IndexOcean acidification, 185, 261Oceania, 260-261Open oceans, 261PPacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)[*], 153, 157Pacific Island Countries, 183, 263-264Pacific Ocean, 181, 184, 263Pakistan, 457Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), 168-169Permafrost[*], 189-190case study, 514-517infrastructure and, 367observed changes, 120, 186-188, 189-190projected changes, 15, 114, 120regional impacts, 263Perturbed-physics ensembles, 131-133Philadelphia, 495Philippines, 239, 519-522, 526Physical environment, 109-230impacts on, 119-120, 167-190Planning, 10, 462-469adaptation planning, 349-357, 443-444community participation in, 28development, 439local level, 308-313national level, 349-357, 380risk reduction, 69urban planning, 460-461Polar regions, 261-263Politician’s dilemma, 452Polluter pays principle, 400Population growth, 237, 238Population movements. See MigrationPost-disaster credit, 419Post-disaster recovery and reconstruction, 10,293, 301, 315, 439, 457Post-traumatic stress disorder, 252Poverty, 20, 314, 344rural, 238vulnerability/exposure and, 87, 247, 400, 441Poverty reduction strategies, 410Poverty traps, 451, 452Precautionary principle, 402Precipitation, 8, 141-149attribution of changes, 143-144, 149observed changes, 41, 119, 142-144, 149projected changes, 13, 14, 15, 113, 119, 144-149,144-146, 191-202rainfall, 113, 119, 142-144, 148, 149regional impacts, 253-254, 255regional projections, 191-202snowfall, 141, 189uncertainties, 148-149See also Drought; FloodsPreparedness, 36, 364-366, 369, 376-377, 517-519Prevention, 36, 69See also Disaster risk reductionPreventionWeb, 404, 405, 424Private sector organizations, 347-348Probabilistic risk analysis, 42, 43, 44-45, 446Probability distributions, 7, 7, 40, 41, 116-117,117, 121Probability of occurrence, 40, 41See also Return period; Return valueProjected changes, 11-16, 18-19, 112-114, 119-120,133-152coastal impacts, 113, 120, 183-186cyclones, extratropical, 13, 272cyclones, tropical, 161-163, 271, 272drought, 19, 113-114, 119, 172-175, 173ENSO, 113, 119, 156-157floods, 13, 113, 119, 177-178glaciers and mountains, 189heat waves, 15, 19, 114monsoons, 153-157permafrost, 114, 120, 190precipitation, 13, 14, 15, 113, 144-149, 191-202sand/dust storms, 190sea level, 15, 120, 179-180temperature, 12, 13, 112-113, 119, 133-152, 137,138, 191-202wind, 13, 113, 119, 151-152, 151, 248Projections[*], 11-16, 119-120, 462-463likelihood/confidence in, 112, 120-121time scale of, 112uncertainty and, 112, 130-133See also Climate models; ScenariosProperty, 293Property rights, 306Psychological/mental health, 252, 316Public awareness, 364-366, 526-529Public goods, 341, 363, 399-400Public health, 83, 529heat waves and, 492-493infectious diseases, 252, 253, 259, 316, 507-510Public-private partnerships, 343, 347RRace/ethnicity, 84, 315RANET, 423, 424Rationing, 307Reconstruction, 10, 301, 457Recovery and reconstruction, 10, 293, 301, 315,439, 457funding for, 417Red Cross/Red Crescent, 348, 359, 403, 409, 410Refugees, 238, 412international refugee law, 396, 402, 412Regime shifts (ecosystems), 122, 170, 445, 448Regional climate models, 129-133Regional climate projections, 121-122, 191-202cyclones and floods, 240-241precipitation, 145-146, 147-149, 191-202temperature, 135, 138, 139-140, 141, 191-202Regional costs/economic losses, 256, 270, 270adaptation costs, 273-274, 274Regional development banks, 411Regional impacts, 252-264Regional risk pools, 372, 400, 419, 420, 524-525Regrets/low regrets, 16-17, 56, 342, 351, 352-354,376Reinsurance, 323, 362, 364, 524-525ReliefWeb, 423Relocation, 293, 300-301Remittances, 418-419Republic of Korea, 201, 246Republic of the Marshall Islands, 512-514Resilience[*], 20, 34, 437-486access to resources, 454-458adaptation and, 443-450building, 376, 378concept/definition, 5, 34, 238disaster risk management and, 443-450, 458-462equity and, 454-456integration of policies, 11, 439, 450-454, 469-471interactions among processes, 324, 440, 458-462long-term options, 462-469multi-hazard risk management, 439, 450multiple approaches and pathways, 17, 440national/government actions, 376pathways to, 442planning and proactive actions, 462-469practical steps