The good, the bad and the ugly: the shape of things to ... - AviTrader
The good, the bad and the ugly: the shape of things to ... - AviTrader
The good, the bad and the ugly: the shape of things to ... - AviTrader
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Edi<strong>to</strong>r‘s Page 3<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>good</strong>, <strong>the</strong> <strong>bad</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ugly</strong>: <strong>the</strong> <strong>shape</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>things</strong> <strong>to</strong> come in 2012<br />
WE ARE DELIGHTED TO BRING yOU our<br />
December issue <strong>of</strong> <strong>AviTrader</strong> MRO, our final<br />
for <strong>the</strong> year - <strong>and</strong> what a year it has been,<br />
from <strong>the</strong> record orders for aircraft, engines<br />
<strong>and</strong> services coming out <strong>of</strong> Le Bourget <strong>and</strong><br />
Dubai <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> dire forecasts for recession <strong>and</strong><br />
billion-dollar losses in <strong>the</strong> industry <strong>of</strong>fered earlier<br />
this month by IATA.<br />
It’s not <strong>the</strong> first time that <strong>the</strong> aviation industry<br />
will have been faced with crippling financial<br />
circumstances, <strong>and</strong> it’s a given that <strong>the</strong> MRO<br />
sec<strong>to</strong>r will wea<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> s<strong>to</strong>rm, almost certainly<br />
stronger for <strong>the</strong> experience <strong>and</strong> probably minus<br />
a few members as <strong>the</strong> laws <strong>of</strong> survival lead<br />
<strong>to</strong> continued consolidation <strong>and</strong> cutbacks.<br />
As you’ll see in <strong>the</strong>se pages, a number <strong>of</strong> industry<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>essionals <strong>to</strong>ok <strong>the</strong> time <strong>to</strong> share with us<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir hopes <strong>and</strong> fears for <strong>the</strong> year ahead. Without<br />
exception, <strong>the</strong>y believe it won’t be an easy<br />
12 months, but it’s clear that <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
Contents<br />
coming downturn will depend very much on<br />
where you live <strong>and</strong> work.<br />
One case in particular caught our attention<br />
this month: TAP Maintenance & Engineering,<br />
part <strong>of</strong> Portugal’s state-owned TAP group that<br />
is earmarked for privatization by <strong>the</strong> Portuguese<br />
government by next June as part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
country’s austerity drive. With one foot firmly<br />
planted in <strong>the</strong> burgeoning Brazilian MRO market<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r in struggling Europe, <strong>the</strong><br />
company is courting bids from both sides <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> Atlantic in a process that could well characterize<br />
market dynamics in <strong>the</strong> year ahead.<br />
Long-established opera<strong>to</strong>rs from <strong>the</strong> old continent<br />
looking at unrivalled routes <strong>to</strong> Brazil -<br />
or ambitious ‘new world’ sui<strong>to</strong>rs keen <strong>to</strong> take<br />
on South America’s biggest MRO <strong>and</strong> build<br />
it from <strong>the</strong>re? This time next year, we’ll look<br />
back <strong>and</strong> say that we saw it coming!<br />
Again, we thank <strong>the</strong> IBA for <strong>the</strong>ir invaluable<br />
<strong>The</strong> future <strong>of</strong> TAP M&E’s facilities in Rio de Janeiro will be decided by June 2012 TAP M&E Brazil<br />
Industry News - Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4<br />
Company News - Sabena technics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5<br />
Technology News . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6<br />
Cover S<strong>to</strong>ry: <strong>The</strong> MRO Outlook for 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8-15<br />
Cover S<strong>to</strong>ry: <strong>The</strong> MRO Outlook - IBA Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8-11<br />
Cover S<strong>to</strong>ry: <strong>The</strong> MRO Outlook - <strong>The</strong> Case for South America . . . . . . . . . 12<br />
<strong>The</strong> Aftermarket Heats Up . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13-14<br />
Lessor Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15<br />
IBA Analysis: <strong>The</strong> Dubai Airshow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18<br />
News in Brief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19-23<br />
Industry People on <strong>the</strong> Move . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23<br />
contributions over <strong>the</strong> year, <strong>and</strong> this month<br />
in particular, with commercial manager Ben<br />
Jacques’ insight in<strong>to</strong> what lies ahead in 2012 as<br />
well as his analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> as<strong>to</strong>nishing volume <strong>of</strong><br />
orders from last month’s Dubai Airshow.<br />
We look forward <strong>to</strong> ano<strong>the</strong>r 12 months <strong>of</strong><br />
bringing you <strong>the</strong> latest industry news <strong>and</strong> exclusive<br />
market insight, not just in <strong>the</strong> pages <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>AviTrader</strong> MRO but also our <strong>AviTrader</strong> Weekly<br />
News Headlines <strong>and</strong> our Daily News Alert.<br />
Looking ahead <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> New Year, we’ll be bringing<br />
you our ‘Engine Issue’ in January, with a focus<br />
on spare engine availability <strong>and</strong> spare engine<br />
parts, while February will take us <strong>to</strong> Asia <strong>to</strong> see<br />
how companies both in <strong>the</strong> region <strong>and</strong> beyond<br />
are preparing <strong>to</strong> get a piece <strong>of</strong> this fast-growing<br />
MRO market. March will see our main s<strong>to</strong>ry devoted<br />
<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> repair <strong>and</strong> logistics <strong>of</strong> wheels <strong>and</strong><br />
brakes. As usual, we welcome your input - send<br />
your comments <strong>to</strong> us at edi<strong>to</strong>r@avitrader.com.<br />
<strong>AviTrader</strong><br />
MRO<br />
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Edi<strong>to</strong>rial<br />
Ca<strong>the</strong>rine Davies, Edi<strong>to</strong>r<br />
Email: edi<strong>to</strong>r@avitrader.com<br />
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<strong>AviTrader</strong> MRO - December 2011