aviation statistics & data - Airports Council International

ACI Airport Statistics and Forecasting WorkshopAVIATION STATISTICS & DATA: A VITAL TOOLFOR THE DECISION MAKING PROCESSNarjess TeyssierICAOChief Economic Analysis & Policy SectionLondon, 3 rd March 2011

Monitoring air transport development:Statistics, analysis and forecastsSafetyMARKETANALYSESFORECASTINGSustainableAir transportDevelopmentEnvironmentSecuritySTATISTICSICAO : an independent and reliable source of information on civil aviation matters

Civil Aviation : the global picture2.5 Billion passengers

ICAO Statistics ProgrammefoundationsAir TransportCommitteeStatisticsDivisionCouncilStatisticsPanelAssemblyChicago Convention (Art. 54, 55, and 67)Each contracting State undertakes that itsinternational airlines shall, in accordance withrequirements laid down by the Council, file with theCouncil traffic reports, cost statistics and financialstatements showing among other things all receiptsand the sources thereof.Assembly Resolutions (A37-20,App. B): Whereas the development of ICAO’s validationand storage Integrated Statistical Databaseprovides Contracting States and otherusers with an efficient online system forthe retrieval of statistical data; Requests the Council, calling on nationalexperts in the relevant disciplines asrequired, to examine on a regular basis thestatistical data collected by ICAO and etc…5

Aviation statistics collection,dissemination and use : a value chain

12 existing reporting formsCOMMERCIAL AIR CARRIERS STATISTICS A Commercial air carrier traffic by carrier A-S Total traffic of all commercial air carriers of a State B On-Flight Origin and Destination C Traffic by Flight Stage D Fleet and Personnel EF Financial DataAIRPORTS I Airport traffic by airport I-S Total traffic of all the airports in the territory of a State J Financial dataAIR NAVIGATION SERVICES PROVIDERS K Financial data L TrafficCIVIL AIRCRAFT ON REGISTER H Number of aircraft in the register7

Most popular seriesMatch Multi-Stage and single LegOFODpaxA - B 120A - C 50A - D 30B - C 80B - D 25C - D 60TOTAL 365Flight StagesA - B B - C C - D12050 5030 30 308025 2560200 185 5008

STA/10 Outputs23-27 Nov 2009: Tenth Session of the Statistics Division (STA/10)RECOMMENDED AMENDMENTS IN THE CURRENT AIRTRANSPORT REPORTING FORMS:PARTIAL REMOVAL OF THE OFOD PUBLICATION RESTRICTIONSA DOPTION OF A STATISTICAL CLASSIFICATIONPOSTING OF A LIST OF WORLDWIDE LCCSNEED TO NOMINATE DGCA´S FOCAL POINTS FOR STATISTICS, ETC..RECOMMENDED NEW DATA COLLECTIONS ANDPROCESSES IMPLEMENTATIONTo implement a form on aviation personnel licenses and trainingTo introduce a new collection process on fuel consumption bycommercial air carriersETC…

Some general comments“ICAO secure site is very important for ICAO membershipcountries…there they can find many important and useful information’’“The content is quite useful. The reason it doesn't score higher is the confusinglayout and difficulty finding what you want.“Very frustrating when trying to access data at an aggregated level.”“Data has proven not to be particularly helpful as at times quite unreliable”“Great source of air transport information, very useful for data analyses.”“I find it invaluable for my research so I am sure my peers would find itequally useful”“Very useful information…the data collected and disseminated byICAO are very useful to the Aviation Statistics Centre of Canada asthey complement our own aviation programme”

Usage of the dataExternal usersCarry out air transport industryanalysis and market studiesProduce reports for internalcustomersData from ICAO are most often usedto carry out industry analysis and market studies79%32%Internal usersProduce reports for externalcustomers27%Carry out air transport industryanalysis and market studies62%Import ICAO data into owndatabaseUse to help generate sales /business leads16%23%Produce reports for internalcustomers71%Academic purposes11%Produce reports for externalcustomers26%Spontaneous responseOther4%Import ICAO data into owndatabase25%Other: To construct a model,To understand safety issuesOther11%Security & Safety analysesForecastsBilateral negotiations

