The Rimba Raya Biodiversity Reserve REDD Project

Total Net Carbon Stock from all emissions is96,376,455 t CO 2 eDeducting for non-­‐permanence yields a Buffer of 10%:(9,637,645) t CO 2 eyielding aFinal Net Change in Carbon StockGeneral risks are risks faced by all AFOLU projects. Risk ratingsfor total risk were determined through the “Likelihood xSignificance Methodology for Assessing AFOLU Project Risk” inAnnex A of the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-­‐Permanence Analysisand Buffer Determination. Scoring of variables for likelihood,significance, adequacy of counter measures and adequacy ofmanagement systems in Table 35, were done in accordance withscoring criteria provided under the Likelihood x SignificanceMethodology. Subsequent calculation of risk was done using thegiven formula for Total Risk in Table 36. Qualitative riskclassifications for generic risks were converted based on Table 37.* See VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-­‐Permanence Risk Analysis and BufferDetermination, Annex A, Boxes 1-­‐5, p.15of:86,738,809 t CO 2 eTable 34. Calculation of TOTAL RISK for Project Type Specific(REDD) Risk RatingsR = L × S × (1 -­‐ (C × M)/16)10Where:R = Total risk,L = Likelihood of occurrence,S = Significance of impact,C = Adequacy of countermeasures to avert or minimize risk,M = Adequacy of management system.*VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-­‐Permanence Risk Analysis and Buffer Determination,Annex A, Section 6, Box 2, p. 15Project-­‐type specific risks were assessed using Section IV“Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation(REDD)” of the VCS Tool for AFOLU Non-­‐Permanence Analysis andBuffer Determination. Rating of risk categories were based on theoptions available in Section IV.Table 35. Conversion of total risk into risk classesScore (example)Risk Classificaation2.8 – 3.0 Fail2.0 –