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White Spaces Innovation in Sweden - Innovation policy for ... - Vinnova

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WHITE SPACES INNOVATION IN SWEDEN2 Grand Challenges and CrossCluster <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>in</strong> aComplexity Context2.1 What is Complexity?What does it mean to refer to complexity <strong>in</strong> a study of Grand Challenges and CrossCluster <strong>Innovation</strong>? As an <strong>in</strong>dication, recent evidence of the grow<strong>in</strong>g importance ofcomplexity can be found <strong>in</strong> an IBM survey from 2010. The biennial IBM Global CEOStudy featured <strong>in</strong>terviews with 1,541 CEOs, general managers, and senior public sectorleaders from 60 countries and 33 <strong>in</strong>dustries worldwide. Eight <strong>in</strong> 10 CEOs, the surveyfound, expect their environment to grow more complex, while only 49 percent believetheir organizations are equipped to deal with it. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to IBM this factorrepresented the largest leadership challenge identified <strong>in</strong> eight years of research.There is an important issue <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> the process of trans<strong>for</strong>m<strong>in</strong>g Grand Challenges<strong>in</strong>to actionable grand potentials that has to do with the <strong>in</strong>herent “wickedness” ofgrand challenges, or their unanticipated consequences and problems aris<strong>in</strong>g. For <strong>in</strong>stance,biofuels moderate greenhouse gas but cause food price hikes and riots <strong>in</strong> poorcountries if <strong>in</strong>centive <strong>policy</strong> is too simplistic. In recent years there has been an <strong>in</strong>creased<strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> what „wickedness‟ means and how it should be dealt with from viewpo<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong>bus<strong>in</strong>ess strategy, <strong>policy</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>in</strong> respect of regional, national and bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong>novation.The very basic argument is that a Grand Challenge seen as a wicked problemcannot be made actionable by us<strong>in</strong>g normal procedures <strong>in</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess and <strong>in</strong> <strong>policy</strong> ofreduc<strong>in</strong>g problem complexity by successively break<strong>in</strong>g it down <strong>in</strong>to smaller subproblemsthat can be acted on. So, why is that?Wicked problems aren´t merely harder or more complex than hard problems. Theydon´t just <strong>in</strong>volve more factors and stakeholders. They don´t just take us longer to solve.Analytical th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g alone, no matter how skilfully applied, isn´t go<strong>in</strong>g to generate ananswer to a wicked problem. In an important article from 1967, C West Churchmandescribed them as:“a class of social systems problems which are ill-<strong>for</strong>mulated, where the<strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation is confus<strong>in</strong>g, where there are many clients and decision makerswith conflict<strong>in</strong>g values, and where the ramifications <strong>in</strong> the whole systemare thoroughly confus<strong>in</strong>g”.In other words, wicked problems are ill-def<strong>in</strong>ed and unique <strong>in</strong> their causes, character,and solution if there is one.21

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