256 ~ NOTES14. Interview with Pino Arlacchi in Davos, January 1999.15. Interview with Arif, Kabul, May 1997.16. Interview with Jan, Kabul, May 1997.17. UN Demining office for Afghanistan. For several years the UN and otherNGOs said there were more than ten million mines in Afghanistan. In 1997 theysaid that is an exaggerated figure, which at current clearance rates of mines wouldtake 5,000 years to clear. The World Bank is now funding a more detailed surveybut it is estimated that several thousand square miles of land are still mineinfested. Only 19 per cent of that area, mostly in major cities, was cleared between1992 and 1999.18. Interview with Cestari, Islamabad, June 1997.NOTES ~ 25719. AFP, 'Suspected Bin Laden supporters held in Mauritania', 5 March 1999.20. AFP, 'Osama bankrolled Egypt's Jihad', 15 February 1999.21. AFP, 'Kashmir militant group issues Islamic dress order', 21 February 1999.Pakistani diplomats grew increasingly concerned about the activities of the Wahabbisin Kashmir. Interviews with diplomats, Islamabad March 1999.22. Time magazine, 'Interview with Bin Laden', 11 January 1999.23. Interviews with senior Pakistani officials, Islamabad, December to March1998-99. See also Mcgirk, Tim 'Guest of Honour', Time magazine, 31 August1998.24. Time magazine, 'Interview with Bin Laden', 11 January, 1999.25. Interviews with senior US diplomats, Islamabad January 1999.Chapter 101. Interviews with Pakistani cabinet ministers who served under Zia.2. Roy, Olivier, Afghanistan, from Holy War to Civil War, Princeton <strong>University</strong><strong>Press</strong> 1995.3. Roy, as above.4- Huntington, Samuel, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking ofWorU Order,Simon and Schuster, New York 1996.5. Personal interviews with Bin Laden's friends in Saudi Arabia and London in1992,1993 and 1999.6. AFP, 'Laden planned a global Islamic revolution in 1995,' 27 August 1998.7. Al-Ahram, 'Interview with Masud', by Yahya Ghanim, 19 August 1997.8. Giacomo, Carol, 'US lists Saudi businessman as extremist sponsor', WashingtonPost, 14 August 1996.9. AFP, 'Bin Laden training young Islamists, alleges Egypt', 18 February 1997-10. Hiro, Dilip, 'Islamic militants, once encouraged by the US, now threaten it',the Nation, New York, 15 February 1999.11. Time magazine, 'Interview with Bin Laden', 11 January 1999.12. Time magazine, 'Inside the hunt for Osama', 21 December 1998.13. Newsweek magazine, 'Making a symbol of terror', 1 March 1999. Thearticle, using US sources, disputes that Bin Laden was involved in all these terroristacts.14- Interviews with Algerian and Egyptian diplomats and politicans in Islamabadin 1992-93.15. Global Intelligence Update, 'Bangladesh Movement highlights new Pan-Islamicidentity', 27 January 1999.16. Global Intelligence Update, 'Possible Bin Laden group attempts transit throughMalaysia', 13 January 1999.17. Reid, Tim, 'Yemeni kidnappings were revenge for Iraq bombing', Daily Telegraph,3 January, 1999. The FBI claimed that the Yemenis had lap-top computersand communication equipment and were directly in touch with Bin Laden.18. AFP, 'Bin Laden may be targeting Bangladesh', 19 February 1999.Chapter 111. Interview with President Niyazov by the author, Ashkhabad, December 1991.2. US Energy Department, "The Caspian Sea Region', October 1997.3. Rashid, Ahmed, 'The new Great Game - the Battle for Central Asia's Oil,'Far Eastern Economic Review, 10 April 1997.4. Rashid, Ahmed, The Resurgence of Central Asia, Islam or Nationalism? ZedBoob, London 1994.5. Verrier, Anthony, Francis Younghusband and the Great Game, Jonathan Cape,London 1991.6. Rubin, Barnett, 'Russian hegemony and state breakdown in the periphery:Causes and consequences of the civil war in Tajikistan', in Rubin, Barnett andSynder, Jack, Post Soviet Political Order, Conflict and State Building, Routledge,London 1998.7- Barnett, as above.8. Allworth, Edward, The Modem Uzbeks from the 14 A Century to the Present,Hoover Institute <strong>Press</strong>, 1990.9. In 1989 unemployment in Turkmenistan stood at 18.8 per cent, infant mortalitywas 54 per one thousand rising to 111 per one thousand in some desert regionsor ten times higher than in Western Europe, child labour was widespread and 62per cent of the population suffered from jaundice or hepatitis due to the inadequatehealth system. A quarter of the hospitals had no running water or electricity.See Rashid, Ahmed: The Resurgence of Central Asia, Islam or Nationalism?10. Interview with Kuhyev, Ashkhabad, December 1991.11. During the first three years (1998-2000), 58 per cent of the gas supplied willgo towards paying Iran for the US$190 million construction costs of the pipeline.Exports from Korpedzhe, which reached 2 bcm/year in late 1998, were projectedto rise to 8 bcm/year in 2000.12. The consortium was led by PSG International, a joint venture by two UScompanies Bechtel Enterprises and General Electric Capital Structured FinanceGroup.
