Family Planning in Asia and the Pacific - International Council on ...

Family Planning in Asia and the Pacific - International Council on ... Family Planning in Asia and the Pacific - International Council on ...

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Coalition, seek to ensure that contraceptive security isenjoyed by every person, ong>inong> that s/he is able to choose,obtaong>inong> ong>andong> use high-quality, affordable contraceptives“whenever s/he needs ong>theong>m”. The contraceptive securityong>inong>dex (CSI) was constructed at ong>theong> country level to raiseawareness, advocate, prioritize ong>andong> monitor progress. CSIhas been used ong>inong> 2003, 2006 ong>andong> 2009 for more than60 developong>inong>g countries (Aronovich et al., 2010), whichong>inong>cluded a few ong>Asiaong>n countries but no ong>Pacificong> ones.The ong>inong>dex has five components: supply chaong>inong> (logistics),fong>inong>ance, health ong>andong> social environment, access, ong>andong>utilization; for ong>theong>se ong>theong>re are 17 ong>inong>dicators. Table 4presents 6 of ong>theong> 17 ong>inong>dicators which were selected to showong>theong> strength of ong>theong> logistics, forecastong>inong>g ong>andong> procurementsystems, public sector targetong>inong>g ong>andong> contraceptive policy.The total score of ong>theong>se 6 ong>inong>dicators is 72 poong>inong>ts ong>andong> ong>theong>percentage of maximum is shown for ong>theong> 7 ong>Asiaong>n countriesfor which CSI data were available over ong>theong> 3 roundsconducted between 2003 ong>andong> 2009. Figure 4 graphsong>theong> 2009 partial CSI scores for five of ong>theong>se countries.Bangladesh ong>andong> Indonesia show ong>theong> highest partial CSIscores (75.7% ong>andong> 68.1% respectively), followed by ong>theong>Philippong>inong>es (42.5%) ong>andong> India (41.3%), while Pakistanranks last (12.2%). The partial scores do not exhibit along>inong>ear trend over ong>theong> years: Bangladesh ong>andong> ong>theong> Philippong>inong>eshad a higher score (87.2% ong>andong> 62.8% respectively) ong>inong> 2006than ong>inong> 2009.Although ong>theong> CSI scores have ong>theong>ir imperfections, ong>theong>yprovide a quantitative sense of how well contraceptivecommodity security may be served by existong>inong>g logisticsprocurementsystems ong>andong> national commitment ong>inong> ong>theong>form of earmarked budgetary resources for commoditypurchases. The ability to measure ong>andong> assess progress ona regular basis is a critical activity ong>andong> evaluation protocolof family plannong>inong>g programmes. A data system, such asCSI, available for all ong>Asiaong>n ong>andong> ong>Pacificong> countries wouldsignificantly advance contraceptive security for ong>theong> region.Households are a major source of domestic spendong>inong>g onreproductive health ong>andong> family plannong>inong>g ong>andong> should not beneglected when assessong>inong>g ong>theong> national profile of fong>inong>ancong>inong>g.Figure 5 displays ong>theong> distribution of estimated domesticexpenditures on population by source of funds ong>inong> 2008.Compiled for ong>theong> UNFPA Fong>inong>ancial Resource Flowsfor Population Activities project, ong>theong> latest such reportof which (UNFPA ong>andong> NIDI, 2010) shows that $15.8billion (current United States dollars) was spent ong>inong> ong>theong>ong>Asiaong>n ong>andong> ong>Pacificong> region, as compared with $3.01 billionong>inong> sub-Saharan Africa, $2.55 billion ong>inong> Latong>inong> Americaong>andong> ong>theong> Caribbean, $1.01 billion ong>inong> West ong>Asiaong> ong>andong> NorthAfrica ong>andong> $0.83 billion ong>inong> Eastern ong>andong> Souong>theong>rn Europe.The leadong>inong>g ong>Asiaong>n figure is a function of ong>theong> region’spopulation size, but more importantly, ong>inong> this figure, 71per cent of ong>theong> spendong>inong>g was by consumers, i.e., out-ofpocketexpenditures on health care, ong>andong> 28 per cent wasby governments. NGO spendong>inong>g accounted for a negligibleamount. Government spendong>inong>g as a fraction of ong>theong> totalwas nearly half or greater ong>inong> ong>theong> oong>theong>r developong>inong>g regions.The high percentage of total fong>inong>ancong>inong>g that was consumerbasedis an ong>inong>dication of sustaong>inong>able contraceptive security,although national spendong>inong>g will always be a requisite forong>inong>troducong>inong>g advances ong>inong> contraceptive technologies, refong>inong>ong>inong>gpolicy ong>andong> service protocols, traong>inong>ong>inong>g ong>andong> supervisong>inong>ghealth providers’ stong>andong>ards of care, conductong>inong>g monitorong>inong>gong>andong> evaluation, ong>andong> subsidizong>inong>g ong>theong> services for ong>theong> poorestsegment of persons practisong>inong>g contraception.The maturation ong>andong> ong>inong>stitutionalization of national familyplannong>inong>g programmes withong>inong> ong>theong> health sector mostfrequently has required less ong>andong> less external assistanceover time. In addition, global resources for familyplannong>inong>g/reproductive health have been declong>inong>ong>inong>g, from43 per cent ($722.8 million) of ong>theong> total ong>inong> 1998 to 6 percent ($572.4 million) ong>inong> 2008. Resources for HIV/AIDSprevention ong>andong> treatment have been growong>inong>g from $336.2million to over $7.7 billion over ong>theong> same period. Thishas shifted ong>theong> geographic destong>inong>ation of ong>inong>ternationalfundong>inong>g for population assistance, as tracked through ong>theong>UNFPA Fong>inong>ancial Resource Flows project, which obtaong>inong>sdata from donor agencies, governments ong>andong> oong>theong>r sources.Population assistance fundong>inong>g ong>inong>cludes family plannong>inong>gong>andong> reproductive health services, STI/HIV preventionprogrammes, ong>andong> basic research, data ong>andong> population ong>andong>development policy analysis. In 2008, two thirds of ong>theong>total $10.4 billion ong>inong> estimated fundong>inong>g ($6,983 millionong>inong> 1993 United States dollars) was directed towards sub-Saharan Africa, while 18 per cent ($1,873 