Youth Employment Programs - Independent Evaluation Group
Youth Employment Programs - Independent Evaluation Group Youth Employment Programs - Independent Evaluation Group
aspects of social insurance were assessed in earlier IEG evaluations on socialsafety nets and on the Bank Group response to the financial crisis.Demand-side interventions aim at expanding work opportunities for youth(I). Related reforms are generally targeted to the entire workforce and notjust youth. However, they may have a youth effect by changing the way firmsdo business in youth-intensive industries. Such reforms aim to improve thebusiness environment, open the economy to trade, foster investment andgrowth, increase productivity in agriculture, and create jobs with increasedearnings power. Interventions to foster self-employment and entrepreneurshiptarget young entrepreneurs who lack the knowledge, finance, and experienceto become self-employed. These interventions support the self-employedwith training and access to capital. Interventions for young farmers providetraining, access to land, credit, and markets (Proctor and Lucchesi 2012).Interventions to relax rigid labor market regulations aim to allow employersmore flexibility in hiring and firing, including young workers, and to reduceregulatory and union protection of “insiders.” Wage subsidies and public worksprograms are part of Active Labor Market Programs (ALMP). Both offer workand income for a finite period, which provides immediate relief for the mostdisadvantaged and a temporary safety net function.School-to-work interventions (L) aim to reduce the time of search, facilitate abetter job-skills match, and reduce the costs of job search for both workers andemployers, if enough jobs are available. However, its applicability to developingcountries with a large informal and agriculture sector is limited. Also, improvedmatching for youth might displace adults where the number of jobs is finite.Some governments (for example, the Philippines and Tunisia) facilitate overseasemployment for youth in search of work if there are not enough jobs.On the supply-side, education interventions (E) include reforms in the formaleducation system and skills building. Reforms in the formal education systemaim to improve the quality and relevance of skills acquired. In countrieswith a private sector, there is increasing private sector participation indecisions on learning and work-based training. Remedial and short-termtraining programs are part of ALMP and help unemployed youth re-engageinto the workplace. Key interventions in low-income areas are increasingthe low primary and secondary school enrollment rates, and improving thequality of learning to equip children with basic skills for future learningand the workforce. The performance of Bank support to education projects isanalyzed in the recent IEG Education Sector Review (IEG 2011g). Supply-sideinterventions are less effective where there is already an oversupply of skills,but they can be targeted to subgroups to improve their employability.The Bank’s Lending and Analytic and Advisory ActivitiesPortfolio for Youth Employment is Small and YoungThe identified Bank lending portfolio for youth employment is small. Directyouth employment lending accounts for a small portion—0.9 percent—of total16 Youth Employment Programs
commitments by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development(IBRD) and International Development Association (IDA). Between FY01 andFY11, the Bank loaned $2.85 billion to youth employment programs through 90operations in 57 countries (appendixes B and D). Of the 90 operations, 36 areclosed (40 percent) and 54 are ongoing. Fragile states implemented 12 of the 90operations and about 6 percent of total youth employment lending (appendix D,box D.1 and table D.5). The portfolio includes 15 development policy operationsand 75 investment loans. Most of Bank support for youth employment projectsis in Africa, and most lending went to Europe and Central Asia (appendix D,tables D.2 and D.3, and figure D.3).Spending on youth employment increased over time. The level of newcommitments to youth employment was low in the first half of the decadedespite high global youth unemployment rates. Bank lending peaked in 2007,which coincides with the lowest youth unemployment rate during the decadeand the publication of the World Development Report 2007: Development andthe Next Generation, and again in 2009 and 2010 during the global economiccrisis (figure 2.1).The World Bank has undertaken analysis and promoted knowledge sharingto encourage youth employment and skills building. Between 2001 and 2011,World Bank teams prepared 34 pieces of economic and sector work (ESW)and carried out 25 technical assistance activities related to “improving labormarket outcomes.” Most of this work (85 percent) was done after 2006. Forthe purpose of this evaluation, 21 ESW products with a youth employmentfocus were reviewed, all of them published since 2005 1 (appendix B). The Bankspent $4.4 million on 18 of these reports. 2 Ten of the 21 countries with ESWhad a youth employment project.The small but growing number of impact evaluations of Bank projectshighlights the need for more evidence on what works in low-income areas,as well as for cost-effectiveness analysis of interventions. Most of theinternational evaluation evidence on youth employment is from countries inLatin America and in the OECD. Short-term skills building and vouchers aremost frequently evaluated. The seven Bank impact evaluations of projectsincluded in this portfolio review reflect the international trend but add muchneededinformation on Africa. These impact evaluations examine short-termeffects, so the persistence of any positive effects over time is uncertain. Onlyone of the impact evaluations included a cost and cost-benefit analysis of theintervention (Attanasio and others 2011).What Is the Bank Doing in the Three ILE InterventionCategories?The Bank most often supports skills building and school-to-work transitionactivities. Using the MILES framework (box 2.1), the portfolio review foundthat most Bank youth employment projects include interventions in skillsdevelopment (82 percent) and school–to-work transition (79 percent). Fifty-fourWhat Are the World Bank and IFC Doing in Youth Employment? 17
