A Case For... Gold – Preserving Wealth in an Age of Uncertainty

A Case For... Gold – Preserving Wealth in an Age of Uncertainty A Case For... Gold – Preserving Wealth in an Age of Uncertainty

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Of note <strong>in</strong> 2007 was the sharp <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the price <strong>of</strong> gold, start<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong> September. <strong>Gold</strong> prices beg<strong>an</strong> the year relatively stable, thoughafter news <strong>of</strong> the f<strong>in</strong><strong>an</strong>cial crisis struck <strong>in</strong> August <strong>in</strong>vestors rushedto purchase gold, push<strong>in</strong>g up the price. Supply to the market wasconstra<strong>in</strong>ed, fall<strong>in</strong>g 3% below 2006 levels, <strong>an</strong>d thus dem<strong>an</strong>d for goldrema<strong>in</strong>ed constra<strong>in</strong>ed as well.<strong>Gold</strong> currently accounts for 10% <strong>of</strong> global foreign exch<strong>an</strong>ge reserves,<strong>an</strong>d central b<strong>an</strong>k hold<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> gold currently account for about 20% <strong>of</strong>total above-ground stocks. Some gold opponents may po<strong>in</strong>t to therisk that central b<strong>an</strong>ks could “dump” their gold reserves back <strong>in</strong>to themarket, thus drastically decreas<strong>in</strong>g the price <strong>of</strong> gold. This fear maystem from the behavior <strong>of</strong> some central b<strong>an</strong>ks dur<strong>in</strong>g the 1990’s,when central b<strong>an</strong>ks engaged <strong>in</strong> broad sell<strong>in</strong>g <strong>an</strong>d lend<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>an</strong>d theprice <strong>of</strong> gold fell dramatically.Today, however, the risk <strong>of</strong> such central b<strong>an</strong>k sales has lessened. In1999, certa<strong>in</strong> central b<strong>an</strong>ks agreed to abide by the Central B<strong>an</strong>k <strong>Gold</strong>Agreement (CBGA), which limited the amount <strong>of</strong> gold they could sellto 400 tons a year, <strong>an</strong>d also set a limit on the volume <strong>of</strong> gold lo<strong>an</strong>ed tothe market. Signatories <strong>of</strong> the CBGA represent roughly 49% <strong>of</strong> all <strong>of</strong>ficialsector gold hold<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> the world—this from a mere 15 countries.Additionally, these central b<strong>an</strong>ks reaffirmed their confidence <strong>in</strong> thefuture <strong>of</strong> gold as a reserve asset. In 2004, the CBGA was renewed for<strong>an</strong>other five years, this time limit<strong>in</strong>g sales <strong>of</strong> gold to 500 tons per year.S<strong>in</strong>ce CBGA signatories historically have owned large blocks <strong>of</strong> gold atone time, the agreement has acted as a reassur<strong>an</strong>ce for the markets.Figure 2: <strong>Gold</strong> Supply & Dem<strong>an</strong>d Fundamentals5000400030002000100002,548663M<strong>in</strong>eProduction8983,7332,486370Source: GFMS - <strong>Gold</strong> Survey 20081,1293,405OfficialSector Sales2,4762005 2006 2007 Q1 20084779663,516<strong>Gold</strong> Scrap59378314718Total Dem<strong>an</strong>d<strong>Gold</strong> Through The Centuries3000 BC The Sumer civilization <strong>of</strong> southern Iraq uses gold to create awide r<strong>an</strong>ge <strong>of</strong> jewelry, <strong>of</strong>ten us<strong>in</strong>g sophisticated <strong>an</strong>d variedstyles still worn today.1500 BC The immense gold-bear<strong>in</strong>g regions <strong>of</strong> Nubia make Egypt awealthy nation, as gold becomes the recognized st<strong>an</strong>dardmedium <strong>of</strong> exch<strong>an</strong>ge for <strong>in</strong>ternational trade.1091 BC Little squares <strong>of</strong> gold are legalized <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a as a form <strong>of</strong>money.560 BC The first co<strong>in</strong>s made purely from gold are m<strong>in</strong>ted <strong>in</strong> Lydia, ak<strong>in</strong>gdom <strong>of</strong> Asia M<strong>in</strong>or.344 BC Alex<strong>an</strong>der the Great crosses the Hellespont with 40,000 men,beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g one <strong>of</strong> the most extraord<strong>in</strong>ary campaigns <strong>in</strong> militaryhistory <strong>an</strong>d seiz<strong>in</strong>g vast qu<strong>an</strong>tities <strong>of</strong> gold from the Persi<strong>an</strong>Empire.58 BC After a victorious campaign <strong>in</strong> Gaul, Julius Caesar br<strong>in</strong>gs backenough gold to give 200 co<strong>in</strong>s to each <strong>of</strong> his soldiers <strong>an</strong>d repayall <strong>of</strong> Rome’s debts.742 <strong>–</strong> Charlemagne overruns the Avars <strong>an</strong>d plunders their vast814 AD qu<strong>an</strong>tities <strong>of</strong> gold, mak<strong>in</strong>g it possible for him to take controlover much <strong>of</strong> Western Europe.1284 AD Venice <strong>in</strong>troduces the gold Ducat, which soon becomes themost popular co<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> the world <strong>an</strong>d rema<strong>in</strong>s so for more th<strong>an</strong>five centuries.1511 AD K<strong>in</strong>g Ferd<strong>in</strong><strong>an</strong>d <strong>of</strong> Spa<strong>in</strong> says to explorers, “Get gold, hum<strong>an</strong>elyif you c<strong>an</strong>, but all hazards, get gold,” launch<strong>in</strong>g massive expeditionsto the newly discovered l<strong>an</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> the Western Hemisphere.1717 AD Isaac Newton, Master <strong>of</strong> the London M<strong>in</strong>t, sets the price <strong>of</strong>gold that lasts for 200 years.1848 AD The California gold rush beg<strong>in</strong>s when James Marshall f<strong>in</strong>dsspecks <strong>of</strong> gold <strong>in</strong> the water at John Sutter’s sawmill near thejunction <strong>of</strong> the Americ<strong>an</strong> <strong>an</strong>d Sacramento Rivers.1886 AD George Harrison, while digg<strong>in</strong>g stones to build a house,discovers gold <strong>in</strong> South Africa.1900 AD The US adopts the gold st<strong>an</strong>dard for its currency.1933 AD President Fr<strong>an</strong>kl<strong>in</strong> D. Roosevelt b<strong>an</strong>s the export <strong>of</strong> gold, haltsthe convertibility <strong>of</strong> dollar bills <strong>in</strong>to gold, orders US citizens toh<strong>an</strong>d <strong>in</strong> all the gold they possess <strong>an</strong>d establishes a daily pricefor gold.1944 AD The Bretton Woods agreement sets <strong>an</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational gold exch<strong>an</strong>gest<strong>an</strong>dard <strong>an</strong>d creates two new <strong>in</strong>ternational org<strong>an</strong>izations,the International Monetary Fund (IMF) <strong>an</strong>d the World B<strong>an</strong>d. Thenew st<strong>an</strong>dard sets par values for currencies <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> gold <strong>an</strong>dobligates member countries to convert foreign <strong>of</strong>ficial hold<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong>their currencies <strong>in</strong>to gold at these par values.1971 AD On August 15, U.S. term<strong>in</strong>ates all gold sales or purchases,thereby end<strong>in</strong>g conversion <strong>of</strong> foreign <strong>of</strong>ficially held dollars <strong>in</strong>togold; <strong>in</strong> December, under the Smithsoni<strong>an</strong> Agreement signed<strong>in</strong> Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, U.S. devalues the dollar by rais<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>of</strong>ficialdollar price <strong>of</strong> gold to $38 