TRADOC Pam 525-3-7-01 - TRADOC - U.S. Army
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TRADOC Pam 525-3-7-01 - TRADOC - U.S. Army

TRADOC Pam 525-3-7-01 - TRADOC - U.S. Army TRADOC Pam 525-3-7-01 - TRADOC - U.S. Army

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13.07.2015 Views

TRADOC Pam 525-3-7-01MNCs constitute 52 of the world’s 100 largest economies, economies greater than one thirdof the world’s nations. 35 The $3 billion of value added annually by each of the top ten MNCsexceeds the gross national products of some 80 member-states of the UN. MNCs contribute to anincreased flow of capital to developing countries—and annually invest more than $1.4 trillion(2004) in international commerce. Their control of capital enables these large corporations toinfluence national policy. With some work forces employing hundreds of thousands of workers,MNCs can exert political and social pressure on nations as well as direct economic pressure. 36MNCs have shown a willingness to accept some of the responsibility that comes with theexercise of power. When governments refused to help, Merck Pharmaceutical distributed freemedicine to treat “river blindness” in Africa and Latin America. 37 In the past 30 years, thenumber of MNCs has increased tenfold. As globalization increases the interdependencies of theglobal market place, the number of MNCs will continue to grow exponentially. Their ability toinfluence national decisions and international activities and their inclination to contribute to theglobal well-being will keep pacewith that growth.Crime occurring outsidetraditional jurisdictions isdiminishing influence of the nationstatesystem. During 2005-2020,organized crime is likely to thrivein resource-rich states experiencingpolitical and economictransformation, such as India,China, Russia, Nigeria, and Brazil.States whose ideology calls forsubstantialgovernmentinvolvement in the economy will beparticularly vulnerable tocorruption. Organized crime willtake advantage of instability infailed and failing states to entrenchtheir activities where there is little or no existing government control. Anti-U.S. sentiment can beanother unifying factor between organized crime and insurgents. Criminal groups will formloose alliances when and where they share mutual interests. Islamic extremist and insurgentgroups will combine legal and criminal activities. For example, the Shebani Network has legalenterprises such as Zam Zam Cola Company, while it smuggles improvised explosive devicesfrom Iran to Shia elements in Iraq. 38 While crime in itself is not a new challenge to the humandimension, its potential for growth in the next decades and the extent to which criminal elementscooperate with weak politicians, insurgents and other agents of instability is a cause for growingconcern in the future OE.A recent trend is the rising influence of so-called “unstructured movements.” Thesemovements, driven simply by a common motivation or shared goal, often lack central leadership.Enabled by globalization and access to advanced IT these movements can grow spontaneously,rapidly spreading their message around the globe. Because of their willingness to use violence38

TRADOC Pam 525-3-7-01and their ability to leverage the international media, the global Islamic insurgency is the bestknown and possibly the most influential today. However, feminist movements, healthmovements, and religious communities achieve similar exposure and success. Sheer numbersand worldwide participation ensure that their concerns are able to influence decision makers inthe political, economic, and social arenas. Continued globalization and access to IT willencourage and enable the formation of many more such movements in the future OE.The competition between these entities and the nation-state and the internal competitionamong these entities can manifest itself in a wide variety of actions. While cooperation andpeaceful competition will most likely remain the norm, there will be instances where thecompetition will result in violent conflict. While these competitions will strengthen legitimateinternational, regional, and national governance, they can conversely leave us with failed orfailing states, ungoverned areas, instability, rogues states, and safe havens for criminal or terroristorganizations. The trends in geo-politics and governance leave the U.S. with many opportunitiesto advance the human condition. The U.S. must successfully meet these challenges to temperglobal chaos.2-4. The Domestic EnvironmentAs a player on the global scene, the U.S. responds to the global trends that shape theinternational political, social, economic, and securityenvironments. At the same time, the U.S. is experiencing When we assumed the Soldier wemany of these same trends internal to our Nation. did not lay aside the citizen.Together, these external and internal influences shape theGeorge Washingtonfuture U.S. domestic environment. This environment inturn, shapes the human capital that forms the human dimension. Appreciation of the futuredomestic environment and its implications for the physical, cognitive, and moral components ofthe human dimension is essential.GlobalizationThe U.S. from the beginning has been one of the drivers of globalization and one of theleading benefactors of its economic and social benefits. There is a real danger that the U.S. islosing its economic and military dominance, and, along with it, its preeminent position as leaderof western civilization. The cold war provided a basis for a clearly articulated national securitypolicy. The competition between the democratic West and the communist, largely Soviet, blocnations motivated the people of the U.S. to become world leaders in S&T, industry,manufacturing, and education. Since our perceived victory in the cold war, the trends havereversed and statistics indicate that we have lost much of this leadership. As global trends raisethe level of the U.S.’ economic, political, and even military competition, the domesticenvironment continues to challenge its ability to meet that competition.39

<strong>TRADOC</strong> <strong>Pam</strong> <strong>525</strong>-3-7-<strong>01</strong>MNCs constitute 52 of the world’s 100 largest economies, economies greater than one thirdof the world’s nations. 35 The $3 billion of value added annually by each of the top ten MNCsexceeds the gross national products of some 80 member-states of the UN. MNCs contribute to anincreased flow of capital to developing countries—and annually invest more than $1.4 trillion(2004) in international commerce. Their control of capital enables these large corporations toinfluence national policy. With some work forces employing hundreds of thousands of workers,MNCs can exert political and social pressure on nations as well as direct economic pressure. 36MNCs have shown a willingness to accept some of the responsibility that comes with theexercise of power. When governments refused to help, Merck Pharmaceutical distributed freemedicine to treat “river blindness” in Africa and Latin America. 37 In the past 30 years, thenumber of MNCs has increased tenfold. As globalization increases the interdependencies of theglobal market place, the number of MNCs will continue to grow exponentially. Their ability toinfluence national decisions and international activities and their inclination to contribute to theglobal well-being will keep pacewith that growth.Crime occurring outsidetraditional jurisdictions isdiminishing influence of the nationstatesystem. During 2005-2020,organized crime is likely to thrivein resource-rich states experiencingpolitical and economictransformation, such as India,China, Russia, Nigeria, and Brazil.States whose ideology calls forsubstantialgovernmentinvolvement in the economy will beparticularly vulnerable tocorruption. Organized crime willtake advantage of instability infailed and failing states to entrenchtheir activities where there is little or no existing government control. Anti-U.S. sentiment can beanother unifying factor between organized crime and insurgents. Criminal groups will formloose alliances when and where they share mutual interests. Islamic extremist and insurgentgroups will combine legal and criminal activities. For example, the Shebani Network has legalenterprises such as Zam Zam Cola Company, while it smuggles improvised explosive devicesfrom Iran to Shia elements in Iraq. 38 While crime in itself is not a new challenge to the humandimension, its potential for growth in the next decades and the extent to which criminal elementscooperate with weak politicians, insurgents and other agents of instability is a cause for growingconcern in the future OE.A recent trend is the rising influence of so-called “unstructured movements.” Thesemovements, driven simply by a common motivation or shared goal, often lack central leadership.Enabled by globalization and access to advanced IT these movements can grow spontaneously,rapidly spreading their message around the globe. Because of their willingness to use violence38

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