Group - L. Possehl & Co. mbH

Group - L. Possehl & Co. mbH Group - L. Possehl & Co. mbH

02.12.2012 Views

Segment and Company-specific risks As a conglomerate, the Possehl Group is active in various sectors with disparate risk profiles and degrees of risk. The main potential risks encountered by the individual divisions are as follows: Production: For all segments, intense competition creates permanent pressure to reduce production costs. This applies particularly to the Electronics division and our engineering businesses. In addition, a further fall in the US dollar could impair the earnings of the Electronics division. In some divisions, there is also a certain dependency on individual large customers. Our aim is to reduce existing dependencies further by acquiring new customers and so broadening the customer base. Trading: The trading companies are exposed to price risks on one hand, but also to procurement risks on the other. Especially trade barriers in the form of tariffs and quotas can harm the trading business. We manage this risk via our global presence, long-term supplier relationships, a broad customer base, and a high degree of diversification. The dependence on the steel industry is mitigated by developing new businesses in the plastics, dyes, and paint industries. The resulting diversification of risks also applies to the default risk of receivables, which are further limited by hedging instruments, particularly commercial credit insurance. Price fluctuations are reduced by extensive use of back-to-back transactions. 28 Employee risks The success of the Possehl Group is critically dependent on the expertise and commitment of all employees. Retaining new employees and know-how are fundamental components of our personnel policy. Targeted employee development and continuing education are an additional emphasis. Our managers and management trainees also benefit from the Possehl Academy. Macroeconomic risks We expect moderate global economic growth for 2008, although probably below the level of the previous year. As a result of the cooling of the US economy, the risks of less favorable growth for the global economy have noticeably increased. In addition, the danger exists of continued increases in energy prices, which would put pressure on purchasing power. The unfavorable development of the global economy can have a negative impact on the financial and earnings position of the Possehl Group. overall assessment: No Existential risks for the Possehl Group The risk position of the Possehl Group has not substantially changed during the reporting period. The Group’s continued broad diversification leads to a balance of risks between individual divisions within the company. From today’s perspective, no risks can be identified which could endanger the Possehl Group’s continued existence.

EPort oN SUBSEqUENt EvENtS, oPPortUNitiES, aNd forECaStS Particular Events after the Balance Sheet date There have been no events requiring disclosure since the start of the year. orientation of Possehl Group and Probable development GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, FORECAST FOR 2008 Change over previous year in real terms in % Germany 1.9 Eurozone 2.2 USA 1.8 East Asia (excluding China, India, and Japan) 4.4 China 10.7 Total global economy 4.5 Source: Kiel Institute for the World Economy – World Economy in Winter 2007 Predictions for the development of the global economy in 2008 are quite varied. While some anticipate continued robust growth, others are increasingly pointing to signs of global recession. It can be assumed that growth in the industrial countries will slow perceptibly. In particular, signs are gathering for a serious and sustained recession for the US economy. Economic expansion in the Eurozone could also slow. The EU Commission has lowered its growth forecast for the Eurozone in 2008 to 1.8 %. A similar trend is likely for Germany. China and India, however, are turning out to be the new drivers of the global economy. The catch-up requirements of these countries presumably will provide significant economic stimulus in the future as well. Letter from the Executive Board Company Boards Report of the Controlling Boards Successful over the Long Term Group Management Report Consolidated Financial Statements Further Information Thanks also to the internationally oriented strategic positioning of Possehl, we see a good chance for continued growth for the Group over the long term. Assuming an unchanged portfolio of businesses, we expect that consolidated sales and the consolidated result from ordinary operations will remain at a similar high level in 2008 as in the previous year. Through the restructuring measures taken last year in the Textile Finishing Systems, Elastomer Processing, and Electronics divisions, which were linked to a reduction in employees, we have created the foundation to achieve our targeted rates of return and insured against the effects of a possible economic downturn. In the years ahead, the Possehl Group will continue to maintain its fundamental orientation toward profitable and sustainable growth. In the future, we will exploit opportunities presented by acquisitions in existing divisions and also in new business areas. We assume that company purchase prices will decline to an appropriate level and scarce and expensive credit will improve our chances to make acquisitions. Moreover, strategies will be developed and implemented in collaboration with the management of our subsidiaries to expand our sound positions in individual markets. The once again improved and generally extremely solid capitalization and financial position of the Possehl Group and its parent company form a solid foundation for pursuing this growth strategy with resolve in the future. 29

EPort oN SUBSEqUENt EvENtS,<br />

oPPortUNitiES, aNd forECaStS<br />

Particular Events after the Balance Sheet date<br />

There have been no events requiring disclosure since the start of<br />

the year.<br />

orientation of <strong>Possehl</strong> <strong>Group</strong> and Probable development<br />

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, FORECAST FOR 2008<br />

Change over previous year in real terms in %<br />

Germany 1.9<br />

Eurozone 2.2<br />

USA 1.8<br />

East Asia (excluding China, India, and Japan) 4.4<br />

China 10.7<br />

Total global economy 4.5<br />

Source: Kiel Institute for the World Economy – World Economy in Winter 2007<br />

Predictions for the development of the global economy in 2008<br />

are quite varied. While some anticipate continued robust growth,<br />

others are increasingly pointing to signs of global recession. It can be<br />

assumed that growth in the industrial countries will slow perceptibly.<br />

In particular, signs are gathering for a serious and sustained recession<br />

for the US economy. Economic expansion in the Eurozone could also<br />

slow. The EU <strong>Co</strong>mmission has lowered its growth forecast for the<br />

Eurozone in 2008 to 1.8 %. A similar trend is likely for Germany. China<br />

and India, however, are turning out to be the new drivers of the global<br />

economy. The catch-up requirements of these countries presumably<br />

will provide significant economic stimulus in the future as well.<br />

Letter from the Executive Board<br />

<strong>Co</strong>mpany Boards<br />

Report of the <strong>Co</strong>ntrolling Boards<br />

Successful over the Long Term<br />

<strong>Group</strong> Management Report<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsolidated Financial Statements<br />

Further Information<br />

Thanks also to the internationally oriented strategic positioning of<br />

<strong>Possehl</strong>, we see a good chance for continued growth for the <strong>Group</strong><br />

over the long term. Assuming an unchanged portfolio of businesses,<br />

we expect that consolidated sales and the consolidated result from ordinary<br />

operations will remain at a similar high level in 2008 as in the<br />

previous year. Through the restructuring measures taken last year in<br />

the Textile Finishing Systems, Elastomer Processing, and Electronics<br />

divisions, which were linked to a reduction in employees, we have<br />

created the foundation to achieve our targeted rates of return and<br />

insured against the effects of a possible economic downturn.<br />

In the years ahead, the <strong>Possehl</strong> <strong>Group</strong> will continue to maintain<br />

its fundamental orientation toward profitable and sustainable growth.<br />

In the future, we will exploit opportunities presented by acquisitions<br />

in existing divisions and also in new business areas. We assume that<br />

company purchase prices will decline to an appropriate level and scarce<br />

and expensive credit will improve our chances to make acquisitions.<br />

Moreover, strategies will be developed and implemented in collaboration<br />

with the management of our subsidiaries to expand our sound<br />

positions in individual markets.<br />

The once again improved and generally extremely solid capitalization<br />

and financial position of the <strong>Possehl</strong> <strong>Group</strong> and its parent company<br />

form a solid foundation for pursuing this growth strategy with resolve<br />

in the future.<br />

29

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