million) wasdirected towards ong>theong> ong>Asiaong>n ong>andong> ong>Pacificong> region.Although donor support for population activities ong>inong> ong>theong>ong>Asiaong>n ong>andong> ong>Pacificong> region is a small fraction of ong>theong> totalexpenditures, it would noneong>theong>less be helpful to examong>inong>eong>theong>ir estimated levels ong>andong> channels of distribution. Table 5is drawn from ong>theong> UNFPA report on Fong>inong>ancial ResourceFlows ong>andong> shows, ong>inong> current United States dollars, ong>theong>change ong>inong> donor expenditures over ong>theong> 10-year periodbetween 1998 ong>andong> 2008. Because ong>theong>se expenditure dataong>inong>clude fundong>inong>g for STI/HIV programmes, sizeableong>inong>creases are noted ong>inong> some countries where diseasetransmission risk is judged to be significant or where geopoliticalconsiderations have raised ong>theong> status of ong>theong>secountries as deservong>inong>g recipients. For ong>theong> populations ofong>inong>terest shown ong>inong> ong>theong> table, ong>theong> ong>Asiaong>n ong>andong> ong>Pacificong> regionreceived $1,132 million ong>inong> 2008, $1,050 million ong>inong> ong>Asiaong>ong>andong> ong>theong> remaong>inong>der ong>inong> ong>theong> ong>Pacificong>. The overall level of donorexpenditure ong>inong> 2008 was 2.79 times that of ong>theong> 1998 level(ong>inong> current United States dollars). Significant rises ong>inong>donor expenditures are seen for Afghanistan, Kazakhstan,Kyrgyzstan, ong>theong> Democratic People’s Republic of Korea,ong>theong> Philippong>inong>es, Tajikistan, Thailong>andong>, Uzbekistan ong>andong> Viet54

Nam. Nearly all economies ong>inong> ong>theong> ong>Pacificong> region reflectmajor ong>inong>creases ong>inong> donor expenditures on population,except for Fiji, Kiribati ong>andong> Tuvalu.Assumong>inong>g a relatively constant level of fundong>inong>g ong>inong>to 2009,ong>theong> per capita expenditure by donors (for women ofchildbearong>inong>g age ong>inong> union) is $1.49. It varies by subregion,from $0.31 ong>inong> East ong>Asiaong> to $4.36 ong>inong> Souong>theong>astern ong>Asiaong>,to $45.34 ong>inong> ong>theong> ong>Pacificong>, where economies of scale are lessimmediate ong>andong> HIV fundong>inong>g may be a major contributor.Agaong>inong>, countries of strategic global ong>inong>terest ong>andong> withspecial sexual ong>andong> reproductive health needs, such asAfghanistan or those ong>inong> Central ong>Asiaong>, show higher percapita ong>inong>vestments by donors than oong>theong>r countries.Although much of ong>theong> fundong>inong>g data may be driven byrises ong>inong> STI/HIV programme support, ong>theong> latter presentopportunities for family plannong>inong>g services to be long>inong>ked toor ong>inong>tegrated with sexual health ong>andong> expong>andong> ong>theong> realmof efforts for preventong>inong>g both unplanned pregnancy ong>andong>sexually transmitted ong>inong>fection.The unfong>inong>ished agenda ong>andong> goong>inong>gforwardWhile family plannong>inong>g has been hailed as one of ong>theong> 10greatest public health achievements of ong>theong> twentiethcentury (CDC, 1999), as is ong>theong> case with oong>theong>r successfulpublic health ong>inong>itiatives, one cannot simply declare victoryong>andong> shift attention ong>andong> resources to anoong>theong>r health priority.Assurong>inong>g contraceptive security ong>inong>formation ong>andong> carenecessitates contong>inong>ually alignong>inong>g both supply ong>andong> demong>andong>factors, usong>inong>g available public ong>andong> private resources tomeet ong>theong> needs of ong>theong> economically disadvantaged usersforemost, ong>andong> to obtaong>inong> maximum equity ong>inong> care. Nationalconditions for supply ong>andong> demong>andong> factors vary considerablyacross ong>theong> ong>Asiaong>n ong>andong> ong>Pacificong> region, from highly organizedsystems of service delivery ong>inong> Chong>inong>a ong>andong> India, wherenormative demong>andong> has ong>inong>creasong>inong>gly conformed to whatearlier generations of childbearong>inong>g women have beenprovided, to nascent or underperformong>inong>g systems, suchas ong>inong> Timor-Leste, Laos or Pakistan, where unsatisfieddemong>andong> is often high.There are several “certaong>inong>ties” that will frame ong>theong> futureagenda of family plannong>inong>g for ong>theong> region: (a) populationmomentum ong>andong> growth ong>inong> ong>theong> population of sexuallyactive ong>inong>dividuals ong>andong> those of childbearong>inong>g age will placepressure on existong>inong>g family plannong>inong>g resources ong>inong>dependentof oong>theong>r changes ong>inong> contraceptive supply ong>andong> demong>andong>; (b)governance ong>andong> policy models for contraceptive securitywill vary country to country where no one programmemodel will fit every situation; ong>andong> (c) factors ong>inong>fluencong>inong>gong>inong>dividual contraceptive demong>andong> will be wide rangong>inong>g,not just across but also withong>inong> countries. Social normswill play a role ong>inong> ideational change around sexual activity,gender responsibility for ong>andong> roles ong>inong> plannong>inong>g pregnancyong>andong> ong>theong> preference for contraceptive method. Trends ong>inong>gender equity ong>inong> access to educational, employment ong>andong>economic opportunities will raise contraceptive demong>andong>ong>andong> ong>inong>teract with social environmental changes ong>andong> stageof ong>theong> reproductive lifespan. For example, a rise ong>inong> condomuse among urban couples ong>inong> norong>theong>rn India has beenobserved, although at ong>theong> completion of childbearong>inong>g ong>theong>ireventual method of choice may be female sterilization, anevent that is occurrong>inong>g at ong>inong>creasong>inong>gly younger ages ( Jaong>inong>et al., 2010). Social marketong>inong>g of ong>andong> improved access tocondoms ong>inong> urban areas may be enablong>inong>g couples to practisebirth spacong>inong>g, as well as satisfy ong>theong>ir preferences for thismethod. Condom use is much higher ong>inong> urban than ruralareas of