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Acta Theriologica 53 (2): 121–127, 2008.PL ISSN 0001–7051<strong>Changes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>distribution</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong><strong>dens</strong> <strong>and</strong> cub numbers <strong>in</strong> central Pol<strong>and</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g rabiesvacc<strong>in</strong>ationJacek GOSZCZYÑSKI, Magdalena MISIOROWSKA <strong>and</strong> Sebastian JUSZKOGoszczyñski J., Misiorowska M. <strong>and</strong> Juszko S. 2008. <strong>Changes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong><strong>and</strong> <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>distribution</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong> <strong>dens</strong> <strong>and</strong> cub numbers <strong>in</strong> central Pol<strong>and</strong>follow<strong>in</strong>g rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ation. Acta Theriologica 53: 121–127.Increases <strong>in</strong> <strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong> Vulpes vulpes (L<strong>in</strong>naeus, 1758) numbers <strong>and</strong> <strong>dens</strong>itieshave been found <strong>in</strong> all European countries <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ationprogram. In Pol<strong>and</strong>, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong>es has <strong>in</strong>creased steadily s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>1990s. Between 1999–2000, <strong>the</strong> average <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong>es reached 1.3–2 <strong>in</strong>d./km 2<strong>in</strong> some parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country. The aim <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> study was to estimate <strong>the</strong> change<strong>in</strong> <strong>fox</strong> population <strong>dens</strong>ities <strong>in</strong> central Pol<strong>and</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g 1980–2006, <strong>and</strong> to assess<strong>the</strong> effect <strong>the</strong>se changes have had on <strong>the</strong> <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>distribution</strong> <strong>of</strong> natal <strong>dens</strong>,mean numbers <strong>of</strong> cubs observed at occupied <strong>dens</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> sedentary/nomadic<strong>fox</strong> ratio. Estimations <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong> population <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> <strong>and</strong> numbers were based onthree methods: (1) counts <strong>of</strong> tracks <strong>in</strong> snow, (2) locations <strong>of</strong> natal <strong>dens</strong> <strong>and</strong>counts <strong>of</strong> cubs, <strong>and</strong> (3) <strong>the</strong> battue (driv<strong>in</strong>g) method. The three methods <strong>of</strong>assessment were used cont<strong>in</strong>uously <strong>in</strong> our study area over a period <strong>of</strong> 25years. Average yearly results were analysed <strong>and</strong> comparisons made between<strong>the</strong> periods before <strong>and</strong> after implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> anti-rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ation.The results obta<strong>in</strong>ed with all three methods show a significant <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><strong>fox</strong> population, when <strong>the</strong> two analysed periods are compa<strong>red</strong>. Increases <strong>in</strong> <strong>fox</strong>population <strong>dens</strong>ities correlated with <strong>in</strong>creased numbers <strong>of</strong> breed<strong>in</strong>g sitesbe<strong>in</strong>g located outside forests, from only s<strong>in</strong>gle ones <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1980s to 24% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>total <strong>in</strong> 2005. The average number <strong>of</strong> cubs per occupied den decreased significantly(by 11%) <strong>in</strong> comparison with before <strong>the</strong> anti-rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ationperiod. The great <strong>in</strong>crease (more than 100%) <strong>in</strong> <strong>fox</strong> numbers observed us<strong>in</strong>g<strong>the</strong> battue (driv<strong>in</strong>g) method suggest, that nomadic animals can form animportant part <strong>of</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ter population <strong>in</strong> our study area.Department <strong>of</strong> Forest Protection <strong>and</strong> Ecology, Warsaw University <strong>of</strong> Life Sciences, Warsaw, Pol<strong>and</strong>,Nowoursynowska 159 Str., 02-776 Warsaw, Pol<strong>and</strong>, e-mail: Magdalena.Misiorowska@wl.sggw.plKey words: Vulpes