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Office of Postsecondary Education - U.S. Department of Education

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Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 209 / Friday, October 29, 2010 / Rules and Regulations66973rates reflecting the net present value <strong>of</strong> allfuture Federal costs associated with awardsmade in a given fiscal year. Values arecalculated using a ‘‘basket <strong>of</strong> zeros’’methodology under which each cash flow isdiscounted using the interest rate <strong>of</strong> a zerocouponTreasury bond with the samematurity as that cash flow. To ensurecomparability across programs, thismethodology is incorporated into thecalculator and used governmentwide todevelop estimates <strong>of</strong> the Federal cost <strong>of</strong>credit programs. Accordingly, the<strong>Department</strong> believes it is the appropriatemethodology to use in developing estimatesfor these regulations. That said, however, indeveloping the following AccountingStatement, the <strong>Department</strong> consulted withOMB on how to integrate our discountingmethodology with the discountingmethodology traditionally used indeveloping regulatory impact analyses.Absent evidence <strong>of</strong> the impact theseregulations would have on student behavior,budget cost estimates were based on behavioras reflected in various <strong>Department</strong> data setsand longitudinal surveys listed underAssumptions, Limitations, and Data Sources.Program cost estimates were generated byrunning projected cash flows related to eachprovision through the <strong>Department</strong>’s studentloan cost estimation model. Student loan costestimates are developed across five riskcategories: Two-year proprietary institutions,two-year public and private, not-for-pr<strong>of</strong>itinstitutions; freshmen and sophomores atfour-year institutions, juniors and seniors atfour-year institutions, and graduate students.Risk categories have separate assumptionsbased on the historical pattern <strong>of</strong> behavior—for example, the likelihood <strong>of</strong> default or thelikelihood to use statutory deferment ordischarge benefits—<strong>of</strong> borrowers in eachcategory.The <strong>Department</strong> estimates no budgetaryimpact for most <strong>of</strong> these regulations as thereis no data indicating that the provisions willhave any impact on the volume orcomposition <strong>of</strong> the title IV, HEA programs.Assumptions, Limitations, and Data SourcesThe impact estimates provided in thepreceding section reflect a pre-statutorybaseline in which the HEOA changesimplemented in these regulations do notexist. Costs have been quantified for fiveyears.In developing these estimates, a wide range<strong>of</strong> data sources were used, including datafrom the National Student Loan Data System;operational and financial data from<strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Education</strong> systems, includingespecially the Fiscal Operations Report andApplication to Participate (FISAP); and datafrom a range <strong>of</strong> surveys conducted by theNational Center for <strong>Education</strong> Statistics suchas the 2008 National <strong>Postsecondary</strong> StudentAid Survey, the 1994 National <strong>Education</strong>Longitudinal Study, and the 1996 Beginning<strong>Postsecondary</strong> Student Survey. Data fromother sources, such as the U.S. CensusBureau, were also used. Data onadministrative burden at participatinginstitutions are extremely limited;accordingly, in the NPRM, the <strong>Department</strong>expressed interest in receiving comments inthis area. No comments were received.Elsewhere in this SUPPLEMENTARYINFORMATION section we identify and explainburdens specifically associated withinformation collection requirements. See theheading Paperwork Reduction Act <strong>of</strong> 1995.Accounting StatementAs required by OMB Circular A–4(available at http://www.Whitehouse.gov/omb/Circulars/a004/a-4.pdf), in Table 2, wehave prepared an accounting statementshowing the classification <strong>of</strong> theexpenditures associated with the provisions<strong>of</strong> these regulations. This table provides ourbest estimate <strong>of</strong> the changes in Federalstudent aid payments as a result <strong>of</strong> theseregulations. Expenditures are classified astransfers from the Federal Government tostudent loan borrowers.TABLE 2—ACCOUNTING STATEMENT:CLASSIFICATION OF ESTIMATED EX-PENDITURES[In millions]CategoryAnnualized MonetizedCosts.Annualized MonetizedTransfers.From Whom ToWhom?Transfers$126.1.Cost <strong>of</strong> compliancewith paperwork requirements.$0.Federal GovernmentTo Student LoanBorrowers.Regulatory Flexibility Act CertificationThe Secretary certifies that theseregulations will not have a significanteconomic impact on a substantial number <strong>of</strong>small entities. These regulations will affectinstitutions that participate in title IV, HEAprograms, ATB test publishers, andindividual students and loan borrowers. TheU.S. Small Business Administration SizeStandards define for-pr<strong>of</strong>it institutions as‘‘small businesses’’ if they are independentlyowned and operated and not dominant intheir field <strong>of</strong> operation with total annualrevenue below $7,000,000, and defines nonpr<strong>of</strong>itinstitutions as small organizations ifthey are independently owned and operatedand not dominant in their field <strong>of</strong> operation,or if they are institutions controlled bygovernmental entities with populationsbelow 50,000.Data from the Integrated <strong>Postsecondary</strong><strong>Education</strong> Data System (IPEDS) indicate thatroughly 4,379 institutions participating in theFederal student assistance programs meet thedefinition <strong>of</strong> ‘‘small entities.’’ The followingtable provides the distribution <strong>of</strong> institutionsand students by revenue category andinstitutional control.RevenuecategoryNumber <strong>of</strong>schoolsPublic Private NFP Proprietary TribalNumber <strong>of</strong>studentsNumber <strong>of</strong>schoolsNumber <strong>of</strong>studentsNumber <strong>of</strong>schoolsNumber <strong>of</strong>studentsNumber <strong>of</strong>schoolsNumber <strong>of</strong>studentsWReier-Aviles on DSKGBLS3C1PROD with RULES2$0 to $500,000 43 2,124 103 13,208 510 38,774 ...................... ......................$500,000 to $1million ........... 44 7,182 81 9,806 438 61,906 1 137$1 million to $3million ........... 98 29,332 243 65,614 745 217,715 3 555$3 million to $5million ........... 75 65,442 138 60,923 303 182,362 ...................... ......................$5 million to $7million ........... 49 73,798 99 62,776 224 185,705 5 2,525$7 million to $10million ........... 78 129,079 110 84,659 228 235,888 9 4,935$10 million andabove ............ 1,585 18,480,000 1,067 4,312,010 383 1,793,951 14 18,065Total .......... 1,972 18,786,957 1,841 4,608,996 2,831 2,716,301 32 26,217Approximately two-thirds <strong>of</strong> theseinstitutions are for-pr<strong>of</strong>it schools subject tothe disclosure and reporting requirementsrelated to programs leading to gainfulemployment. Other affected smallinstitutions include small communitycolleges and tribally controlled schools. Forthese institutions, the new disclosure andVerDate Mar2010 14:10 Oct 28, 2010 Jkt 223001 PO 00000 Frm 00143 Fmt 4701 Sfmt 4700 E:\FR\FM\29OCR2.SGM 29OCR2administrative requirements imposed underthe regulations could impose some new costsas described below. The impact <strong>of</strong> the

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