Cohort crowding: how resources affect collegiate attainment

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Table 4: Regression of BA degrees per capita on cohort size,Comparison between Census and Institutional data1990 Census 2000 Census1954-87 Degree years 1954-96 Degree years1932-1965 Birth cohorts 1932-1974 Birth cohorts(1) (2) (3) (4)Census-based share born in state with BA on year of birth population variableLn Pop Coefficient -0.26 -0.11 -0.24 -0.13(0.05) (0.03) (0.03) (0.05)Institutional BA / Pop 18 on population 18 variableLn Pop Coefficient -0.34 -0.97 -0.29 -0.80(0.09) (0.09) (0.07) (0.08)State Effects Yes Yes Yes YesYear Effects Yes Yes Yes YesState Trends No Yes No YesNotes: In the top row, Columns (1)-(2) use observations by year and state of birth from the 1990Census and Vital Statistics measures of birth cohort size; Columns (3)-(4) use observations byyear and state of birth from the 2000 Census and Vital Statistics measures of birth cohort size.The second row corresponds to results in Table 2, with the difference that dependent variable ismeasured as the log of the ratio of BA degrees to cohort size rather than the log of the number ofBA degrees.31
Table 5: Regressions of revenue variables on populationCoefficient on Ln Population 18Explanatory Variable (1) (2)Ed & General Expenses 0.49 0.25(0.09) (0.10)State Appropriations 0.58 0.43(0.11) (0.13)Federal Revenue 0.27 0.04(0.19) (0.22)Tuition and Fee Revenue 0.61 0.26(0.08) (0.12)State Fixed Effects Y YYear Fixed Effect Y YState Trends N YNotes: Data extend from 1950-1996 (even years pre 1966). See Data Appendix for source notes.32
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Page 7: education, including a mix of commu
Page 14: elative to cohort size) was more se
Page 17 and 18: Explaining the Divergence between R
Page 19 and 20: appropriate measures. Where there a
Page 22: analysis is whether results we attr
Page 27 and 28: ReferencesBaker, Michael, Dwayne Be
Page 29 and 30: Figure 1: Public university adjustm
Page 31 and 32: Table 1: Distribution of revenues,
Page 33: Table 3: Regression of total enroll
Page 37 and 38: Table 7: Effects of cohort size on
Page 39 and 40: and “Opening Fall Enrollment.”
Page 41 and 42: Primary-secondary school quality me
Page 43 and 44: GeorgiaIdahoLn Inst BA degrees10.21
Page 45 and 46: NebraskaNevadaLn Inst BA degrees9.2
Page 47: TexasUtahLn Inst BA degrees11.16719

Cohort crowding: how resources affect collegiate attainment

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