India, ong>andong> ong>inong> ong>theong> norong>theong>rn than souong>theong>rn statesof that country. Such ong>inong>ternal variation at early stages offamily formation is likely to be replicated ong>inong> oong>theong>r settong>inong>gsas sophistication with ong>theong> practice of fertility-regulatong>inong>gmethods expong>andong>s.Unsatisfied contraceptive demong>andong>, i.e., unmet need, varieswidely as well, as ong>inong>dicated ong>inong> countries where data areavailable. Laos, Maldives ong>andong> Pakistan register some ofong>theong> highest levels of unmet need (40%, 37% ong>andong> 33%respectively) ong>inong> ong>theong> region. Unmet need is substantial forCambodia (25%), Nepal (24%), Myanmar (20%), ong>theong>Philippong>inong>es (17%), ong>theong> Democratic People’s Republic ofKorea (16%) ong>andong> Mongolia (14%). These levels occuramong married couples where ong>theong> wife is not practisong>inong>gcontraception but desires to space or limit future births;ong>theong>se levels imply contong>inong>ued vulnerability to ong>theong> risk ofan unplanned pregnancy until ong>theong> need is met. Globallythis figure is estimated to be 215 million women, with apredomong>inong>ant share beong>inong>g ong>inong> ong>theong> ong>Asiaong>n region, ong>andong> ong>theong>ong>inong>cidence of unong>inong>tended pregnancies is estimated at 75million annually (Song>inong>gh et al., 2009).At ong>theong> same time, it is evident that reducong>inong>g unmet needto zero or negligible levels is possible ong>andong> nearly assuredwhere contraceptive prevalence is high, e.g., ong>inong> Viet Namwith 5 per cent unmet need ong>andong> Indonesia with 9 per cent.This ong>inong>dicator is one through which progress towardsachievong>inong>g MDG 5b is beong>inong>g monitored, ong>andong> zero tolerancefor unmet contraceptive need merits consideration foradoption by all countries fully committed to improvong>inong>g ong>theong>human condition. The cost-effectiveness of contraceptionreong>inong>forces ong>theong> social ong>andong> health value of its universal access.In terms of cost per disability-adjusted life year (DALY),modern contraceptive methods cost $62 (ong>inong> 2008 UnitedStates dollars), compared with ong>theong> cost for anti-retroviralong>theong>rapy ($150 ong>inong> India or $252-$547 ong>inong> sub-SaharanAfrica) or ong>theong> cost for oral rehydration ong>theong>rapy ($1,268)(Song>inong>gh et al., 2009).Recent calculations from ong>theong> Health Policy Initiativeproject of ong>theong> Futures Group show that contributionsfrom meetong>inong>g unmet need for family plannong>inong>g can reduce55

Nam. Nearly all ec<strong>on</strong>omies <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> regi<strong>on</strong> reflectmajor <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>creases <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> d<strong>on</strong>or expenditures <strong>on</strong> populati<strong>on</strong>,except for Fiji, Kiribati <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Tuvalu.Assum<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g a relatively c<strong>on</strong>stant level of fund<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>to 2009,<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> per capita expenditure by d<strong>on</strong>ors (for women ofchildbear<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g age <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> uni<strong>on</strong>) is $1.49. It varies by subregi<strong>on</strong>,from $0.31 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> East <str<strong>on</strong>g>Asia</str<strong>on</strong>g> to $4.36 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Sou<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>astern <str<strong>on</strong>g>Asia</str<strong>on</strong>g>,to $45.34 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g>, where ec<strong>on</strong>omies of scale are lessimmediate <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> HIV fund<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g may be a major c<strong>on</strong>tributor.Aga<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>, countries of strategic global <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>terest <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> withspecial sexual <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> reproductive health needs, such asAfghanistan or those <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Central <str<strong>on</strong>g>Asia</str<strong>on</strong>g>, show higher percapita <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>vestments by d<strong>on</strong>ors than o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r countries.Although much of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fund<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g data may be driven byrises <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> STI/HIV programme support, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> latter presentopportunities for family plann<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g services to be l<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ked toor <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>tegrated with sexual health <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> exp<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> realmof efforts for prevent<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g both unplanned pregnancy <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>sexually transmitted <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>fecti<strong>on</strong>.The unf<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ished agenda <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> go<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gforwardWhile family plann<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g has been hailed as <strong>on</strong>e of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> 10greatest public health achievements of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> twentiethcentury (CDC, 1999), as is <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> case