TableTable1Basic demographic <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dicators for <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> countries <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> territoriesSubregi<strong>on</strong>/ countryTotalpopulati<strong>on</strong>2010Projectedpopulati<strong>on</strong>2020Currentpopulati<strong>on</strong>growth rate(%)Rate ofnatural<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>crease(%)Netmigrati<strong>on</strong>rate (%)Annual<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>crement(number)Percentof annual<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>crement<str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 9,853,023 11,801,200 1.9 2.0 -0.1 183,688 100.0 23Melanesia 8,641,883 10,465,00 2.0 2.1 -0.1 170,169 92.5 19Fiji 847,793 890,400 0.5 1.3 -0.8 4,219 2.3 51New Caled<strong>on</strong>ia 254,525 291,200 1.6 1.1 0.5 4,046 2.2 63Papua New Gu<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ea 6,744,955 8,267,400 2.2 2.2 0.0 142,876 77.8 13Solom<strong>on</strong> Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 549,574 703,500 2.7 2.7 0.0 14,587 7.9 16Vanuatu 245,036 312,500 2.5 2.5 0.0 6,071 3.3 21Micr<strong>on</strong>esia 547,345 624,200 1.4 1.7 -0.3 7,585 4.1 66Micr<strong>on</strong>esia (Fed Sts ) 111,364 116,500 0.4 1.9 -1.5 455 0.2 22Guam 187,140 224,200 2.7 1.4 1.3 4,984 2.7 93Kiribati 100,835 119,900 1.8 1.9 -0.1 1,805 1.0 44Marshall Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 54,439 59,500 0.3 2.6 -2.3 176 0.1 65Nauru 9.976 12,000 2.1 2.1 0.0 203 0.1 100Nor<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rn Mariana Is. 63,072 70,300 0.0 1.6 -1.6 -18 0.0 90Palau 20,516 21,800 0.6 0.6 0.0 119 0.1 77Polynesia 663,795 712,000 0.8 1.6 -0.8 5,086 2.8 37American Samoa 65,906 74,600 1.2 1.9 -0.7 781 0.4 50Cook Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 15,529 16,400 0.5 1.2 -0.7 72 0.0 72French Polynesia 268,767 297,600 1.2 1.2 0.0 3,176 1.7 51Niue 1,479 1,200 -2.3 0.6 -2.9 -36 0.0 36Samoa 183,123 188,400 0.3 2.0 -1.7 615 0.3 21T<strong>on</strong>ga 103,365 106,500 0.4 2.1 -1.7 372 0.2 23Tuvalu 11,149 11,800 0.5 1.4 -0.9 58 0.0 47Wallis <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Futuna 13,256 14,300 -0.3 1.1 --0.8 -43 0.0 0Source: Secretariat of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> Community, 2009; 2010), <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> authors’ estimates.Note: Pitcairn Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s (populati<strong>on</strong>: 66) <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Tokelau Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s (populati<strong>on</strong>: 1,151) are excluded from <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> table.PercenturbanMost of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dependent countries of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> would beclassified as lower-middle <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>come, but Kiribati, Papua NewGu<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ea, Solom<strong>on</strong> Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Vanuatu are low-<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>comecountries. While some countries have experienced realec<strong>on</strong>omic growth, <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> most of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>m <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pace of ec<strong>on</strong>omicgrowth over <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> past two decades has been slow.Fertility levels <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> trendsFertility trendsHas fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e “stalled” <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g>?Fertility levels <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> most <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> countries did notreach <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir peak until <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1960s or 1970s. In general,fertility peaked at a c<strong>on</strong>siderably higher level <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g>than <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r develop<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g regi<strong>on</strong>s. In Kiribati, Samoa <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>T<strong>on</strong>ga, for example, TFR reached well above 7 before itstarted to fall. In <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Cook Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s TFR peaked at 7.9 at<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> nati<strong>on</strong>al level <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> at 9.2 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> some outer isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> groups(ESCAP, 1982). This compares with a TFR of 5.9 for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>less developed countries as a group around <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> same time.Thus, fertility <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> had much fur<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r to fall than<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r less developed regi<strong>on</strong>s of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> world. Moreover <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>many countries it did fall rapidly from peak levels.An extreme example of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> speed with which fertility fellafter it peaked <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1960s can be seen <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> case of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>Micr<strong>on</strong>esian country of Kiribati. As illustrated <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Figure 2,<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1960s, TFR fluctuated between 6.5 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 7.5. Between<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> late 1960s <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> mid-1970s, however, it dropped byalmost 3 births to 4.5, an extremely rapid decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e. For <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>68