for, 470questioning assumptions and, 20, 439risk and uncertainty and, 442risk sharing/transfer and, 10-11, 465short- and long-term responses, 450-454sustainable development, 454-458synergies of DRM and adaptation, 469-471thresholds and tipping points, 458-459transformation and, 442vulnerability and, 72Resilience thinking, 453-454Resistance, 38Resourcesaccess to, 454-456scarcity of, 297, 316storage and rationing, 307Responsibilitycommon but differentiated, 400corporate, 347responsibility to protect, 396, 412shared, 400-401Return period[*], 46, 113precipitation projections, 142, 146, 147, 198temperature projections, 135, 137, 140Return value[*], 117, 121precipitation projections, 141, 145-146, 147, 196temperature projections, 135, 139-140, 141, 196Rights, 401, 403, 447International Bill of Rights, 411Rio Earth Summit, 400-401Risk, 65-108, 444acceptability of, 361, 362factors in, 69-70judgments about, 45, 46-47social construction of, 36-37, 45systemic, 399unacceptable, 442underestimation of, 452Risk acceptance threshold, 361Risk accumulation, 95-96Risk assessment, 27, 67, 90-95challenges in, 27, 46local level, 294methods, 274uncertainty and, 274Risk awareness, 364-366Risk communication, 17, 67, 95, 294, 302-304,303, 376Risk governance framework, 27, 44Risk identification, 90, 369Risk-linked securities, 419-420Risk management, 16-20, 34, 376effective, 17, 67, 439integrated systems approach, 27international, 393-435iterative, 47-48local, 291-338multi-hazard approaches, 17, 439, 450national, 339-392sector-based, 352-354, 357short-term strategies, 305-306See also Disaster risk managementRisk-neutral approach, 360-361Risk pooling, 11, 343, 372, 400, 419, 523, 524-525580
IndexRisk sharing, 10-11, 397, 523international level, 397, 418-421local level, 321-323national level, 371-373, 376Risk transfer[*], 10-11, 35, 294-295, 371-373, 465case study, 522-525international level, 397, 419-421, 523local level, 294-295, 321-323, 523national and sector-based programs, 352-354national systems, 341, 355, 371-373, 376, 523River discharge/runoff, 176-178River regulation, 176, 238dams, 176, 304, 415Robustness, 56Runoff[*], 177, 238, 262Rural areas, 79-80, 461-462continuum with urban areas, 298Russian Federation, 262SSafety, culture of, 362-366Saffir-Simpson scale, 149, 158, 162, 502Sahara, 193, 199drought, 174precipitation, 145-146, 193, 199sand/dust storms, 190temperature, 139-140, 193, 199Sahel, 171, 190Saijo City, 528Saltwater intrusion, 114, 184-185Samaritan’s dilemma, 452Sand and dust storms, 190, 254Satellite-based technologies, 416, 423Saudi Arabia, 415Scale, 111-112, 132coordination/linking across, 358-360, 360exposure and, 237individual, 38, 39integration across scales, 397, 426-427multiple scales, 448-450small- and medium-scale, 38territorial, 39timescales, 88-89, 112Scenario development, 462-463Scenarios, 11-12, 112-113precipitation projections, 145-146, 147-149SRES, 112-113, 136-137, 137-140, 141temperature projections, 137-138, 139-140, 141Scenarios-impacts approach, 350-351, 350School curricula, 526Science and technology, 89Sea ice, 122, 261, 262Sea level, 178-180change[*], 120coastal impacts, 18, 182, 183, 184, 185extreme, 18, 178-180mean[*], 178observed changes, 120, 178-179projected changes, 15, 120, 179-180small island states and, 184, 263Sea level rise, 113, 178-179impacts, 18, 184, 248, 263observed changes, 178-179projected changes, 15, 113, 179-180Sea surface temperature[*], 185, 261Sector-based organizations, 357Sectors, 235, 239-252DRM/adaptation, 352-354, 357See also specific sectorsSettlement patterns, 7-8, 78-80, 234, 235, 247-251See also Human settlementsShared responsibility, 400-401Shelter-in-place, 308-309Simulations, 462-463Skewed development processes, 10, 67, 70Slums. See Informal settlementsSmall island states, 18, 184-185, 263-264case study, 512-514coastal impacts, 183drought, 264impacts, 15, 183, 248, 251relocation issues, 300-301, 368sea level and, 184, 263small island developing states (SIDS), 18, 512-514tourism impacts, 251, 251vulnerability/exposure, 114, 184, 235, 248, 263, 263Snow load, 514, 515Snowmelt, 113, 119, 175-178Snowpack, 176-177Social capital, 310, 315Social construction, 36-37, 45, 70Social