with o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r successfulpublic health <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>itiatives, <strong>on</strong>e cannot simply declare victory<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> shift attenti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> resources to ano<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r health priority.Assur<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g c<strong>on</strong>traceptive security <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>formati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> carenecessitates c<strong>on</strong>t<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ually align<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g both supply <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>factors, us<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g available public <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> private resources tomeet <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> needs of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ec<strong>on</strong>omically disadvantaged usersforemost, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> to obta<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> maximum equity <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> care. Nati<strong>on</strong>alc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s for supply <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> factors vary c<strong>on</strong>siderablyacross <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Asia</str<strong>on</strong>g>n <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Pacific</str<strong>on</strong>g> regi<strong>on</strong>, from highly organizedsystems of service delivery <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Ch<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>a <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> India, wherenormative dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> has <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>creas<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gly c<strong>on</strong>formed to whatearlier generati<strong>on</strong>s of childbear<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g women have beenprovided, to nascent or underperform<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g systems, suchas <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Timor-Leste, Laos or Pakistan, where unsatisfieddem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> is often high.There are several “certa<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ties” that will frame <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> futureagenda of family plann<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g for <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> regi<strong>on</strong>: (a) populati<strong>on</strong>momentum <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> populati<strong>on</strong> of sexuallyactive <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dividuals <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> those of childbear<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g age will placepressure <strong>on</strong> exist<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g family plann<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g resources <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dependentof o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r changes <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>traceptive supply <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>; (b)governance <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> policy models for c<strong>on</strong>traceptive securitywill vary country to country where no <strong>on</strong>e programmemodel will fit every situati<strong>on</strong>; <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> (c) factors <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>fluenc<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dividual c<strong>on</strong>traceptive dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> will be wide rang<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g,not just across but also with<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> countries. Social normswill play a role <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> ideati<strong>on</strong>al change around sexual activity,gender resp<strong>on</strong>sibility for <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> roles <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> plann<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g pregnancy<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> preference for c<strong>on</strong>traceptive method. Trends <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gender equity <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> access to educati<strong>on</strong>al, employment <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>omic opportunities will raise c<strong>on</strong>traceptive dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>teract with social envir<strong>on</strong>mental changes <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> stageof <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> reproductive lifespan. For example, a rise <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>domuse am<strong>on</strong>g urban couples <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> nor<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rn India has beenobserved, although at <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> completi<strong>on</strong> of childbear<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ireventual method of choice may be female sterilizati<strong>on</strong>, anevent that is occurr<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g at <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>creas<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gly younger ages ( Ja<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>et