariat of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> Community, 2009 Populati<strong>on</strong> Data Sheet.Noumea. AusAID (2009). UNFPA (2008). ADB (2009)Notes: -- not available. + 2008, x 2005, & 200469

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