per f<strong>in</strong>e troy ounce. Two years later,the US Dollar is removed from gold st<strong>an</strong>dard, <strong>an</strong>d gold pricesare allowed to float free.1974 AD On December 31, US government ends its b<strong>an</strong> on <strong>in</strong>dividualownership <strong>of</strong> gold.1980 AD <strong>Gold</strong> reaches <strong>in</strong>tra-day historic high price <strong>of</strong> $870 on J<strong>an</strong>uary21 <strong>in</strong> New York.1997 AD Congress passes Taxpayer Relief Act, allow<strong>in</strong>g US IndividualRetirement Account holders to buy gold bullion co<strong>in</strong>s <strong>an</strong>d barsfor their accounts as long as they are <strong>of</strong> a f<strong>in</strong>eness equal to, orexceed<strong>in</strong>g, 99.5% percent gold.1999 AD 15 large central b<strong>an</strong>ks sign the Central B<strong>an</strong>k <strong>Gold</strong> Agreement(CBGA), limit<strong>in</strong>g their comb<strong>in</strong>ed gold sales to 400 tons per year2004 AD Central b<strong>an</strong>ks renew the 5-year CBGA, limit<strong>in</strong>g their gold salesto 500 tons per year


Why Invest <strong>in</strong> <strong>Gold</strong> Bullion?<strong>Wealth</strong> PreservationUnlike paper, gold is <strong>an</strong> imperishable asset. And unlike equities orbonds, the value <strong>of</strong> which is dependent on the issuer’s ability to pay<strong>in</strong> the future, gold bullion—a pure form <strong>of</strong> gold—does not depend on<strong>an</strong>yone else’s ability to pay.Over time, gold has tended to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> its purchas<strong>in</strong>g power, especiallydur<strong>in</strong>g periods <strong>of</strong> economic or political upheaval. It has <strong>of</strong>ten beenquoted that “With <strong>an</strong> ounce <strong>of</strong> gold a m<strong>an</strong> could buy a f<strong>in</strong>e suit <strong>of</strong>clothes <strong>in</strong> the time <strong>of</strong> Shakespeare, <strong>in</strong> that <strong>of</strong> Beethoven <strong>an</strong>d Jefferson,<strong>in</strong> the Depression <strong>of</strong> the 1930s.” In fact, <strong>an</strong>alysis suggests that the realvalue <strong>of</strong> gold may fluctuate <strong>in</strong> the short term, but that it has consistentlyreturned to its historic purchas<strong>in</strong>g power parity with respect to othercommodities over the very long term. 3 Consequently, over a long period<strong>of</strong> time, gold may be <strong>an</strong> effective tool for preserv<strong>in</strong>g wealth.Dur<strong>in</strong>g periods <strong>of</strong> economic <strong>an</strong>d political <strong>in</strong>stability, when the value <strong>of</strong>m<strong>an</strong>y other assets may have fallen dramatically, gold has commonlyrema<strong>in</strong>ed a store <strong>of</strong> value.DiversificationEvery <strong>in</strong>vestor knows that markets cycle over time (Figure 3). Thesecycles <strong>of</strong> perform<strong>an</strong>ce are unpredictable, mak<strong>in</strong>g tim<strong>in</strong>g the marketa risk-laden undertak<strong>in</strong>g. Given this perform<strong>an</strong>ce volatility, <strong>in</strong>vestorsshould diversify among a variety <strong>of</strong> different asset classes <strong>in</strong> order toprotect their portfolios aga<strong>in</strong>st the short-term risks <strong>of</strong> be<strong>in</strong>g absentfrom top-perform<strong>in</strong>g asset classes or <strong>of</strong> be<strong>in</strong>g too heavily concentrated<strong>in</strong> the lowest performers. It is prudent practice to build portfolios thatare well-diversified.By build<strong>in</strong>g a broadly diversified portfolio that holds a wide r<strong>an</strong>ge <strong>of</strong>asset classes—<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g gold— <strong>in</strong>vestors c<strong>an</strong> pursue better downsideprotection aga<strong>in</strong>st short term