al., 2010). Social market<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g of <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> improved access toc<strong>on</strong>doms <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> urban areas may be enabl<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g couples to practisebirth spac<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g, as well as satisfy <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>ir preferences for thismethod. C<strong>on</strong>dom use is much higher <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> urban than ruralareas of India, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> nor<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rn than sou<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rn statesof that country. Such <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ternal variati<strong>on</strong> at early stages offamily formati<strong>on</strong> is likely to be replicated <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> o<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r sett<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gsas sophisticati<strong>on</strong> with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> practice of fertility-regulat<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gmethods exp<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s.Unsatisfied c<strong>on</strong>traceptive dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, i.e., unmet need, varieswidely as well, as <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dicated <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> countries where data areavailable. Laos, Maldives <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Pakistan register some of<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> highest levels of unmet need (40%, 37% <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 33%respectively) <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> regi<strong>on</strong>. Unmet need is substantial forCambodia (25%), Nepal (24%), Myanmar (20%), <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>Philipp<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>es (17%), <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Democratic People’s Republic ofKorea (16%) <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> M<strong>on</strong>golia (14%). These levels occuram<strong>on</strong>g married couples where <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> wife is not practis<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gc<strong>on</strong>tracepti<strong>on</strong> but desires to space or limit future births;<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se levels imply c<strong>on</strong>t<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ued vulnerability to <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk ofan unplanned pregnancy until <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> need is met. Globallythis figure is estimated to be 215 milli<strong>on</strong> women, with apredom<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>ant share be<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Asia</str<strong>on</strong>g>n regi<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>cidence of un<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>tended pregnancies is estimated at 75milli<strong>on</strong> annually (S<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gh et al., 2009).At <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> same time, it is evident that reduc<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g unmet needto zero or negligible levels is possible <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> nearly assuredwhere c<strong>on</strong>traceptive prevalence is high, e.g., <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> Viet Namwith 5 per cent unmet need <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Ind<strong>on</strong>esia with 9 per cent.This <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>dicator is <strong>on</strong>e through which progress towardsachiev<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g MDG 5b is be<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g m<strong>on</strong>itored, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> zero tolerancefor unmet c<strong>on</strong>traceptive need merits c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> foradopti<strong>on</strong> by all countries fully committed to improv<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>human c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>. The cost-effectiveness of c<strong>on</strong>tracepti<strong>on</strong>re<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>forces <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> social <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> health value of its universal access.In terms of cost per disability-adjusted life year (DALY),modern c<strong>on</strong>traceptive methods cost $62 (<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> 2008 UnitedStates dollars), compared with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> cost for anti-retroviral<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rapy ($150 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> India or $252-$547 <str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g> sub-SaharanAfrica) or <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> cost for oral rehydrati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>rapy ($1,268)(S<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>gh et al., 2009).Recent calculati<strong>on</strong>s from <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Health Policy Initiativeproject of <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Futures Group show that c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>sfrom meet<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g unmet need for family plann<str<strong>on</strong>g>in</str<strong>on</strong>g>g can reduce55

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