IPCC Report.pdf - Adam Curry

Climate Change: New Dimensions in Disaster Risk, Exposure, Vulnerability, and ResilienceChapter 1long timeframe associated with climate change, robust adaptation efforts would require iterative risk managementstrategies. [1.1.3, 1.3.2, 1.4.1.2, 1.4.2, 1.4.5, Box 1-4]Projected trends and uncertainty in hazards, exposure, and vulnerability associated with climate changeand development make return to the status quo, coping, or static resilience increasingly insufficient goalsfor disaster risk management and adaptation (high confidence). Recent approaches to resilience of socialecologicalsystems expand beyond these concepts to include the ability to self-organize, learn, and adapt over time.[1.1.2.1, 1.1.2.2, 1.4.1.2, 1.4.2, 1.4.4]Given shortcomings of past disaster risk management and the new dimension of climate change, greatlyimproved and strengthened disaster risk management and adaptation will be needed, as part ofdevelopment processes, in order to reduce future risk (high confidence). Efforts will be more effective wheninformed by the experience and success with disaster risk management in different regions during recent decades, andappropriate approaches for risk identification, reduction, transfer, and disaster management. In the future, thepractices of disaster risk management and adaptation can each greatly benefit from far greater synergy and linkage ininstitutional, financial, policy, strategic, and practical terms. [1.1.1, 1.1.2.2, 1.1.3, 1.3.3, 1.4.2]Community participation in planning, the determined use of local and community knowledge and capacities,and the decentralization of decisionmaking, supported by and in synergy with national and internationalpolicies and actions, are critical for disaster risk reduction (high confidence). The use of local level risk andcontext analysis methodologies, inspired by disaster risk management and now strongly accepted by many civil societyand government agencies in work on adaptation at the local levels, would foster greater integration between, andgreater effectiveness of, both adaptation to climate change and disaster risk management. [1.1.2.2, 1.1.4.2, 1.3.3, 1.4.2]28