underperform<strong>an</strong>ce risks, <strong>an</strong>d potentiallytake adv<strong>an</strong>tage <strong>of</strong> the best performers dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>an</strong>y given time period.Figure 4: Correlations With <strong>Gold</strong>*April 1998-March 20081.000.800.600.400.200.00-0.201.00-0.02-0.10Risk M<strong>an</strong>agementStatistical <strong>an</strong>alysis shows that the price movements <strong>in</strong> gold bullion tendnot to move <strong>in</strong> t<strong>an</strong>dem with those <strong>of</strong> traditional asset classes, such asequities <strong>an</strong>d real estate. Historically, gold has shown statistically <strong>in</strong>signific<strong>an</strong>tcorrelation with equities <strong>an</strong>d other conventional asset classes(Figure 4). Although the aim <strong>of</strong> diversification is to hold a wide array <strong>of</strong>assets that perform differently from one <strong>an</strong>other under various marketconditions, studies have suggested that equity markets tend to becomemore closely correlated dur<strong>in</strong>g periods <strong>of</strong> market turbulence. Conversely,commodities tend to become less correlated with major asset classesdur<strong>in</strong>g such periods. 4Additionally, a 2003 study concluded that not only was gold negativelyor <strong>in</strong>signific<strong>an</strong>tly correlated with major asset classes, but that therewas no statistically signific<strong>an</strong>t correlation between returns on gold <strong>an</strong>dch<strong>an</strong>ges <strong>in</strong> macroeconomic variables such as GDP <strong>an</strong>d <strong>in</strong>terest rates. 5In sum, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g gold <strong>in</strong> a portfolio potentially lowers overall risk withoutnecessarily decreas<strong>in</strong>g returns. It may reduce the likelihood <strong>of</strong> largelosses dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>an</strong>y period, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g dur<strong>in</strong>g periods <strong>of</strong> market volatility.0.16<strong>Gold</strong> US Equities CashInternational Equities US Fixed Income Real Estate0.17 0.16Source: Zephyr StyleADVISOR, State Street Global Advisors Strategy & Research.<strong>Gold</strong>: London PM Fix<strong>in</strong>g; US Equities: S&P 500 Index; Cash: Citigroup 3-Month T-Bill Index;International Equities: MSCI EAFE Index; US Fixed Income: Lehm<strong>an</strong> Brothers Aggregate BondIndex; Real Estate: Dow Jones Wilshire REIT Index.Figure 3: Asset Classes Move In <strong>an</strong>d Out <strong>of</strong> Favor Unpredictably1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20072008YTD28.59% 31.69% 8.95% 30.46% 15.13% 32.94% 8.06% 37.58% 37.05% 33.36% 28.58% 27.30% 31.04% 12.35% 25.57% 39.17% 33.16% 17.77% 35.97% 31.92% 11.96%17.48% 14.53% 7.92% 23.84% 7.62% 17.64% 4.24% 18.48% 22.96% 19.66% 20.33% 21.04% 11.63% 8.42% 10.27% 36.18% 20.70% 14.02% 26.86% 11.63% 2.17%16.61% 10.80% -3.10% 16.00% 7.40% 15.14% 2.66% 12.24% 6.36% 9.68% 8.67% 4.74% 5.96% 4.09% 3.58% 28.68% 10.88% 13.82% 23.20% 6.96% 2.14%7.88% 8.63% -3.69% 12.50% 3.62% 10.08% 1.32% 11.55% 5.25% 5.25% 5.06% 0.85% -5.94% 1.28% 1.71% 19.89% 4.65% 4.91% 15.79% 5.49% 0.17%6.76% 2.72% -23.20% 5.75% -5.71% 9.75% -2.17% 5.76% 3.61% 2.06% -0.83% -0.83% -9.11% -11.88% -15.66% 4.11% 4.34% 3.00% 4.76% 4.74% -8.82%-15.69% -2.23% -23.44% -8.56% -11.85% 3.09% -2.92% 0.98% -4.59% -21.41% -17.01% -2.58% -13.96% -21.21% -22.10% 1.07% 1.24% 2.43% 4.33% -17.55% -9.44%<strong>Gold</strong> US EquitiesCash US Fixed IncomeInternational Equities Real EstateSource: Zephyr StyleADVISOR, SSgA Strategy & Research as <strong>of</strong> March 31, 2008. <strong>Gold</strong>: London PM Fix<strong>in</strong>g; US Equities: S&P 500 Index; Cash: Citigroup 3-Month T-Bill Index;US Fixed Income: Lehm<strong>an</strong> Brothers Aggregate Bond Index; International Equities: MSCI EAFE Index; Real Estate: Dow Jones Wilshire REIT Index.