vulpes, <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong>, <strong>distribution</strong> <strong>of</strong> breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>dens</strong>, cub numbers,rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ationIntroductionThe elim<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> rabies via a nationwidevacc<strong>in</strong>ation program is likely to have major impactson <strong>the</strong> dynamics <strong>of</strong> <strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong> Vulpes vulpes(L<strong>in</strong>naeus, 1758) populations. An <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>fox</strong>numbers <strong>and</strong> population <strong>dens</strong>ities has beenfound <strong>in</strong> all European countries participat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>[121]


Response <strong>of</strong> <strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong> to rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ation 1231. Count<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> tracks on snowIn w<strong>in</strong>ter, <strong>in</strong>dices <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong> abundance were obta<strong>in</strong>ed fromsnow track<strong>in</strong>g conducted on transects. The first half <strong>of</strong>February, when mat<strong>in</strong>g season occurs, was excluded fromtrack<strong>in</strong>g. These transects were walked by observers with<strong>in</strong>1–2 days <strong>of</strong> new falls <strong>of</strong> snow. The <strong>in</strong>dex <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong> <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> usedwas <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong> trails cross<strong>in</strong>g 1 km <strong>of</strong> transect perday (n tracks/1 km/24 hrs) calculated as a mean for <strong>the</strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter season. The yearly mean length <strong>of</strong> transects <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>first period (1979–1995) was 90 km <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> second(1996–2006) was 54.6 km.2. Estimation <strong>of</strong> natal <strong>dens</strong>At <strong>the</strong> beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> spr<strong>in</strong>g, an attempt was made to locateall <strong>dens</strong> present <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> study area. Although <strong>the</strong> locations<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> <strong>dens</strong> were already known due toearlier <strong>in</strong>vestigations, several new <strong>dens</strong> were found everyyear. Information obta<strong>in</strong>ed from hunters, farmers <strong>and</strong> foresterswas also checked. The identification <strong>of</strong> natal <strong>dens</strong>was based on <strong>the</strong> presence <strong>of</strong> animal tracks at <strong>the</strong> entrances<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> close proximity to burrows. O<strong>the</strong>r signs <strong>of</strong> animalpresence taken <strong>in</strong>to account were: carrion rema<strong>in</strong>s <strong>and</strong> remnants<strong>of</strong> prey, faeces <strong>of</strong> cubs <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> typical odour. Thecounts <strong>of</strong> cubs were performed at natal <strong>dens</strong> <strong>in</strong> May <strong>and</strong>June. An attempt was made to observe <strong>dens</strong> for long enoughto count all cubs appear<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong> surface. If necessary, observationswere repeated over subsequent days. In case <strong>of</strong>absence <strong>of</strong> cubs <strong>in</strong> a den, irrespective <strong>of</strong> unquestionablesigns <strong>of</strong> animal presence, neighbor <strong>dens</strong> were also checkedto register <strong>the</strong> facts <strong>of</strong> carriage <strong>of</strong> young.3.ThebattuemethodIn late autumn (October, November) <strong>and</strong> early spr<strong>in</strong>g(March), driv<strong>in</strong>g censuses (aimed at estimat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong><strong>of</strong> roe deer <strong>and</strong> hare populations) were undertaken <strong>in</strong> localforests by <strong>the</strong> staff <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Department <strong>of</strong> Zoology <strong>and</strong> GameManagement <strong>and</strong> students <strong>of</strong> Warsaw Agricultural University.Each forest compartment to be censused was surroundedby observers who stationed <strong>the</strong>mselves 50–100 mapart (to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> visual contact). The observers alongthree sides <strong>of</strong> an estimated compartment rema<strong>in</strong>ed stationary,while those along <strong>the</strong> fourth side moved <strong>in</strong>ward <strong>and</strong>went through <strong>the</strong> entire area. The observers (both stationary<strong>and</strong> mov<strong>in</strong>g) noted animals pass<strong>in</strong>g through <strong>the</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong>observers <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> closed area be<strong>in</strong>g censused. This method<strong>of</strong> animal count<strong>in</strong>g excluded duplication <strong>of</strong> measurements(Pucek et al. 1975). Apart from hares <strong>and</strong> roe deer, <strong>the</strong> <strong>fox</strong>espresent <strong>in</strong> an area were also noted.The three methods <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong> <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> assessment presentedhave been used cont<strong>in</strong>uously on our study area for <strong>the</strong> last25 years. Average yearly results were compa<strong>red</strong> between<strong>the</strong> periods before <strong>and</strong> after <strong>the</strong> anti-rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ation programwas implemented.Student’s t-test <strong>and</strong> test for comparison <strong>of</strong> two percentages(Bailey 1995) were applied <strong>in</strong> statistical analyses.Results <strong>and</strong> discussionThe results obta<strong>in</strong>ed with all three studymethods showed a significant <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>fox</strong>population, when <strong>the</strong> two analysed periods wereTable 1. <strong>Changes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> <strong>in</strong>dices <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>fox</strong> populations before (1980–1995) <strong>and</strong> after (1996–2005) <strong>the</strong> onset <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> rabiesvacc<strong>in</strong>ation program, as calculated by <strong>the</strong> three different methods (Rogów, central Pol<strong>and</strong>). 1 – Goszczyñski 1989, J. Goszczyñski,unpubl.; 2 – Data from Department <strong>of</strong> Forest Protection <strong>and</strong> Ecology, Agricultural University <strong>of</strong> Warsaw; 3 –Goszczyñski 1989, Lach 1991; 4 – Jackowski 1999, Juszko 2005 <strong>and</strong> this paper.Mode <strong>of</strong> estimation <strong>and</strong> estimated areaParametersCompa<strong>red</strong> periods1980–1995 1996–2005tpSnow track<strong>in</strong>gs – whole terra<strong>in</strong> Number <strong>of</strong> seasons analyzed 14 7Total length <strong>of</strong> snow track<strong>in</strong>g (km) 1244.70 383.00Mean <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> (n tracks/km/24 hrs) 5.86 1 11.01 4.85 < 0.001SD 1.78 2.82Driv<strong>in</strong>g censuses – forests only Number <strong>of</strong> seasons analyzed 12 9Total surface <strong>of</strong> driv<strong>in</strong>g censuses (km 2 ) 21.04 29.87Mean <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> (n <strong>in</strong>ds./km 2 ) 1.22 2 2.58 2 2.86 < 0.05SD 1.08 1.28Number <strong>of</strong> <strong>dens</strong> with cubs – whole terra<strong>in</strong> Number <strong>of</strong> seasons analyzed 12 7Total number <strong>of</strong> <strong>dens</strong> with young 112 105Yearly mean <strong>of</strong> <strong>dens</strong> with young 9.33 3 15.00 4 4.41 < 0.001SD 1.70 3.55


124 J. Goszczyñski et al.50Before vacc<strong>in</strong>ationmean = 3.79, SD = 1.07, n = 5240301518Percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>dens</strong> (%)2010050403061 2 3 4 5 6After vacc<strong>in</strong>ationmean = 3.39, SD = 0.99, n = 592219103208810021 2 3 4 5 6Number <strong>of</strong> cubs at denFig. 2. Change <strong>in</strong> number <strong>of</strong> young <strong>fox</strong>es observed at natal <strong>dens</strong> before (1980–1995) <strong>and</strong> after (1996–2005) rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ationsprogram <strong>in</strong> Rogów (central Pol<strong>and</strong>). Figures above columns denote <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> observed litters with given numbers <strong>of</strong> cubs.compa<strong>red</strong>. The <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> snow track<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>dex was 88%, that <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> average number<strong>of</strong> natal <strong>dens</strong> was 66%, <strong>and</strong> that <strong>in</strong> <strong>fox</strong> numberscounted with <strong>the</strong> battue method <strong>of</strong> 110%(Table 1).In <strong>the</strong> period after <strong>the</strong> anti-rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ationprogram commenced, a decrease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> averagenumber <strong>of</strong> cubs per den was observed (Fig.2). The average number <strong>of</strong> cubs decreased significantlyby 11% (t = 