258 NOTES13. The Japanese company Mitsubishi and the US company Exxon are preparinga feasibility study.14. Pettifer, James, The Turkish Labyrinth - Alaturk and the New Islam, PenguinBooks 1997.15. Petroleum Finance Company, "The Baku-Ceyhan Pipeline,' Washington,May 1998.16. The Tenghiz-Chevroil joint venture is the single largest US-led investmentin the former Soviet Union. It groups Chevron, Mobil and Arco through LukArcogiving US companies a 72 per cent share. The Tenghiz-Chevroil ProductionSharing Contract was signed in September 1993.17. AIOC is led by BP-Amoco and includes US companies Amerada Hess,Exxon, Pennzoil and Unocal widi a total US share of 40 per cent. The other companiesare Statoil, Itochu, Delta-Hess, Ramco, Socar and TPAO.18. It costs about US$5 dollars to produce a barrel of Caspian oil compared toUS$1.5 a barrel for Saudi Arabia. Transport costs would add another US$5 perbarrel.19. American Jewish groups such as B'nai B'rith and the American Jewish Congresstook a strong public stance against Iran.20. Interview in Tehran, 26 April 1998.21. The Australian company BHP and Royal Dutch Shell were separately keento build such a pipeline and BHP presented a feasibility study to Iran and Pakistanin 1998. The gas would be pumped from Iran's South Pars field in the Gulf.22. The two major Western consortia which presently produce oil in Central Asiaare both dominated by US companies. The Tenghiz field in western Kazakhstan(Chevron/Mobil 70 per cent) and the Azerbaijan International Operating Company(Amoco/Unocal/Pennzoil/Exxon 40 per cent) in the Caspian Sea, couldpotentially produce 1.4 milion barrels per day by 2010. Other ventures such asKarachagnak field in Kazakhstan with a 20 per cent Texaco share and Mobil'sstake in Turkmenistan will also need export outlets.23. Interview with Lakhdar Brahimi, Lahore 8 April 1998.24- Kinzer, Stephen, 'Caspian Competitors in race for power on sea of oil', NewYork Times, 24 January 1999.25. Csongos, Frank, "Official outlines US policy,' RFE/RL Newservice, 18 March1999.Chapter 121. I interviewed Carlos Bulgheroni in Islamabad in June 1997 over several daysand again on 30 January 1999 in Davos, Switzerland. Both times we spoke extensivelyon and off the record. I believe these are the only times he has spoken to ajournalist at length on the Afghanistan pipeline. All the following quotes fromBulgheroni are drawn from these two interviews.2. Interview with Sureda, Islamabad, 27 February 1997.3. Interview with Zardari, Islamabad, 1 May 1995.NOTES ~ 2594. The Qatar proposal was an undersea pipeline across the Gulf to Baluchistan.The Australian company BHP proposed to build an overland gas pipeline fromsouthern Iran to Baluchistan.5. Interviews with Pakistani diplomats, Islamabad, June 1996.6. Interview with Bridas executives, Islamabad, 27 February 1997.7. Kissinger's comments were quoted to me by Bridas executives in IslamabadFebruary 1997. The interview with Olaciregul was at the same time.8. Interview with Tudor, Islamabad, 27 February 1997.9. Interview with De La Rosa, Ashkhabad, 22 January 1997.10. Moscow became more amenable in April 1996, but only after Chevron gaveRussia a 24 per cent stake in the consortium to build a US$1.5 billion pipelineto transport Tenghiz oil to Novorossiysk on the Black Sea. Mobil later bought a25 per cent stake in Chevron's Tenghiz lease.11. Those hired by the oil companies working in the Caspian included ZbigniewBrzezinski, a former NSC Adviser, former Assistant Defence Secretary RichardArmitage, former Chief of Staff John Sununu, former Senate majority leaderHoward Baker, former Secretaries of State Lawrence Eagleburger and Henry Kissinger.12. The working group included officials from the Departments of State, Energy,Commerce, CIA and the NSC.13. Interview with diplomat, Ashkhabad, January 1997.14- Hunter, Shireen, Central Asia since Independence, Praeger 1996.15. Interview with Olcott, Ashkhabad, 27 May 1997.16. Talbott, Strobe, 'Deepening US engagement with the States of Central Asiaand the Caucasus: A Roadmap for the Future,' speech delivered in Washington,21 July 1997.17. Case No. 94144 deposited in the District Court of Fort Bend County, Texas.Bridas Corporation, plaintiff v Unocal Corporation, Marty Miller, and Delta OilCompany Ltd, defendants.18. Letter sent by John Imle to Carlos Bulgheroni on 11 October 1995 and submittedin court by Bridas. The letter stated 'that Unocal should look solely to theGovernment regarding potential pipeline projects from Turkmenistan to Pakistanand that the Government has not entered into any agreements, which wouldpreclude or interfere in any way with any pipeline projects being discussedbetween Unocal and Turkmenistan'.19. Interview with John Imle, Davos, Switzerland 31 January 1999.1 had sent 30questions to Imle and he gave me written answers to some of them and answeredothers verbally.20. I interviewed the aide and the cabinet minister on separate occasions in Januaryand February 1997. I also interviewed Benazir Bhutto about the incident,which she confirmed but would not be quoted.21. Dobbs, Michael, 'Kabul's fall to end the anarchy,' Washington Post, 29 September1996. Senator Brown, in his capacity as Chairman of the Senate ForeignRelations Subcommittee on the Near East and South Asia, had invited all theAfghan warlords to Washington for a three-day round table discussion June 25-
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