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Prices and knowledge: A market-process perspective

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Equilibrium prices <strong>and</strong> information 59entrepreneurs come to know the equilibrium value of prices <strong>and</strong> tradeat disequilibrium until this value is reached. As Mises says:The activities of the entrepreneurs or of any other actors on theeconomic scene are not guided by consideration of any such thingsas equilibrium prices…The entrepreneurs take into accountanticipated future prices not…equilibrium prices. They discoverdiscrepancies between the height of the prices of thecomplementary factors of production <strong>and</strong> the anticipated futureprices, <strong>and</strong> they are intent upon taking advantage of suchdiscrepancies.(Mises 1949:329)Neither the theorists, nor the capitalists <strong>and</strong> entrepreneurs, nor theconsumers, are in a position to form, on the ground of theirfamiliarity with present conditions, an opinion about the height ofsuch an equilibrium price. There is no need for such an opinion.What impels a man toward change <strong>and</strong> innovation is not the visionof equilibrium prices, but the anticipation of the height of the pricesof a limited number of articles as they will prevail on the date atwhich he plans to sell.(ibid.: 711)In other words, whatever degree of co-ordination is achieved in theeconomy will be an unintended consequence of the profit-seekingactivity of entrepreneurs. As Streit (1983:8) has very aptly put it,the favourable ‘performance’ of the <strong>market</strong> would be theunintended outcome of numerous decisions of the manyparticipants who traded precisely because they considered variousprices to be inappropriate <strong>and</strong> unjustified, not least in the light ofthe information available to them, <strong>and</strong> who intended to profit fromthe mistakes. The rationale for active <strong>market</strong> participation differscompletely from the observable <strong>market</strong> result. 42To illustrate the extent to which the st<strong>and</strong>ard interpretation of the roleof prices is compatible with the disequilibrium view of <strong>market</strong>s,Hayek’s tin example can be explained from a <strong>market</strong>-<strong>process</strong> angle.This story would start with some entrepreneur noticing (rightly orwrongly) a new opportunity for the use of tin, or the loss of one of itssources of supply. In either case he bids up the current price of tin to

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