groups, vulnerability, 81Social impacts, 42-43Social justice, 320Social networks, 310-311, 315web-based, 423Social norms, 310Socio-ecological systems, 441Socio-political networks, 309, 309Socioeconomic change/inequities, 10, 238Socioeconomic conditions, 16, 234, 235, 238, 410Socioeconomic systems, 237-239Soft law, 401, 402, 403-404Soft vs hard engineering, 448Soil moisture[*], 118-119, 124, 167-175, 167-169, 173soil moisture anomalies (SMA), 15, 169, 172, 173soil moisture drought, 168-169, 171-172Solidarity, 400-401, 420-421, 523South Africa, 193, 199case study (DRM legislation), 519-522collective action in, 322precipitation, 145-146, 147, 193, 199temperature, 139-140, 193, 199South America, 255-256adaptation costs, 273, 274drought, 171, 174floods, 176precipitation, 142, 145-146, 148, 194, 200, 255temperature, 134, 135, 135, 138, 139-140, 141,194, 200waves, 181wildfires, 255-256South Asia, 195, 201Southern Annular Mode (SAM)[*], 150, 157-158Space-based monitoring, 416Special Climate Change Fund (SCCF), 406SRES emissions scenarios, 112-113, 136-137,137-140, 141Stationarity/non-stationarity, 46, 131Statistical downscaling, 129-131, 147Storm surge[*], 158, 179-180regional impacts, 254, 260, 261Storm tracks[*], poleward shift in, 8, 164-166Streamflow[*], 176-177Structural measures, 293, 304-306, 415Sub-Saharan Africaadaptation costs, 273, 274floods, 176food security, 368MDGs, 410Subsidiarity[*], 401Surprises, 122Susceptibility, 72, 183Sustainability, 20, 437-486adaptation and, 444DRM and, 440, 443-450, 458-462of ecosystem services, 445-446incremental steps, 439, 442interactions of mitigation, adaptation, and DRM,20, 440, 458-462multiple approaches, 440practical steps for, 470prerequisites for, 440synergies of DRM and adaptation, 469-471thresholds and tipping points, 20, 458-459transformational change, 20, 439, 465-469See also ResilienceSustainable development[*], 20, 439-440climate change and, 444DRM and, 440, 443-446questioning assumptions in, 20, 439technology and, 414-418Sustainable land management, 293Synergies, 48-50, 68, 357, 397, 469-471Syria, 498-500Systemic risks, 399TTampere Convention, 402, 411Tanzania, 39Teacher training, 526-527Technology, 89, 366-368, 447-448adaptation and, 414-415, 415emphasis on (FAQ), 448extreme events and, 416-417hard vs soft, 448international technical support, 409-410Technology choices, 447-448Technology Mechanism, 408Technology transfer, 397, 414-418, 448financing for, 417Temperature, 133-141agricultural impacts, 247attribution of changes, 135-136, 141case studies, 492-498, 514-517extremes, 135, 137, 138, 141extremes, projected, 13, 112-113, 119, 133-152,137, 138global surface[*], 126observed changes, 119, 133-136, 141polar regions, 262-263projected changes, 12, 13, 119, 135, 136-141,137-140, 191-202regional projections, 191-202sea surface[*], 185, 261summary, 141uncertainties, 141See also Heat wavesThailand, 448Thermohaline circulation, 122Three Mile Island, 45Thresholds, 20, 458-459abrupt climate change, 122absolute, 116extreme events, 116infrastructure, 366risk acceptance, 361581
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- Page 553 and 554: Chapter 9Case StudiesUNESC, 2000: A
- Page 555: IV Annexes I to IV
- Page 558 and 559: Authors and Expert ReviewersAnnex I
- Page 560 and 561: Authors and Expert ReviewersAnnex I
- Page 562 and 563: Authors and Expert ReviewersAnnex I
- Page 564 and 565: Authors and Expert ReviewersAnnex I
- Page 566 and 567: Authors and Expert ReviewersAnnex I
- Page 568 and 569: Glossary of TermsAnnex IIAbrupt cli
- Page 570 and 571: Glossary of TermsAnnex IIor anthrop
- Page 572 and 573: Glossary of TermsAnnex IIFrozen gro
- Page 574 and 575: Glossary of TermsAnnex IIand time s
- Page 576 and 577: Glossary of TermsAnnex IImain track
- Page 578 and 579: AcronymsAnnex IIIAAO Antarctic Osci
- Page 580 and 581: AcronymsAnnex III568
- Page 582 and 583: List of Major IPCC ReportsAnnex IVC
- Page 584 and 585: List of Major IPCC ReportsAnnex IV5
- Page 586 and 587: IndexIndex | KeyTerms defined in th
- Page 588 and 589: IndexDemographic changes, 80, 234-2
- Page 590 and 591: Indexregional impacts, 259vulnerabi
- Page 594: Indextipping points, 122, 351, 458-