next 25 years, however, TFR fluctuated between 4 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5,<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> dropped below 4 <strong>on</strong>ly <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2000.While Kiribati is an extreme case, Figure 3 showsthat several of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> larger <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> countries (>100,000populati<strong>on</strong>), <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>clud<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Federated States of Micr<strong>on</strong>esia,Samoa, Solom<strong>on</strong> Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> T<strong>on</strong>ga, have had similartrends. After peak<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g between 1960 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1975, TFRdropped steadily (<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> some cases rapidly) <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se countriesbefore levell<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g off between 4 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 5 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1990s. Although<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re is no technical def<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>iti<strong>on</strong> of what c<strong>on</strong>stitutes a “stalled”fertility transiti<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re is certa<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ly a str<strong>on</strong>g impressi<strong>on</strong><str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se countries that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pace of fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e slowedsignificantly after reach<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g a TFR of 5 4 .The periods <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> which fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e has stalled vary fromcountry to country: <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> T<strong>on</strong>ga fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e stalled for10 years between <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> periods 1970-1975 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1980-1985when TFR stood at about 5.5. Similarly, fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Papua New Gu<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ea stalled between <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> periods 1975-1980 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1980-1985 at a similar level. In Samoa, TFRstalled at just under 5 between <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> periods 1975-1980<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1995-2000. In T<strong>on</strong>ga <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> TFR stalled aga<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>at about 4.2 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1995-2000 period <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> has rema<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>edat that level s<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ce. Although a slowdown <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> pace offertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e can be expected towards <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> latter stages of<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fertility transiti<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> reduced pace of fertility decl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>e<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se countries has occurred less than halfway through<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> transiti<strong>on</strong>.TableTable2Social <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> ec<strong>on</strong>omic <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dicators for <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> countries <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> territoriesSubregi<strong>on</strong>/countryExpectati<strong>on</strong> of life atbirth(both sexes)GDP percapita($US) PPP(2007)GNI percapita ($US)Atlas method(2007)Percentage of populati<strong>on</strong>below basic-needs povertyl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>eProporti<strong>on</strong> of populati<strong>on</strong>us<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g improvedwater source <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>sanitati<strong>on</strong> (%)E0 Ref. year GDP GNI Percentage Ref. year Water Sanitati<strong>on</strong>MelanesiaFiji 67.5 2007 4,072 3,750 34.3 2003 92.7 98.8New Caled<strong>on</strong>ia 75.9 2007 -- -- -- -- -- --Papua New54.3 2000 2,111 850 39.6 2002 40.0 45.0Gu<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>eaSolom<strong>on</strong> Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 61.1 1999 1,848 750 22.7 2006 29.8 22.4Vanuatu 67.3 1999 4,052 1,840 15.9 2006 75.3 95.2Micr<strong>on</strong>esiaMicr<strong>on</strong>esia (Federated67.7 2000 2,879 2,280 29.9 2005 94.0 44.0States of )Guam 73.6 2000 -- -- -- -- --Kiribati 61.0 2003 2,255 1,120 50.0 1996 53.1 36.5Marshall Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 65.6 1999 +2,500 3,240 20.0 1999 98.4 70.7Nauru 56.2 2006 -- 2,314 -- -- 81.7 96.9Nor<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rn Mariana 75.3 1999-01 -- -- -- -- -- --Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>sPalau 69.2 2005 -- 8,270 24.9 2006 100.0 100.0PolynesiaAmerican Samoa 72.6 2000 x8,000 -- -- -- -- --Cook Isl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s 71.2 1996-02 &9,100 9,986 28.4 2006 95.1 99.3French Polynesia 74.1 2005-07 -- -- -- -- -- --Niue 71.5 2001-06 -- -- 13.0 2004 99.0 100.0Samoa 72.9 2006 4,670 2,700 20.3 2002 97.3 100.0T<strong>on</strong>ga 70.2 2004-5 3,782 2,480 22.3 2002 98.0 99.0Tuvalu 63.3 1997-02 -- 2,718 21.2 2006 92.5 86.5Wallis <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Futuna 74.9 1996-03 -- -- -- -- -- --Source: Database of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> UNFPA <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> Sub-regi<strong>on</strong>al Office. Secretariat of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> Community, 2009 Populati<strong>on</strong> Data Sheet.Noumea. AusAID (2009). UNFPA (2008). ADB (2009)Notes: -- not available. + 2008, x 2005, & 200469
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Family Pla
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ForewordThe Asia <
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Part 1Part 1Asia <
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Ensuring that <str
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of methods for all, in</str
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and undertake <str
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Report on the Regi
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SESSION 1: Changin
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that improving <st
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Effective public-private partnershi