Attractive Alternative AssetAs equity markets have grown more volatile, m<strong>an</strong>y <strong>in</strong>vestors have<strong>in</strong>creased their allocation to alternative <strong>in</strong>vestments, <strong>in</strong> attemptsto stabilize <strong>an</strong>d enh<strong>an</strong>ce portfolio perform<strong>an</strong>ce. But m<strong>an</strong>y <strong>of</strong> thesealternative assets may be both expensive <strong>an</strong>d risky.As compared to other alternatives, gold bullion may <strong>of</strong>fer <strong>in</strong>vestors agreater diversification benefit, lower risk <strong>an</strong>d higher liquidity. 6Conclusion: <strong>Gold</strong> Doesn’t Lose its LusterA tr<strong>an</strong>scendent store <strong>of</strong> value, gold is accepted the world over <strong>an</strong>d hasproven to be <strong>an</strong> effective wealth preservation tool. Most import<strong>an</strong>tly,due to its lack <strong>of</strong> correlations with all traditional asset classes as wellas with major economic variables, gold is a proven asset diversifier.When used <strong>in</strong> the construction <strong>of</strong> diversified portfolios, gold potentiallyhelps reduce overall risk <strong>an</strong>d may ultimately help protect <strong>in</strong>vestorwealth.In <strong>an</strong> age <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g concerns about market volatility <strong>an</strong>d politicalupheaval, at a time when the largest segment <strong>of</strong> the US populationis approach<strong>in</strong>g a potentially prolonged <strong>an</strong>d expensive retirement, thepreservation <strong>of</strong> wealth is paramount. A virtually <strong>in</strong>destructible asset, gold<strong>of</strong>fers <strong>in</strong>vestors a potential, t<strong>an</strong>gible hedge aga<strong>in</strong>st unpredictability. S<strong>in</strong>cetime immemorial, from the <strong>an</strong>cient Sumeri<strong>an</strong> civilizations to the presentday, gold has shaped the evolution <strong>of</strong> hum<strong>an</strong>ity <strong>in</strong> our quest for freedom,susta<strong>in</strong>ability <strong>an</strong>d wealth. As it has been for thous<strong>an</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> years, so itrema<strong>in</strong>s today; gold, as a store <strong>of</strong> value, is universal <strong>an</strong>d endur<strong>in</strong>g.1 <strong>Gold</strong> Uses: Medic<strong>in</strong>e <strong>an</strong>d Health Page. The <strong>Gold</strong> Institute. September 2004.www.gold<strong>in</strong>stitute.org2 <strong>Gold</strong> Digest: History <strong>of</strong> <strong>Gold</strong> Page. <strong>Gold</strong>-Eagle. September 2004.www.gold-eagle.com.10m/gold-eagle/history-gold.html3-4 Jastram, Roy. The <strong>Gold</strong>en Const<strong>an</strong>t: The English <strong>an</strong>d Americ<strong>an</strong> Experience 1560-1976. New York, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977.5 Lawrence, Col<strong>in</strong>. Why is <strong>Gold</strong> Different from Other Assets? An Empirical Investigation.London, United K<strong>in</strong>gdom: World <strong>Gold</strong> Council, 2003.6 Bienkowski, Nik. “A <strong>Gold</strong>en Rule <strong>in</strong> Risk M<strong>an</strong>agement.” Jassa, Issue 3: Spr<strong>in</strong>g 2003.Bernste<strong>in</strong>, Peter L. The Power <strong>of</strong> <strong>Gold</strong>: The History <strong>of</strong> <strong>an</strong> Obsession. New York: John Wiley &Sons, 2000.Chow, G., et al. “Optimal portfolios <strong>in</strong> good times <strong>an</strong>d bad times.” F<strong>in</strong><strong>an</strong>cial Analysts Journal. vol55, no. 3, (May/June): 65-73.GFMS Limited. <strong>Gold</strong> Survey 2004. London, United K<strong>in</strong>gdom: GFMS Limited, April 2004.<strong>Gold</strong> Uses: Medic<strong>in</strong>e <strong>an</strong>d Health Page. The <strong>Gold</strong> Institute. September 2004.www.gold<strong>in</strong>stitute.org<strong>Gold</strong>m<strong>an</strong> Sachs. Commodity Price Analysis: US Metals & M<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g--<strong>Gold</strong>. New York, NY: <strong>Gold</strong>m<strong>an</strong>Sachs, J<strong>an</strong>uary 28, 2004.Green, Timothy. The New World <strong>of</strong> <strong>Gold</strong>. New York: Walker <strong>an</strong>d Comp<strong>an</strong>y, 1984.Harmston, Stephen. “<strong>Gold</strong> as a Store <strong>of</strong> Value.” Research Study No. 22. London, United K<strong>in</strong>gdom:World <strong>Gold</strong> Council, November 1998.Jastram, Roy. The <strong>Gold</strong>en Const<strong>an</strong>t: The English <strong>an</strong>d Americ<strong>an</strong> Experience 1560-1976. New York,New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977.Lawrence, Col<strong>in</strong>. Why is <strong>Gold</strong> Different from Other Assets? An Empirical Investigation. London,United K<strong>in</strong>gdom: World <strong>Gold</strong> Council, 2003.The “SPDR ® ” trademark is used under license from The McGraw-Hill Comp<strong>an</strong>ies, Inc. N<strong>of</strong><strong>in</strong><strong>an</strong>cial product <strong>of</strong>fered by SPDR ® <strong>Gold</strong> Trust, or its affiliates is sponsored, endorsed, sold orpromoted by The McGraw-Hill Comp<strong>an</strong>ies, Inc. (“McGraw-Hill”). 