Litteraturstudie - Tidligfasevurdering av prosjekter - Concept - NTNU

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CONCEPTFront-end Management of Major ProjectsSikring av store investeringsprosjekterof feasible responses, and the time available for responses. The paper offers somepractical suggestions for dealing with this problemWaring, A., Glendon, A., Managing Risk, ISBN 1-86152-167-7, Intarnational ThompsonBusiness, England, 1998.This book offers a fresh perspective on the convergence of approaches to managingrisks and includes new developments in current thinking. It provides the firstcomprehensive multidiciplinary model of risk management to incorporate alldimesions of this important topic.Wideman, M., Project &Program Risk Management: A Guide to Managing Project Risk andOpportunities, ISBN 1-880410-06-0, USA, 1992.Brevity and ease of reference make this handbook a useful introduction to risk in theproject or program environment. This book provides a simplified understanding of thenature of project risk and opportunity and a systematic approach to risk reduction.Williams, T., A classified bibliography of recent research relating to project risk management,Department of Management Science, Strathclyde University, Glasgow, UK, EuropeanJournal of Operational Research, 85 (1995).This document contains a bibliography of recent research relating to project riskmanagement, bringing together relevant research scattered across a range ofpublications. It considers how success or failure can be defined for a porject. It looksat the historical evidence of projects, illustrating failure to achieve targets. What riskmeans to a project, and how a project team perceive, identify and quantify risk isconsidered - often the crucial credibility-point in practice. Techniques are discussedfor the analysis of risk, to schedule, cost and technical achievement, both separateanalyses and the first steps towards an integrated analysis. Success for the projectparticipation depends on who bears the risks, and the vital role of risk analysis ininforming the contractual allocation of risk is explored. Finally, the managementstructures and procedures needed to manage risk are discussed.Williams, T. M., Empowerment vs. risk management, University of Stratchclyde, Glasgow,UK, International Journal of Project Management, No.4, 1997.It has become popular to call for employee and project team empowerment. However,this paper shows how this competes with another popular concept, project riskmanagement, particularly in modern complex projects. Implementing bothphilosophies leaves the risk manager with an irreconcilable dissonance. The papersuggests a number of steps this implies, including developing project riskmanagement fraroeworks that inform teams about likely cross-impacts, limiting teamempowerment, and allowing teames to influence decisions. It suggests that a goodstyle for the risk manager to adopt is that known as ’accommodation’.Winston, W, Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization , Indiana University,http://www.palisade.com/html/financial_models.html#ordernowFinancial Models is the most in-depth book written about using @RISK, Evolver andother DecisionTools software products to solve today's complex financial problems.The applications of simulation and optimization in the book are new, novelLitteraturstudium innen tidligfasevurderinger av prosjekter 70
CONCEPTFront-end Management of Major ProjectsSikring av store investeringsprosjekterapproaches to options pricing, portfolio optimization, acquisitions modeling, VAR(value-at-risk).Woodward, David G, Use of sensitivity analysis in build-own-operate-transfer projectevaluation, Sheffield University Management School, Sheffield UK, International Journal ofProject Management, No. 4, 1995.Sensitivity analysis has long been recognised as a useful analytical procedure whenapplied to the financial evaluation of capital projects. Whilst the technique cannotevaluate risk per se, it is nevertheless considered useful in identifying those variahleswhich contrihute most to the overall riskiness of an investment, and in respect ofwhich most attempts at control must therefore be directed. The paper presentsfindings from a survey of the use of sensitiv it y analysis hy the various partiesinvolved in build-own-operate-transfer contracts to iIIustrate the application of thetechnique at the practicallevel to assist in the risk-management process associatedwith major projects. Both the usefulness and limitations of the technique are therebyidentified.Øien, Knut, Risk Control of Offshore Installations, NTNU, Doktor ingeniøravhandling,NTNU, Insitutt for produksjons- og kvalitetsteknikk, Norge, 2001The main objective of this thesis is the development of a framework for theestablishment of risk indicators. These risk indicators provide information about therisk status and can serve as a risk control tool during operation of offshoreinstallations. The indicators can be applied as a tool to measure relative change in riskduring operation of offshore installation, in the periods between updating of the QRA.They cover both technical and organizational aspects important to risk.Øien, Knut, Uncertainty Management in Projects; Theory and Methods, SINTEF Sikkerhet ogpålitelighet, Norge, 2001This paper gives a brief introduction to uncertainty management in projects. Thefocus is on practical theory and methods. Aspects covered are uncertaintymanagement as part of project management, unvertainty in life cycle perspective, theuncertainty analysis process, decisions under uncertainty and contracts as a means tomanage uncertainty. In order to achieve success in future projects the management ofuncertainty through all phases of the porject is of fundamental importance, andsuccess is obtained by continuous focus on both increase of positive effects, andreduction of negative consequenses.Øien, K., Klakegg, O. J., Hokstad, P. R., Rosness, R., Inngangsdata til LCP og bruk AVekspertvurderinger - Håndbok for gjennomføring av ekspertvurderinger, Prosjektstyring år2000, Norge, 1996.Det er utarbeidet en "Håndbok for gjennomføring av ekspertvurderinger" som girretningslinjer for hvordan man kan få eksperter/ressurspersoner til å gi kvantitativeestimater til verdier man mangler statistiske data for. Det er lagt vekt på å gi enhelhetlig oppskrift på hvordan ekspertvurderinger gjennomføres, og derfor er allefasene dekket, men det er ikke gått spesielt dypt inn på noen av trinnene.Litteraturstudium innen tidligfasevurderinger av prosjekter 71
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Litteraturstudie - Tidligfasevurdering av prosjekter - Concept - NTNU

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