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Litteraturstudie - Tidligfasevurdering av prosjekter - Concept - NTNU

Litteraturstudie - Tidligfasevurdering av prosjekter - Concept - NTNU

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CONCEPTFront-end Management of Major ProjectsSikring <strong>av</strong> store investerings<strong>prosjekter</strong>Decision Making Under Uncertainty shows you how to make the best possibledecision given an uncertain environment. The models and techniques in this bookcombine the power of Microsoft Excel and Palisade Corporation’s RISKOptimizeradd-in to find the best answers to problems affected by uncertainty. Geneticoptimization combines with Monte Carlo simulation to provide optimal answers formany difficult, often previously unsolvable, real-world business problems. Topics andexamples covered in the text include:Wright og Ayton, Judgemental Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, ISBN 0-471-91327-8,England, 1987.This book focuses on the role of judgement in the forecasting process. It evaluates theworth of human judgement in forecasting and assesses the potential value ofjudgement made by groups. It also examines the possibility of using mathematicalmodeling to aid or replace judgemental forecasts and ecplores the issures in thegeneration and evaluation of scenarios.Litteraturstudium innen tidligfasevurderinger <strong>av</strong> <strong>prosjekter</strong> 51

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