ACTA SCIENTIARUM POLONORUM - SGGW

54 E. Majewski, P. Sulewski, M. Raggi, D. ViaggiIn most cases of the regions the differences between answers in Baseline and NoCAP scenario were not statistically significant (at the α = 0.01 level) with the exceptionof of Noord-Holland (Netherlands), Podlaskie (Poland) and South-East Planning Region(Bulgaria). Assuming a less restricted α = 0.05 significant differences could be observedin Andalusia (Spain) and Centre (France) as well.A strong variation of answers between scenarios was also found as regards the issueof non-farm activities (Figure 4). In the most of the regions declarations about “increaseof scale of non-farming activity” was more frequent in case of the CAP abandonmentscenario. It suggest that farmers under pressure of worse economic situation would bemore willing to search for non agricultural sources of household income, what seemsto be especially important in the context of new challenges for agricultural policy likemultifunctional development of rural areas or diversification of farmers’ incomes. However,again farmers reaction to this question was not univocal in all the regions. Verydifferent way of thinking characterized farmers from Emilia Romagna and Podlaskie whoexpressed less interest in non farm activities. Attitude of Podlaskie farmers is in line withtheir determination to continue farming under both policy scenarios (Figure 1) and can beeasily explained – Podlaskie is a typical agricultural, relatively low populated region ofthe country and farmers don’t foresee any real opportunities for non-farm activities.Both in Podlaskie region and in the majority of others, the differences between scenarioswere statistically significant.% farmers45%40%35%30%25%20%15%10%5%0%PL NL GR IT UK ES BG FR1 FR2 DE1 DE2 TotalFig. 4.Rys. 4.BaselineNo CAPPercent of farmers declaring „ an increase” of non-farm activity scaleOdsetek rolników deklarujących podjęcie lub zwiększenie rozmiarów działalności pozarolniczychSource: CAP-IRE Deliverable no. D2.13-23, 2010.Źródło: Opracowanie projektu CAP-IRE D2.13-23, 2010.CONCLUSIONSIn this paper we carried out an analysis of the effects of different CAP scenariosbased on stated intentions collected through a survey of farm-households. The researchrevealed significant differences between regions of the EU countries represented in thestudy. Differences concern not only natural conditions for agricultural production, scaleand intensity of agricultural activities and level of farms’ modernity but also possibleActa Sci. Pol.