IPCC Report.pdf - Adam Curry

Chapter 3Changes in Climate Extremes and their Impacts on the Natural Physical EnvironmentSmits, A., A.M.G.K. Tank, and G.P. Konnen, 2005: Trends in storminess over theNetherlands, 1962-2002. International Journal of Climatology, 25(10), 1331-1344.Soares, W.R., and J.A. Marengo, 2009: Assessments of moisture fluxes east of theAndes in South America in a global warming scenario. International Journal ofClimatology, 29(10), 1395-1414.Son, S.W., L.M. Polvani, D.W. Waugh, H. Akiyoshi, R. Garcia, D. Kinnison, S. Pawson, E.Rozanov, T.G. Shepherd, and K. Shibata, 2008: The impact of stratospheric ozonerecovery on the Southern Hemisphere westerly jet. Science, 320(5882),1486-1489.Son, S.W., E.P. Gerber, J. Perlwitz, L.M. Polvani, N.P. Gillett, K.H. Seo, V. Eyring, T.G.Shepherd, D. Waugh, H. Akiyoshi, J. Austin, A. Baumgaertner, S. Bekki, P.Braesicke, C. Bruhl, N. Butchart, M.P. Chipperfield, D. Cugnet, M. Dameris, S.Dhomse, S. Frith, H. Garny, R. Garcia, S.C. Hardiman, P. Jockel, J.F. Lamarque, E.Mancini, M. Marchand, M. Michou, T. Nakamura, O. Morgenstern, G. Pitari, D.A.Plummer, J. Pyle, E. Rozanov, J.F. Scinocca, K. Shibata, D. Smale, H. Teyssedre, W.Tian, and Y. Yamashita, 2010: Impact of stratospheric ozone on SouthernHemisphere circulation change: A multimodel assessment. Journal ofGeophysical Research – Atmospheres, 115, D00M07.Sørensen, L.S., S.B. Simonsen, K. Nielsen, P. Lucas-Picher, G. Spada, G.Adalgeirsdottir, R. Forsberg, and C.S. Hvidberg, 2011: Mass balance of theGreenland ice sheet (2003–2008) from ICESat data – the impact of interpolation,sampling and firn density. The Cryosphere, 5(1), 173-186.Sorensson, A.A., C.G. Menéndez, R. Ruscica, P. Alexander, P. Samuelsson, and U.Willén, 2010: Projected precipitation changes in South America: a dynamicaldownscaling within CLARIS. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 19(4), 347-355.Sorteberg, A. and J.E. Walsh, 2008: Seasonal cyclone variability at 70 degrees N andits impact on moisture transport into the Arctic. Tellus Series A – DynamicMeteorology and Oceanography, 60(3), 570-586.Sosio, R., G.B. Crosta, and O. Hungr, 2008: Complete dynamic modeling calibrationfor the Thurwieser rock avalanche (Italian Central Alps) Engineering Geology,100(1-2), 11-26.Stahl, K., H. Hisdal, J. Hannaford, L.M. Tallaksen, H.A.J. van Lanen, E. Sauquet, S.Demuth, M. Fendekova, and J. Jódar, 2010: Streamflow trends in Europe:evidence from a dataset of near-natural catchments. Hydrology and EarthSystem Sciences Discussion, 7(4), 5769-5804.Stephenson, D.B., H.F. Diaz, and R.J. Murnane, 2008: Definition, diagnosis, andorigin of extreme weather and climate events. In: Climate Extremes and Society[Murnane, R.J. and H.F. Diaz (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK,pp. 11-23.Stephenson, T.S., C.M. Goodess, M.R. Haylock, A.A. Chen, and M.A. Taylor, 2008:Detecting inhomogeneities in Caribbean and adjacent Caribbean temperaturedata using sea-surface temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research –Atmospheres, 113, D21116.Sterl, A., C. Severijns, H. Dijkstra, W. Hazeleger, G.J. van Oldenborgh, M. van denBroeke, G. Burgers, B. van den Hurk, P.J. van Leeuwen, and P. van Velthoven,2008: When can we expect extremely high surface temperatures? GeophysicalResearch Letters, 35, L14703.Sterl, A., H. van den Brink, H. de Vries, R. Haarsma, and E. van Meijgaard, 2009: Anensemble study of extreme storm surge related water levels in the North Sea ina changing climate. Ocean Science, 5(3), 369-378.Sterr, H., 2008: Assessment of vulnerability and adaptation to sea-level rise for thecoastal zone of Germany. Journal of Coastal Research, 24(2), 380-393.Stewart, I.S., J. Sauber, and J. Rose, 2000: Glacio-seismotectonics: ice sheets, crustaldeformation and seismicity. Quaternary Science Reviews, 19(14-15), 1367-1389.Stive, M.J.F., Z.B. Wang, and C. Lakhan, 2003: Morphodynamic modeling of tidalbasins and coastal inlets. In: Advances in Coastal Modeling [Lakhan, V.C. (ed.)].Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, pp. 367-392.Stoffel, M., I. Lièvre, D. Conus, M.A. Grichting, H. Raetzo, H.W. Gärtner, and M.Monbaron, 2005: 400 years of debris-flow activity and triggering weatherconditions: Ritigraben, Valais, Switzerland. Arctic, Antarctic, and AlpineResearch, 37(3), 387-395.Stott, P.A., D.A. Stone, and M.R. Allen, 2004: Human contribution to the Europeanheatwave of 2003. Nature, 432(7017), 610-614.Stott, P.A., N.P. Gillett, G.C. Hegerl, D. Karoly, D. Stone, X. Zhang, and F.W. Zwiers,2010: Detection and attribution of climate change: a regional perspective. WileyInterdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1(2), 192-211.Su, B., Z.W. Kundzewicz, and T. Jiang, 2009: Simulation of extreme precipitation overthe Yangtze River Basin using Wakeby distribution. Theoretical and AppliedClimatology, 96(3-4), 209-219.Sugahara, S., R.P. da Rocha, and R. Silveira, 2009: Non-stationary frequency analysisof extreme daily rainfall in Sao Paulo, Brazil. International Journal ofClimatology, 29(9), 1339-1349.Sugi, M., A. Noda, and N. Sato, 2002: Influence of the global warming on tropicalcyclone climatology: An experiment with the JMA global model. Journal of theMeteorological Society of Japan, 80(2), 249-272.Sugi, M., H. Murakami, and J. Yoshimura, 2009: A reduction in global tropical cyclonefrequency due to global warming. SOLA, 5, 164-167.Sugiyama, M., H. Shiogama, and S. Emori, 2010: Precipitation extreme changesexceeding moisture content increases in MIROC and IPCC climate models.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(2), 571-575.Suppiah, R., K. Hennessy, P.H. Whetton, K. McInnes, I. Macadam, J. Bathols, J.Ricketts, and C.M. Page, 2007: Australian climate change projections derivedfrom simulations performed for the IPCC 4th Assessment Report. AustralianMeteorological Magazine, 56(3), 131-152.Suter, S., M. Laternser, W. Haeberli, R. Frauenfelder, and M. Hoelzle, 2001: Cold firnand ice of high-altitude glaciers in the Alps: measurements and distributionmodelling. Journal of Glaciology, 47(156), 85-96.Sutton, R.T., B. Dong, and J.M. Gregory, 2007: Land/sea warming ratio in responseto climate change: IPCC AR4 model results and comparison with observations.Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L02701.Suursaar, U., and T. Kullas, 2009: Decadal variations in wave heights off Cape Kelba,Saaremaa Island, and their relationships with changes in wind climate.Oceanologia, 51(1), 39-61.Svensson, C., and D.A. Jones, 2002: Dependence between extreme sea surge, riverflow and precipitation in eastern Britain. International Journal of Climatology,22(10), 1149-1168.Swanson, K.L., 2008: Non-locality of Atlantic tropical cyclone intensities.Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, 9, Q04V01.Syvitski, J.P.M., A.J. Kettner, I. Overeem, E.W.H. Hutton, M.T. Hannon, G.R.Brakenridge, J. Day, C. Vorosmarty, Y. Saito, L. Giosan, and R.J. Nicholls, 2009:Sinking deltas due to human activities. Nature Geoscience, 2(10), 681-686.Tallaksen, L.M., H. Hisdal, and H.A.J. Van Lanen, 2009: Space-time modelling ofcatchment scale drought characteristics. Journal of Hydrology, 375(3-4), 363-372.Tamura, T., K. Horaguchi, Y. Saito, L.N. Van, M. Tateishi, K.O.T. Thi, F. Nanayama, andK. Watanabe, 2010: Monsoon-influenced variations in morphology and sedimentof a mesotidal beach on the Mekong River delta coast. Geomorphology, 116(1-2),11-23.Tanaka, H.L., N. Ishizaki, and D. Nohara, 2005: Intercomparison of the intensities andtrends of Hadley, Walker and monsoon circulations in the global warmingprojections. SOLA, 1, 77-80.Taschetto, A.S., C.C. Ummenhofer, A. Sen Gupta, and M.H. England, 2009: The effectof anomalous warming in the central Pacific on the Australian monsoon.Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L12704.Taye, M.T., V. Ntegeka, N.P. Ogiramoi, and P. Willems, 2011: Assessment of climatechange impact on hydrological extremes in two source regions of the Nile RiverBasin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15(1), 209-222.Taylor, A.E., K. Wang, S.L. Smith, M.M. Burgess, and A.S. Judge, 2006: Canadian ArcticPermafrost Observatories: Detecting contemporary climate change throughinversion of subsurface temperature time series. Journal of GeophysicalResearch – Solid Earth, 111, B02411.Tebaldi, C. and R. Knutti, 2007: The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilisticclimate projections. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A,365(1857), 2053-2075.Tebaldi, C. and B. Sanso, 2009: Joint projections of temperature and precipitationchange from multiple climate models: a hierarchical Bayesian approach. Journalof the Royal Statistical Society Series A – Statistics in Society, 172(1), 83-106.225