- Page 5 and 6: Youth EmploymentProgramsAn Evaluati
- Page 8 and 9: The Bank’s Impact Evaluations on
- Page 10 and 11: LACLICLILMBAMENANEETNGOOECDPADPCRPD
- Page 12 and 13: IEG management and colleagues provi
- Page 14 and 15: Youth Employment ChallengesIn gener
- Page 16 and 17: implemented 12 of the 90 operations
- Page 18 and 19: Kenya, entrepreneurship training fo
- Page 20 and 21: • Help countries design intervent
- Page 22 and 23: support to youth employment program
- Page 24 and 25: tive rules on hiring and firing as
- Page 26 and 27: Management Action RecordIEG Finding
- Page 28 and 29: IEG Findings and ConclusionsIEG Rec
- Page 30 and 31: IEG Findings and ConclusionsIEG Rec
- Page 33 and 34: Report to the Board from the Commit
- Page 35: could have focused more on the lack
- Page 38 and 39: • Chapter Highlights• High yout
- Page 40 and 41: and can afford to wait for a better
- Page 42 and 43: ConsequencesEarly unemployment is s
- Page 44 and 45: ReferencesBegg, David, Stanley Fisc
- Page 47 and 48: Chapter 2What Are the World Bank an
- Page 49 and 50: The strength and openness of the ec
- Page 51: Interventions to Address Youth Empl
- Page 55: Figure 2.2Top 12 Youth Employment I
- Page 58 and 59: • the substitution effect of bett
- Page 61 and 62: Chapter 3What Is the Evidence that
- Page 63 and 64: school dropouts early. Learning opp
- Page 65 and 66: evaluations on what works best to p
- Page 67 and 68: Agriculture, Health, Education, Soc
- Page 69: Holzmann, Robert. 2007. MILES: Iden
- Page 72 and 73: • Chapter Highlights• The Bank
- Page 76 and 77: Argentina, Bulgaria, Colombia, and
- Page 78 and 79: facilitated 69 foreign work contrac
- Page 80 and 81: awarded vouchers to about 1,000 out
- Page 82 and 83: • Comparing the interventions ana
- Page 84 and 85: Hjort, Jonas, Michael Kremer, Isaac
- Page 87 and 88: Chapter 5Recommendations
- Page 89: farm self-employment and employment
- Page 92 and 93: This appendix presents the factors
- Page 94 and 95: Organization for Standardization (I
- Page 96 and 97: Box A.3Youth as a Demographic Divid
- Page 98 and 99: Table A.1Types of Youth Employment
- Page 100 and 101: Notes1. This phenomenon could be le
aspects of social insurance were assessed in earlier IEG evaluations on socialsafety nets and on the Bank <strong>Group</strong> response to the financial crisis.Demand-side interventions aim at expanding work opportunities for youth(I). Related reforms are generally targeted to the entire workforce and notjust youth. However, they may have a youth effect by changing the way firmsdo business in youth-intensive industries. Such reforms aim to improve thebusiness environment, open the economy to trade, foster investment andgrowth, increase productivity in agriculture, and create jobs with increasedearnings power. Interventions to foster self-employment and entrepreneurshiptarget young entrepreneurs who lack the knowledge, finance, and experienceto become self-employed. These interventions support the self-employedwith training and access to capital. Interventions for young farmers providetraining, access to land, credit, and markets (Proctor and Lucchesi 2012).Interventions to relax rigid labor market regulations aim to allow employersmore flexibility in hiring and firing, including young workers, and to reduceregulatory and union protection of “insiders.” Wage subsidies and public worksprograms are part of Active Labor Market <strong>Programs</strong> (ALMP). Both offer workand income for a finite period, which provides immediate relief for the mostdisadvantaged and a temporary safety net function.School-to-work interventions (L) aim to reduce the time of search, facilitate abetter job-skills match, and reduce the costs of job search for both workers andemployers, if enough jobs are available. However, its applicability to developingcountries with a large informal and agriculture sector is limited. Also, improvedmatching for youth might displace adults where the number of jobs is finite.Some governments (for example, the Philippines and Tunisia) facilitate overseasemployment for youth in search of work if there are not enough jobs.On the supply-side, education interventions (E) include reforms in the formaleducation system and skills building. Reforms in the formal education systemaim to improve the quality and relevance of skills acquired. In countrieswith a private sector, there is increasing private sector participation indecisions on learning and work-based training. Remedial and short-termtraining programs are part of ALMP and help unemployed youth re-engageinto the workplace. Key interventions in low-income areas are increasingthe low primary and secondary school enrollment rates, and improving thequality of learning to equip children with basic skills for future learningand the workforce. The performance of Bank support to education projects isanalyzed in the recent IEG Education Sector Review (IEG 2011g). Supply-sideinterventions are less effective where there is already an oversupply of skills,but they can be targeted to subgroups to improve their employability.The Bank’s Lending and Analytic and Advisory ActivitiesPortfolio for <strong>Youth</strong> <strong>Employment</strong> is Small and YoungThe identified Bank lending portfolio for youth employment is small. Directyouth employment lending accounts for a small portion—0.9 percent—of total16 <strong>Youth</strong> <strong>Employment</strong> <strong>Programs</strong>