2.03, df = 109, p < 0.05). Onlyoccasionally were litters with numerous cubsfound, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> numbers never exceeded five.This probably reflects <strong>in</strong>creased competitionamong pai<strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong>es for food <strong>and</strong> habitats. A decrease<strong>in</strong> reproductivity <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong>es result<strong>in</strong>g from<strong>in</strong>creased <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> was also found by Voigt <strong>and</strong>Macdonald (1984).The <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>fox</strong> population <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> correlatedwith numbers <strong>of</strong> breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>dens</strong> locatedoutside forests. Before <strong>the</strong> vacc<strong>in</strong>ation programstarted, nearly all breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>dens</strong> were <strong>in</strong> forests(with <strong>the</strong> exception <strong>of</strong> three out <strong>of</strong> 112). After <strong>the</strong>vacc<strong>in</strong>ation, <strong>the</strong> mean number <strong>of</strong> natal <strong>dens</strong>outside forests (<strong>in</strong> ab<strong>and</strong>oned gravel pits, haystacks,railway scarps <strong>and</strong> orchards) <strong>in</strong>creasedsignificantly to 13.3% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total (t = 3.08,p < 0.01, test for comparison <strong>of</strong> two percentagesBailey 1995). This <strong>in</strong>crease cont<strong>in</strong>ued such that,


Response <strong>of</strong> <strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong> to rabies vacc<strong>in</strong>ation 125Table 2. Mean annual cull <strong>of</strong> <strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong>es <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> study area <strong>and</strong> its vic<strong>in</strong>ity (2001–2005).Monitor<strong>in</strong>g districtArea (ha)Mean annual culln n/km 2Brzez<strong>in</strong>y 6000 11.8 0.20Regny 9000 34.4 0.38Cietrzew 8300 30.4 0.36Study area 8900 64.2 0.72<strong>in</strong> 2004–2005, 24% <strong>of</strong> all breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>dens</strong> wereoutside forest (Misiorowska 2005). In Pol<strong>and</strong> at<strong>the</strong> turn <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1970s, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong>breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>dens</strong> located outside forest was low,even <strong>in</strong> territories with limited forest cover(Pielowski 1976, Goszczyñski 1985, Go³dyn et al.2003). However, by <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1990s, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>Czempiñ area, (where <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> afforestationdoes not exceed 6%), almost 83% <strong>of</strong> breed<strong>in</strong>gsites were located outside <strong>the</strong> forest (Panek <strong>and</strong>Bresiñski 2002). In ano<strong>the</strong>r study, a high <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong><strong>of</strong> <strong>fox</strong>es (2.2 <strong>in</strong>d./km 2 ) <strong>and</strong> a large number <strong>of</strong>natal <strong>dens</strong> were reported from a farml<strong>and</strong> area<strong>in</strong> Wielkopolska (Go³dyn et al. 2003). The <strong>in</strong>creaseduse <strong>of</strong> breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>dens</strong> located <strong>in</strong> anagricultural l<strong>and</strong>scape may <strong>in</strong>dicate pr<strong>of</strong>oundchanges <strong>of</strong> habitat use by <strong>fox</strong>es, <strong>and</strong> adaptationto a human-modified environment (Bresiñski<strong>and</strong> Panek 2000, Tryjanowski 2000, Panek <strong>and</strong>Bresiñski 2002).Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last five years <strong>the</strong> average <strong>fox</strong>numbers at <strong>the</strong> beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> hunt<strong>in</strong>g seasonwas approx. 80 <strong>in</strong>d. This number was estimatedon <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> annual number <strong>of</strong> natal <strong>dens</strong> (15),mean number <strong>of</strong> cubs per den (3.4), <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>number <strong>of</strong> adult <strong>fox</strong>es per occupied den (2). Thisvalue slightly exceeded an average annual hunt<strong>in</strong>gbag <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> same period (approx. 