Adopted 2014-2021 Housing Element - Garden Grove

Housing Element Needs AssessmentThe data used in this needs assessment has been collected from a variety of sources, including theU.S. Census Bureau (1990 and 2000 Census, 2010 Census, 2006-2010 American CommunitySurvey Estimates), California Department of Finance, and SCAG. In comparison to the 2000Census, the data provided by 2010 Census are limited and in most instances, instead of providing100% population data for demographic factors, provide estimates. Many of these estimates (such asthe 2006-2010 American Community Survey and California Department of Finance data) are shownsolely as percentages, as the raw numbers carry a significant margin of error, especially for smallergeographies such as cities and Census-designated places. Nonetheless, the percentages give ageneral indication of population and employment trends. The information contained in the City’s2012 Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy (CHAS) data is drawn from Census 2010 data.CHAS data are based on special tabulations from sample Census data. Thus, the number ofhouseholds in each category often deviates slightly from 100% due to extrapolations to the totalhousehold level. Because of this, interpretations of CHAS data should focus on proportions andpercentages, rather than on precise numbers.Population and Employment in Garden GroveGarden Grove is similar to many northern Orange County cities in that the City has reached fullbuild-out. Its central location, proximity to regional freeways, and stable residential neighborhoodsmake the City a prime destination for homebuyers. As demand for housing grows in this built-outCity, housing need must be met through private redevelopment efforts, infill development, andneighborhood revitalization.To clarify the type of housing that will be needed to meet future demand, Housing Element lawrequires an assessment of population and employment trends. Population and employmentcharacteristics presented in this section will provide insight regarding housing need in GardenGrove. Characteristics such as age, ethnicity, and employment influence the type and cost ofhousing needed or in high demand in the City. Tracking changes in the City’s demographics canalso help City leaders better respond to or anticipate changing housing demand.Population and Growth TrendsFounded in the late 1800s and incorporated in 1956, Garden Grove has experienced growth curvesthat mirror those of centrally located Orange and Los Angeles county communities. The largestpopulation surge occurred in the 1950s, spurred largely by the arrival of World War II veteranslooking to establish a home. By 1960, Garden Grove had almost 85,000 residents; by 1970, thepopulation crested 120,000. The 2000 Census indicated that the City had attained a population of165,196. Based on data collected for the 2010 Census, the City’s population is now estimated at170,883, with slightly more women (51%) than men (49%). Based on 2010 population estimates,Garden Grove is the twenty-sixth largest city in California and the fifth largest city in OrangeCounty, trailing Santa Ana, Anaheim, Huntington Beach, and Irvine.As Table 1 indicates, the 19% population growth since 1990 was lower than growth at the Countylevel. Population growth since 2000 was similar to that of surrounding cities and lower than thatwithin the County. Center for Demographic Research growth forecasts predict a steady increase inpopulation through 2030 (Figure 1). 2010 projections from the Center for Demographic Researchindicate a 5% growth in population from 2010 to 2020 and an additional 1% growth between 2020and 2030.2014-2021 Housing Element 6 City of Garden Grove