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Hydrogen and its competitors, 2004

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46Risø Energy Report 3<strong>Hydrogen</strong> for transport5.4• vehicles can maintain full performance over 5,000operating hours; <strong>and</strong>• hydrogen costs fall to $1.50-$2.10 per gallon gasolineequivalent.The Fuel Cell Commercialization Conference of Japan(FCCJ) arrived at a similar estimate for the threshold costof fuel cells: ¥5,000 ($42)/kW, including auxiliary equipment.CRF prototypesIn projects funded by the Italian Ministry of the Environment,Fiat's CRF research centre developed twoconcepts for PEMFC city cars (Figure 24).Conclusions <strong>and</strong> recommendationsEstimations of the size of a future market for hydrogenpropelledcars have shown dramatic divergences <strong>and</strong>there is still no consensus concerning the near future.Although direct hydrogen fuel cells <strong>and</strong> pressurisedonboard hydrogen storage currently seem to have aleading position in the competition between hydrogentechnologies for transport purposes, it is still uncertainwhat the winning technology will be.The problem of cost effective <strong>and</strong> energy effectivehydrogen storage onboard vehicles is persistent <strong>and</strong>needs considerable scientific <strong>and</strong> technical attention ifwe want hydrogen vehicles to be comparable to conventionalvehicles concerning operation range.

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