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The good, the bad and the ugly: the shape of things to ... - AviTrader

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Edi<strong>to</strong>r‘s Page 3<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>good</strong>, <strong>the</strong> <strong>bad</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ugly</strong>: <strong>the</strong> <strong>shape</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>things</strong> <strong>to</strong> come in 2012<br />

WE ARE DELIGHTED TO BRING yOU our<br />

December issue <strong>of</strong> <strong>AviTrader</strong> MRO, our final<br />

for <strong>the</strong> year - <strong>and</strong> what a year it has been,<br />

from <strong>the</strong> record orders for aircraft, engines<br />

<strong>and</strong> services coming out <strong>of</strong> Le Bourget <strong>and</strong><br />

Dubai <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> dire forecasts for recession <strong>and</strong><br />

billion-dollar losses in <strong>the</strong> industry <strong>of</strong>fered earlier<br />

this month by IATA.<br />

It’s not <strong>the</strong> first time that <strong>the</strong> aviation industry<br />

will have been faced with crippling financial<br />

circumstances, <strong>and</strong> it’s a given that <strong>the</strong> MRO<br />

sec<strong>to</strong>r will wea<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> s<strong>to</strong>rm, almost certainly<br />

stronger for <strong>the</strong> experience <strong>and</strong> probably minus<br />

a few members as <strong>the</strong> laws <strong>of</strong> survival lead<br />

<strong>to</strong> continued consolidation <strong>and</strong> cutbacks.<br />

As you’ll see in <strong>the</strong>se pages, a number <strong>of</strong> industry<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>essionals <strong>to</strong>ok <strong>the</strong> time <strong>to</strong> share with us<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir hopes <strong>and</strong> fears for <strong>the</strong> year ahead. Without<br />

exception, <strong>the</strong>y believe it won’t be an easy<br />

12 months, but it’s clear that <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Contents<br />

coming downturn will depend very much on<br />

where you live <strong>and</strong> work.<br />

One case in particular caught our attention<br />

this month: TAP Maintenance & Engineering,<br />

part <strong>of</strong> Portugal’s state-owned TAP group that<br />

is earmarked for privatization by <strong>the</strong> Portuguese<br />

government by next June as part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

country’s austerity drive. With one foot firmly<br />

planted in <strong>the</strong> burgeoning Brazilian MRO market<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r in struggling Europe, <strong>the</strong><br />

company is courting bids from both sides <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> Atlantic in a process that could well characterize<br />

market dynamics in <strong>the</strong> year ahead.<br />

Long-established opera<strong>to</strong>rs from <strong>the</strong> old continent<br />

looking at unrivalled routes <strong>to</strong> Brazil -<br />

or ambitious ‘new world’ sui<strong>to</strong>rs keen <strong>to</strong> take<br />

on South America’s biggest MRO <strong>and</strong> build<br />

it from <strong>the</strong>re? This time next year, we’ll look<br />

back <strong>and</strong> say that we saw it coming!<br />

Again, we thank <strong>the</strong> IBA for <strong>the</strong>ir invaluable<br />

<strong>The</strong> future <strong>of</strong> TAP M&E’s facilities in Rio de Janeiro will be decided by June 2012 TAP M&E Brazil<br />

Industry News - Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4<br />

Company News - Sabena technics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5<br />

Technology News . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6<br />

Cover S<strong>to</strong>ry: <strong>The</strong> MRO Outlook for 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8-15<br />

Cover S<strong>to</strong>ry: <strong>The</strong> MRO Outlook - IBA Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8-11<br />

Cover S<strong>to</strong>ry: <strong>The</strong> MRO Outlook - <strong>The</strong> Case for South America . . . . . . . . . 12<br />

<strong>The</strong> Aftermarket Heats Up . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13-14<br />

Lessor Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15<br />

IBA Analysis: <strong>The</strong> Dubai Airshow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18<br />

News in Brief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19-23<br />

Industry People on <strong>the</strong> Move . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23<br />

contributions over <strong>the</strong> year, <strong>and</strong> this month<br />

in particular, with commercial manager Ben<br />

Jacques’ insight in<strong>to</strong> what lies ahead in 2012 as<br />

well as his analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> as<strong>to</strong>nishing volume <strong>of</strong><br />

orders from last month’s Dubai Airshow.<br />

We look forward <strong>to</strong> ano<strong>the</strong>r 12 months <strong>of</strong><br />

bringing you <strong>the</strong> latest industry news <strong>and</strong> exclusive<br />

market insight, not just in <strong>the</strong> pages <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>AviTrader</strong> MRO but also our <strong>AviTrader</strong> Weekly<br />

News Headlines <strong>and</strong> our Daily News Alert.<br />

Looking ahead <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> New Year, we’ll be bringing<br />

you our ‘Engine Issue’ in January, with a focus<br />

on spare engine availability <strong>and</strong> spare engine<br />

parts, while February will take us <strong>to</strong> Asia <strong>to</strong> see<br />

how companies both in <strong>the</strong> region <strong>and</strong> beyond<br />

are preparing <strong>to</strong> get a piece <strong>of</strong> this fast-growing<br />

MRO market. March will see our main s<strong>to</strong>ry devoted<br />

<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> repair <strong>and</strong> logistics <strong>of</strong> wheels <strong>and</strong><br />

brakes. As usual, we welcome your input - send<br />

your comments <strong>to</strong> us at edi<strong>to</strong>r@avitrader.com.<br />

<strong>AviTrader</strong><br />

MRO<br />

Published monthly by<br />

<strong>AviTrader</strong> Publications Corp.<br />

9500 Aquila Road<br />

Richmond, BC<br />

Canada V7A 3P9<br />

Email: peter.jorssen@avitrader.com<br />

Tel: +1 (604) 448 0970<br />

www.avitrader.com<br />

Edi<strong>to</strong>rial<br />

Ca<strong>the</strong>rine Davies, Edi<strong>to</strong>r<br />

Email: edi<strong>to</strong>r@avitrader.com<br />

Tel: +44 (0) 1442 870 058<br />

Mobile: +44 (0) 7772 896 280<br />

Advertising inquiries<br />

Jenny Falk<br />

Head <strong>of</strong> Sales & Marketing<br />

Email: jenny.falk@avitrader.com<br />

Tel: +49 (0) 8761 346007<br />

Registration<br />

<strong>AviTrader</strong> MRO is a subscription-free<br />

monthly publication. To receive a copy in<br />

your inbox every month, please send an<br />

email with <strong>the</strong> subject “subscribe” <strong>to</strong> oemmro@avitrader<br />

com<br />

Opinion<br />

Please send your comments <strong>and</strong> queries <strong>to</strong><br />

edi<strong>to</strong>r@avitrader.com<br />

<strong>AviTrader</strong> MRO - December 2011

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