Journal of European Integration History – Revue d'histoire de l'

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56Markus SchulteFigure 3.4: Exports of paper and paper products to the EFTA compared to the 1953-58 trendDM 100050000450004000035000300002500020000150001000050000t 53-58EFTA53-153-354-154-355-155-356-156-357-157-358-158-359-159-360-160-361-161-362-162-363-163-364-164-3quartersThe most remarkable fact in connection with the bad expectations of the Germanindustry is certainly that exports to none of the Seven actually declined or fellmuch below the 1953-58 trend line. This might mostly have been due to the generalgrowth of demand for paper products in the early 1960s. While the growth ofexports to France and Italy was the most impressive, exports to France did notcatch up with the level of exports to the Netherlands, which remained Germany’smost important export market for paper and paper products within the EEC. Moreimpressive than the rising export figures to France were those of imports comingfrom there.Figure 3.5: Exports of paper and paper products to the EEC compared to the 1953-58 trend6000050000t 53-58EEC40000DM 1000300002000010000053-153-354-154-355-155-356-156-357-157-358-158-359-159-360-160-361-161-362-162-363-163-364-164-3quarters
Industrial Interest in West Germany´s Decision 57French paper exports to Germany almost quadrupled between the second quarterof 1959 and the first quarter of 1960. This does not so much reflect the overallrapid growth of demand but rather the efficiency of protective measures appliedbefore. Given that these measures remained in place vis-à-vis the Seven, the slightincrease in imports from there above the 1953-58 trend is most probably mainlydue to the rising demand for paper and paper products throughout all of Europe.Figure 3.6: Imports of paper and paper products form France compared to the 1953-58 trendDM 10002000018000160001400012000100008000600040002000053-153-354-154-355-155-356-156-357-157-358-158-359-159-360-160-361-161-362-162-363-163-364-164-3quarterst 53-58FranceImports from Sweden, the single most important source of German paperimports, were continuously above the 1953-58 trend from 1958. The value of paperimports from Sweden was persistently higher than that of imports from the entireEEC. In 1953 paper imports from the EEC came up to one fourth of imports fromthe Seven, reached one third in 1958 and half the EFTA value in 1964. It is obviousthat the removal of tariff barriers across Europe would have led to similar inroadsinto the German market by the powerful Scandinavian industries, which, at thesame time might have taken up many of the growing export opportunities elsewherein the EEC. The interest of the German paper and paper products industriesneeds hardly any further analysis. The EEC must surely have been perceived asredemption from the hell which a Europe-wide free trade area would have constitutedfor the German paper industry.
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Journal of European Integration History – Revue d'histoire de l'

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