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ConclusionThe Bangladesh Fa
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the Family
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National Institute for Population R
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IndiaIndiaFamily <
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IntroductionThe use of contraceptiv
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TableTable2Indicators of tra<strong
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FigureFigureFigure1Contraceptive pr
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TableTable5Indicators of contracept
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TableTable6Adjusted odds ratios for
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FigureFigure3Contraceptive prevalen
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TableTable7Adjusted and</st
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the north
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TableTable10Differences between nor
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TableTable11 Total fertility rate <
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End Note1The first camp was success
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152
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Figure1980s and ex
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health care and ed
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assistance from UNFPA and</
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in CPR. Likewise,
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International supp
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in development has
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__________ (2007). Population <stro
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TableTable2What has the</st
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per cent of women reported us<stron
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is provider bias that such methods
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TableTable7skewed distribution of h
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TableTable8TableTable9182
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that of the nation
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TableTable12 7some policies that ex
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The system guides the</stro
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FigureFigure4Total donor expenditur
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FigureFigureagain
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Impact of family plannin</s
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marketing of contr
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United States Agency for In
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200
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acceptable. From an NGO perspective
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FigureThis trend of limited donor f
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Figureto have the
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FigureFigure5Percentage change <str
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FigureFigure6Desire to limit childb
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coordination betwe
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the 1980s
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Policy Management.__________ (n.d.,
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218
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Population Activities (UNFPA) for a
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where family plannin</stron
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Thus an objective assessment of <st
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Figureeconomic growth durin
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TableTable1TableTable2For spac<stro
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eflect a provider bias (e.g., <stro
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The Indonesian delegation was very
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than in ensur<stro
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in-country <strong
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(Ministry of Healt
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FigureTrends and p
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TableTable3Unmet need for contracep
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TableTable5TableTable6TableTable725
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TableTable8TableTable9Malaysia, abo
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previously mentioned is based on fo
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TableTable16births and</str
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FigureFigure3TRF54.5Scatter plots o
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ReferencesAng, Eng Suan (2007). Stu
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Demographic data sheet: population
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population size, with just 336,000
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NuptialityIn Myanmar nuptiality is
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FigureIn Myanmar, birth-spac<strong
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Scope of coverage and</stro
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FigureIn Myanmar, out of six select
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equirements. The Min</stron
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according to <stro
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Adolescent sexual and</stro
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FigureHIV/AIDS. An HIV-positive wom
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National Population PolicyMyanmar i
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Linkages with o<st
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TableTable4Achievements of Myanmar
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monitoring <strong
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Nay Pyi Taw, 26 October 2010.53 Sit
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294
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Population: Views from Men
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1545-1730Day 2: December 9Session 2
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Day 3, December 10Session 50830-100
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15Mr. Tong Sithen1
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54Ms. Shadiya IbrahimAssistant Repr
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93Mr. Melkie AntonProject OfficerUn
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