17.07.2015 Views

IPCC Report.pdf - Adam Curry

IPCC Report.pdf - Adam Curry

IPCC Report.pdf - Adam Curry

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Changes in Climate Extremes and their Impacts on the Natural Physical EnvironmentChapter 3Mann, M.E., J.D. Woodruff, J.P. Donnelly, and Z. Zhang, 2009: Atlantic hurricanes andclimate over the past 1,500 years. Nature, 460, 880-883.Manson, G.K., and S.M. Solomon, 2007: Past and future forcing of Beaufort Seacoastal change. Atmosphere-Ocean, 45(2), 107-122.Manton, M.J., P.M. Della-Marta, M.R. Haylock, K.J. Hennessy, N. Nicholls, L.E.Chambers, D.A. Collins, G. Daw, A. Finet, D. Gunawan, K. Inape, H. Isobe, T.S.Kestin, P. Lefale, C.H. Leyu, T. Lwin, L. Maitrepierre, N. Ouprasitwong, C.M. Page,J. Pahalad, N. Plummer, M.J. Salinger, R. Suppiah, V.L. Tran, B. Trewin, I. Tibig, andD. Yee, 2001: Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature in Southeast Asiaand the South Pacific: 1961–1998. International Journal of Climatology, 21(3),269-284.Maraun, D., T.J. Osborn, and N.P. Gillet, 2008: United Kingdom daily precipitationintensity: improved early data, error estimates and an update from 2000 to2006. International Journal of Climatology, 28(6), 833-842.Maraun, D., F. Wetterhall, A.M. Ireson, R.E. Chandler, E.J. Kendon, M. Widmann, S.Brienen, H.W. Rust, T. Sauter, M. Themessl, V.K.C. Venema, K.P. Chun, C.M.Goodess, R.G. Jones, C. Onof, M. Vrac, and I. Thiele-Eich, 2010: Precipitationdownscaling under climate change. Recent developments to bridge the gapbetween dynamical models and the end user. Reviews of Geophysics, 48,RG3003.Marcos, M., M.N. Tsimplis, and A.G.P. Shaw, 2009: Sea level extremes in southernEurope. Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans, 114, C01007.Marengo, J.A., R. Jones, L.M. Alves, and M.C. Valverde, 2009a: Future change oftemperature and precipitation extremes in South America as derived from thePRECIS regional climate modeling system. International Journal of Climatology,29(15), 2241-2255.Marengo, J.A., M. Rusticucci, O. Penalba, and M. Renom, 2009b: An intercomparisonof observed and simulated extreme rainfall and temperature events during thelast half of the twentieth century: part 2: historical trends. Climatic Change,98(3-4), 509-529.Marengo, J.A., J. Tomasella, W. Soares, L. Alves, and C. Nobre, 2011: Extreme climaticevents in the Amazon basin. Theoretical and Applied Climatology,doi:10.1007/s00704-00011-00465-00701.Mariotti, A., N. Zeng, J.H. Yoon, V. Artale, A. Navarra, P. Alpert, and L.Z.X. Li, 2008:Mediterranean water cycle changes: transition to drier 21st century conditionsin observations and CMIP3 simulations. Environmental Research Letters, 3(4),044001.Marques, C., A. Rocha, and J. Corte-Real, 2011: Global diagnostic energetics of fivestate-of-the-art climate models. Climate Dynamics, 36(9-10), 1767-1794.Martin, J.H., and R.M. Gordon, 1988: Northeast Pacific iron distributions in relationto phytoplankton productivity. Deep-Sea Research Part A – OceanographicResearch Papers, 35(2), 177-196.Mastin, L.G., 1994: Explosive tephra emissions at Mount St. Helens, 1989–1991: Theviolent escape of magmatic gas following storms? Geological Society ofAmerica Bulletin, 106(2), 175-185.Mastrandrea, M.D., C.B. Field, T.F. Stocker, O. Edenhofer, K.L. Ebi, D.J. Frame, H. Held,E. Kriegler, K.J. Mach, P.R. Matschoss, G.-K. Plattner, G.W. Yohe, and F.W. Zwiers,2010: Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the <strong>IPCC</strong> Fifth Assessment <strong>Report</strong> onConsistent Treatment of Uncertainties. Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChange (<strong>IPCC</strong>), Geneva, Switzerland.Matthews, A.J., J. Barclay, S. Carn, G. Thompson, J. Alexander, R. Herd, and C.Williams, 2002: Rainfall-induced volcanic activity on Montserrat. GeophysicalResearch Letters, 29(13), 1644.Matulla, C., W. Schoener, H. Alexandersson, H. von Storch, and X.L. Wang, 2008:European storminess: late nineteenth century to present. Climate Dynamics,31(2-3), 125-130.Maue, R.N., 2009: Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone activity. GeophysicalResearch Letters, 36, L05805.May, W., 2008: Potential future changes in the characteristics of daily precipitationin Europe simulated by the HIRHAM regional climate model. Climate Dynamics,30(6), 581-603.McCabe, G.J., and D.M. Wolock, 2002: A step increase in streamflow in theconterminous United States. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(24), 2185.McDonald, R., 2011: Understanding the impact of climate change on NorthernHemisphere extra-tropical cyclones. Climate Dynamics, 37(7-8), 1399-1425,doi:10.1007/s00382-00010-00916-x.McGranahan, G., D. Balk, and B. Anderson, 2007: The rising tide: assessing the risksof climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones.Environment and Urbanization, 19(1), 17-37.McGuire, B., 2010: Potential for a hazardous geospheric response to projected futureclimate changes. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 368(1919),2317-2345.McInnes, K.L., K.J.E. Walsh, G.D. Hubbert, and T. Beer, 2003: Impact of sea-level riseand storm surges on a coastal community. Natural Hazards, 30(2), 187-207.McInnes, K.L., I. Macadam, and J.G. O’Grady, 2009a: The Effect of Climate Changeon Extreme Sea Levels along Victoria’s Coast. A Project Undertaken for theDepartment of Sustainability and Environment, Victoria as part of the ‘FutureCoasts’ Program. CSIRO, Victoria, Australia, 55 pp.McInnes, K.L., I. Macadam, G.D. Hubbert, and J.G. O’Grady, 2009b: A modellingapproach for estimating the frequency of sea level extremes and the impact ofclimate change in southeast Australia. Natural Hazards, 51(1), 115-137.McInnes, K.L., T.A. Erwin, and J.M. Bathols, 2011: Global Climate Model projectedchanges in 10 m wind speed and direction due to anthropogenic climatechange. Atmospheric Science Letters, doi:10.1002/asl.1341.McKee, T.B., N.J. Doesken, and J. Kleist, 1993: The relationship of drought frequencyand duration to time scales. In: Proceedings of the 8th Conference on AppliedClimatology, Anaheim, California, 17-22 Jan 1993, pp. 179-184.McKendry, I.G., K.B. Strawbridge, N.T. O’Neill, A.M. Macdonald, P.S.K. Liu, W.R.Leaitch, K.G. Anlauf, L. Jaegle, T.D. Fairlie, and D.L. Westphal, 2007: Trans-Pacifictransport of Saharan dust to western North America: A case study. Journal ofGeophysical Research – Atmospheres, 112, D01103.McVicar, T.R., T.G. Van Niel, L.T. Li, M.L. Roderick, D.P. Rayner, L. Ricciardulli, and R.J.Donohue, 2008: Wind speed climatology and trends for Australia, 1975-2006:Capturing the stilling phenomenon and comparison with near-surface reanalysisoutput. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L20403.Mearns, L.O., W. Gutowski, R. Jones, R. Leung, S. McGinnis, A. Nunes, and Y. Qian,2009: A regional climate change assessment program for North America. EosTransactions (AGU), 90(36), 311.Meehl, G.A. and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent, and longer lastingheat waves in the 21st century. Science, 305(5686 ), 994-997.Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, and C. Tebaldi, 2005: Understanding future patterns ofincreased precipitation intensity in climate model simulations. GeophysicalResearch Letters, 32, L18719.Meehl, G.A., C. Covey, T. Delworth, M. Latif, B. McAvaney, J.F.B. Mitchell, R.J. Stouffer,and K.E. Taylor, 2007a: The WCRP CMIP3 multimodel dataset – A new era inclimate change research. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,88(9), 1383-1394.Meehl, G.A., T.F. Stocker, W.D. Collins, P. Friedlingstein, A.T. Gaye, J.M. Gregory, A.Kitoh, R. Knutti, J.M. Murphy, A. Noda, S.C.B. Raper, I.G. Watterson, A.J. Weaver,and Z.C. Zhao, 2007b: Global climate projections. In: Climate Change 2007: ThePhysical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the FourthAssessment <strong>Report</strong> of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignorand H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and NewYork, NY, pp. 747-845.Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, and W.D. Collins, 2008: Effects of black carbon aerosolson the Indian monsoon. Journal of Climate, 21(12), 2869-2882.Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, K. Matthes, F. Sassi, and H. van Loon, 2009a: Amplifyingthe Pacific climate system response to a small 11-year solar cycle forcing.Science, 325(5944), 1114-1118.Meehl, G.A., A. Hu, and B.D. Santer, 2009b: The mid-1970s climate shift in the Pacificand the relative roles of forced versus inherent decadal variability. Journal ofClimate, 22(3), 780-792.Meehl, G.A., C. Tebaldi, G. Walton, D. Easterling, and L. McDaniel, 2009c: The relativeincrease of record high maximum temperatures compared to record lowminimum temperatures in the U.S. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L23701.218

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!