TRADOC Pam 525-3-7-01 - TRADOC - U.S. Army

TRADOC Pam 525-3-7-01southwest after insertion by Condor joint heavy lift aircraft. By dawn they would be in positionsouth of Pekanbaru ready to begin a coordinated assault on the city with the Marine TF from thenorth.This fictional account presents a very plausible picture of what might occur in future hotspotslike Indonesia, an island nation with the largest Muslim population in the world. Futureadversaries, inspired by earlier successes in failing or failed states, may well arise like Ibn Ander,filling voids and creating states within states with many of the modern trappings illicit fundingcan buy. In this story, the coalition reacts at the request of the legitimate GOI with a lightningfast joint forcible entry operation that rapidly overwhelms the Anderians. It demonstrates anaspect of full spectrum capabilities of the future joint force and the Army operational andfunctional concepts for 2015 to 2024. It also serves to validate the capabilities those conceptscall for to meet the challenges of the future OE.Required CapabilitiesWhile accurately predicting a single future OE remains problematical, the U.S. military mustmaintain the ability to project trends into a range of realistic alternative future OEs.The U.S. military must have the global situational awareness to identify emerging trends asthey originate, track these trends as they develop, and detect changes as they occur. The militarymust increase its own capability to do so, but must be equally diligent in forging relationshipswith international friends and allies, domestic and multinational business and industry,international agencies, academia, law enforcement agencies, and the press, among others.The U.S. military requires a single entity coordinating the national collection and analysis ofthe required information, from which various agencies can access a common data point to whichthey can then apply their unique perspectives and interpretations to meet their specificrequirements.There must be an ability to store and rapidly analyze information. Advanced computingtechnologies must meet the challenge of rapidly sorting, tagging, and retrieving the informationfrom a database and presenting it in a format usable by the human in the loop. Accurate analysisrequires a capability to model the trends, predict their effect over time, and consider theirinteraction with other trends in near-infinite combinations. This is true in the arena of domestictrends as well as international and global trends. For example, the U.S. military will need anability to collect accurate data for use in predictive modeling to determine which demographicgroups are more likely to join and stay in the military.In projecting the trends and examining the conditions of the future global OE, the militarywill refine its capability to anticipate conflict and an advanced modeling capability will help it toinfluence the trends early in hopes of shaping a future OE that avoids that conflict.49