64 per year).It could be expected that such a high hunt<strong>in</strong>gpressure resulted <strong>in</strong> a decrease <strong>in</strong> <strong>fox</strong> numbers<strong>and</strong> <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g year. However, <strong>in</strong>every subsequent w<strong>in</strong>ter, <strong>fox</strong> <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong> rema<strong>in</strong>edstable or even <strong>in</strong>creased: from 12.7 tracks/km/24hrs to 13.49 <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2000/2001 <strong>and</strong> 2004/2005hunt<strong>in</strong>g seasons respectively. Similarly, <strong>in</strong> everysubsequent spr<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> occupied family<strong>dens</strong> showed an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g trend (Misiorowska2005). This suggests that <strong>in</strong>truders fromneighborhood nearby formed an important part<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> local population <strong>in</strong> our study area <strong>in</strong>autumn-w<strong>in</strong>ter. Probably, dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> autumn<strong>and</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ter, young <strong>fox</strong>es dispersed from adjo<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>gterra<strong>in</strong>s, where hunt<strong>in</strong>g pressure waslower (Table 2).Similar observations <strong>of</strong> compensation forpopulation wastage due to <strong>in</strong>tensive shoot<strong>in</strong>gwere described by Reynolds et al. (1993), Côté<strong>and</strong> Su<strong>the</strong>rl<strong>and</strong> (1997) <strong>and</strong> Vos (2003). Intruderslead a nomadic life, <strong>and</strong> use forests as naturalshelter dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> day. As a rule, <strong>the</strong>se <strong>fox</strong>escirculate around <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>side occupied territories,not us<strong>in</strong>g exist<strong>in</strong>g, occupied <strong>dens</strong> as temporaryrefuges. In effect, some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se animals stayabove ground dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> day. The results with<strong>the</strong> battue (driv<strong>in</strong>g) method applied <strong>in</strong> forestconfirm this suggestion: <strong>the</strong> greatest <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><strong>fox</strong> numbers, <strong>of</strong> more than 100%, was found forthis. The battue method is <strong>the</strong> best <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> threeused to assess numbers <strong>of</strong> nomadic animals. Incases <strong>of</strong> high <strong>fox</strong> mortality (eg with <strong>in</strong>tensiveshoot<strong>in</strong>g), some nomadic animals eventually occupyvacated territories <strong>and</strong> stabilize <strong>the</strong> wholepopulation (Jasja et al. 2001, Vos 2003).Our results may also have practical implicationsfor hunt<strong>in</strong>g management. An <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>fox</strong>popuation is regarded as <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> reason for <strong>the</strong>decrease <strong>in</strong> small game populations (Panek et al.2006). However, <strong>the</strong> successful <strong>red</strong>uction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><strong>fox</strong> population over areas cover<strong>in</strong>g only severaldozen square kilometres, as <strong>in</strong> case <strong>of</strong> our studyarea, is not possible, if shoot<strong>in</strong>g pressure on adjo<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>gareas is low. From a game managementpo<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> view, <strong>the</strong> goal should <strong>the</strong>refore lie <strong>in</strong> an<strong>in</strong>tensive <strong>and</strong> coord<strong>in</strong>ated <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>fox</strong> cull<strong>in</strong>g


126 J. Goszczyñski et al.<strong>in</strong> areas <strong>of</strong> at least several hund<strong>red</strong>s, or severalthous<strong>and</strong>s, <strong>of</strong> square kilometres. This is especiallyimportant on account <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> high dispersionrange <strong>of</strong> young <strong>fox</strong>es, even exceed<strong>in</strong>g severaldozen kilometres (Zimen 1984, Trewhella et al.1988, Allen <strong>and</strong> Sargeant 1993).Acknowledgements: The English version <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> text was revisedby J. Richards.ReferencesAllen S. H. <strong>and</strong> Sargeant A. B. 1993. Dispersal patterns <strong>of</strong><strong>red</strong> <strong>fox</strong>es relative to population <strong><strong>dens</strong>ity</strong>. The Journal <strong>of</strong>Wildlife Management 57: 526–533.Aubert M., Vuillaume P. <strong>and</strong> Masson E. 1993. 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