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In some cases, you c<strong>an</strong> identify forward-look<strong>in</strong>g statements by term<strong>in</strong>ologysuch as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expect,” “pl<strong>an</strong>,” “<strong>an</strong>ticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,”“potential” or the negative <strong>of</strong> these terms or other comparable term<strong>in</strong>ology. All statements (otherth<strong>an</strong> statements <strong>of</strong> historical fact) <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> this document that address activities, events ordevelopments that will or may occur <strong>in</strong> the future, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g such matters as ch<strong>an</strong>ges <strong>in</strong> commodityprices <strong>an</strong>d market conditions (for gold <strong>an</strong>d the Shares), the Trust’s operations, the Sponsor’spl<strong>an</strong>s <strong>an</strong>d references to the Trust’s future success <strong>an</strong>d other similar matters are forward-look<strong>in</strong>gstatements. Investors are cautioned that these statements are only projections. Actual events orresults may differ materially. These statements are based upon certa<strong>in</strong> assumptions <strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong>alysesthe Sponsor made based on its perception <strong>of</strong> historical trends, current conditions <strong>an</strong>d expectedfuture developments, as well as other factors believed appropriate <strong>in</strong> the circumst<strong>an</strong>ces.Whether or not actual results <strong>an</strong>d developments will conform to the Sponsor’s expectations <strong>an</strong>dpredictions, however, is subject to a number <strong>of</strong> risks <strong>an</strong>d uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g, but not limitedto fluctuations <strong>in</strong> the price <strong>of</strong> gold; reductions <strong>in</strong> the amount <strong>of</strong> gold represented by each Sharedue to the payment <strong>of</strong> Trust expenses <strong>an</strong>d the impact <strong>of</strong> the term<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> the fee reductionunder the Trust Indenture; purchas<strong>in</strong>g activity <strong>in</strong> the gold market associated with the purchase <strong>of</strong>Baskets from the Trust; the lack <strong>of</strong> experience <strong>of</strong> the Sponsor <strong>an</strong>d its m<strong>an</strong>agement <strong>in</strong> operat<strong>in</strong>g<strong>an</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment vehicle such as the Trust; un<strong>an</strong>ticipated operational or trad<strong>in</strong>g problems; the lack<strong>of</strong> protections associated with ownership <strong>of</strong> shares <strong>in</strong> <strong>an</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment comp<strong>an</strong>y registered underthe Investment Comp<strong>an</strong>y Act <strong>of</strong> 1940 or the protections afforded by the Commodity Exch<strong>an</strong>geAct <strong>of</strong> 1936; the lack <strong>of</strong> a market for the Shares; the level <strong>of</strong> support from the World <strong>Gold</strong> Council;competition from other methods <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> gold; the impact <strong>of</strong> large-scale distress sales <strong>of</strong>gold <strong>in</strong> times <strong>of</strong> crisis; the impact <strong>of</strong> subst<strong>an</strong>tial sales <strong>of</strong> gold by the <strong>of</strong>ficial sector; the effect<strong>of</strong> a widen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest rate differentials between the cost <strong>of</strong> money <strong>an</strong>d the cost <strong>of</strong> gold; theloss, damage, theft or restrictions on access to the Trust’s gold; the lack <strong>of</strong> adequate sources <strong>of</strong>recovery if the Trust’s gold is lost, damaged, stolen or destroyed, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a lack <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>sur<strong>an</strong>ce;the failure <strong>of</strong> gold bullion allocated to the Trust to meet the London Good Delivery St<strong>an</strong>dards;the failure <strong>of</strong> sub-custodi<strong>an</strong>s to exercise due care <strong>in</strong> the safekeep<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the Trust’s gold; thelimited ability <strong>of</strong> the Trustee <strong>an</strong>d the Custodi<strong>an</strong> to take legal action aga<strong>in</strong>st sub-custodi<strong>an</strong>s; the<strong>in</strong>solvency <strong>of</strong> the Custodi<strong>an</strong>; the Trust’s obligation to reimburse the Purchaser <strong>an</strong>d the Market<strong>Age</strong>nt for certa<strong>in</strong> liabilities <strong>in</strong> the event the Sponsor fails to <strong>in</strong>demnify them; compet<strong>in</strong>g claimsover ownership <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tellectual property rights related to the Trust; <strong>an</strong>d other factors identified <strong>in</strong>the “Risk Factors” section <strong>of</strong> the Prospectus filed with the SEC <strong>an</strong>d <strong>in</strong> other fil<strong>in</strong>gs made by theTrust from time to time with the SEC. Consequently, all the forward-look<strong>in</strong>g statements made <strong>in</strong>this material are qualified by these cautionary statements, <strong>an</strong>d there c<strong>an</strong> be no assur<strong>an</strong>ce thatthe actual results or developments the Sponsor or Market<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Age</strong>nt <strong>an</strong>ticipates will be realizedor, even if subst<strong>an</strong>tially realized, that they will result <strong>in</strong> the expected consequences to, or have theexpected effects on, the Trust’s operations or the value <strong>of</strong> the Shares. Neither the Sponsor, Market<strong>in</strong>g<strong>Age</strong>nt nor <strong>an</strong>y other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy or completeness <strong>of</strong> theforward-look<strong>in</strong>g statements. Neither the Trust, Market<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Age</strong>nt nor the Sponsor is under a dutyto update <strong>an</strong>y <strong>of</strong> the forward-look<strong>in</strong>g statements to conform such statements to actual results orto reflect a ch<strong>an</strong>ge <strong>in</strong> the Sponsor’s or Market<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Age</strong>nt’s expectation or projections.The value <strong>of</strong> the Shares relates directly to the value <strong>of</strong> the gold held by the Trust (less Trustexpenses) <strong>an</strong>d fluctuations <strong>in</strong> the price <strong>of</strong> gold could materially adversely affect <strong>an</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>the Shares.Investors should be aware that there is no assur<strong>an</strong>ce that gold will ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> its long-term value <strong>in</strong>terms <strong>of</strong> purchas<strong>in</strong>g power <strong>in</strong> the future. In the event that the price <strong>of</strong> gold decl<strong>in</strong>es, the Sponsorexpects the value <strong>of</strong> <strong>an</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> the Shares to similarly decl<strong>in</strong>e.Not FDIC Insured <strong>–</strong> No B<strong>an</strong>k Guar<strong>an</strong>tee <strong>–</strong> May Lose ValueShareholders will not have the protections associated with ownership <strong>of</strong> shares <strong>in</strong> <strong>an</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestmentcomp<strong>an</strong>y registered under the Investment Comp<strong>an</strong>y Act <strong>of</strong> 1940 or the protections afforded bythe Commodity Exch<strong>an</strong>ge Act <strong>of</strong> 1936. The Trust is not registered as <strong>an</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment comp<strong>an</strong>yunder the Investment Comp<strong>an</strong>y Act <strong>of</strong> 1940 <strong>an</strong>d is not required to register under such act. Neitherthe Sponsor nor the Trustee is subject to regulation by the CFTC. Shareholders will not have theregulatory protections provided to <strong>in</strong>vestors <strong>in</strong> CEA-regulated <strong>in</strong>struments or commodity pools.<strong>For</strong> more complete <strong>in</strong>formation, please call 866.320.4053 or visit www.spdrgoldshares.com today.State Street Global Markets, LLC, One L<strong>in</strong>coln Street, Boston, MA 02111-2900© 2008 State Street Corporation IBG.GLD.CF.0808.v1

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