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Education, Employment and Earnings of Secondary School-Leavers ...

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that a greater number <strong>of</strong> educated groups became self-employed during this period.The data from the survey used in this paper are consistent with this interpretation <strong>of</strong>the trends. A comparison <strong>of</strong> the 1990 <strong>and</strong> 1995 cohorts <strong>of</strong> secondary schoolcompleters reveals, after the same number <strong>of</strong> months in the labour force, a greaterproportion <strong>of</strong> the earlier cohort in wage employment (see Al-Samarrai <strong>and</strong> Bennell(2003)).The changes in the dem<strong>and</strong> for educated individuals <strong>and</strong> the numbers entering thelabour force after completing their education clearly impacts on the private rate <strong>of</strong>return to education secured in the labour market. Table 2 summarises the findings <strong>of</strong>studies that have estimated private rates <strong>of</strong> return to educational qualifications in theTanzanian formal sector over the last 30 years. The returns to secondary exceed thoseto primary in Tanzania <strong>and</strong> this possibly reflects the high proportion <strong>of</strong> the labourforce with primary education <strong>and</strong> the very limited numbers with secondary education.In addition, university rates <strong>of</strong> return are significantly higher than those accruing tosecondary education. Therefore, the education system, given its selective nature,appears to give rise to high premia for individuals who gained access to secondary<strong>and</strong> university education.[Table 2]This pattern <strong>of</strong> returns to education differs from those observed elsewhere in sub-Saharan Africa <strong>and</strong> other developing countries. Private rates <strong>of</strong> return to primary,secondary <strong>and</strong> university education in the region tend to be much higher than thosereported in table 2. Moreover, a recent review revealed higher returns to primary thanto secondary education in sub-Saharan Africa (see Psacharopoulos <strong>and</strong> Patrinos(2002)). 6 Table 2 also shows that rates <strong>of</strong> return to university qualifications are muchhigher than those obtained in the primary or secondary sectors. While the most recentreview suggests that primary returns are higher than university returns, five out <strong>of</strong> the6 In periodic reviews <strong>of</strong> rates <strong>of</strong> return studies across the world Psacharopoulos has provided regionallyaggregated rates <strong>of</strong> return to different levels <strong>of</strong> education. These have consistently shown that primaryeducation has the highest private returns followed by university <strong>and</strong> then secondary education.However, there has been substantial debate around the quality <strong>of</strong> data used in these regional aggregatesas well as the time period covered. Bennell (1996) shows that the aggregated rates <strong>of</strong> return tosecondary exceed primary for sub-Saharan Africa if poor quality studies are excluded.5

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