Users´ OpinionExternal usersInternal usersFair18%Poor4%Excellent29%Fair14%Poor2%Excellent18%Good49%Good66%Around 80% rate both sites as excellent or good

Rating of different types of informationaccording to importanceInternal & External usersAirline and airport traffic statistics are equally essential for most respondentsEssential Important (but not essential) Not useful (but I am interested) Not useful or interestingAirline Traffic Statistics66% 23% 10%Airline Traffic Statistics by route (Origin / Destination)55%32%12%1%Airline Traffic Statistics by route (Traffic by Flight stage)43%37%18%2%Airline Financial Results30%32%29%9%Airline Fleet Information - Utilisation32%39%24%5%Airline Fleet Information - Fleet size30%42%25%3%Airport traffic information65%26%8% 1%Airport financial information10%27%35%6%Airline Personnel and remuneration statistics18%31%36%15%

Suggested Improvements to both sitesNew data collection: Up-to-date Bilateral AirServices Agreements (ASAs)Fuel consumption by a/c type CO2 emissions by air carrierCountry breakdown onincidents and accidentsTraffic statistics for GeneralAviationAdditional information requested: ICAO training programmes scheduleList of focal points in each DGCAGeneral comments referred to improving the qualityof data already available by:•.Completing and updating the missing data for airlinesand airports (for consistency purposes)• Providing the recent years for airlines dataData processing: Improve set up and layout of thewebsites, seen as old-fashionedand not user friendlyInclude pictures, graphs, etc.. Send emails to users every timenew data are available Install an online application thatmake calculation easier”

Layout and data processingCurrent layout of the statistics site

The projected new ICAO data website

ICAO Statistics ProgrammeWhy do we need Statistics?1 – Monitor ICAO Strategic ObjectivesAir travel safety ratesThe environmental impact on air transportThe sustainability of air transport development

Fuel consumption and efficiency evolutionFuel burn7065605550454035302520Fuel consumed (USG)AAGR 1998-2008+2.5 %AAGR 1998-2008-1.7 %Lts per 100 ATK1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Source: ICAO based on OAG timetable19

Regional traffic overview for 2010North AmericaIntal Traffic: 6.2%Dom Traffic: 1.5%Latin AmericaIntal Traffic: 11.4%Dom Traffic: 15.9%EuropeIntal Traffic: 6.7%Dom Traffic: 12.2%Middle EastIntal Traffic: 21%Dom Traffic: 3.6%Asia PacificIntal Traffic: 12.9%Dom Traffic: 15.1%WorldTraffic: 8%Capacity: 3.7%Load Factor: +2 PtAfricaIntal Traffic: 10%Dom Traffic: 4%

Traffic recovery started in 2010,despite the volcanic ash impactWorldNorth AmericaMiddle EastLatin AmericaEuropeAsia-PacificAfricaRegional traffic* growth forecasts4.4%Preliminary 2010 Forecast 2011 Forecast 20120 2 4 6 8 10 12RPKs Growth in %*Traffic of airlines domiciled in each region expressed in RPKsSource: ICAO2000-2010averagegrowth

ICAO Statistics ProgrammeWhy do we need Statistics?1 – Monitor ICAO Strategic ObjectivesAir travel safety ratesThe environmental impact on air transportThe sustainable air transport development2 – Analyse the air transport market3– Assess the impact of new regulations

Air transport conducted under liberal arrangementsAs a % of international scheduled servicesFrequencies60%50%40%30%20%10%Number of frequenciesNumber of country-pair routesCountry pairs50%40%30%20%10%Source : ICAO0%1995 1999 2004 20090%

Toward more consolidation: Alliances,Airlines´ mergers and acquisitionsMost well-known Non Aligned airlines3 Major alliances grouping : more than 60% of the worldwide scheduled traffic

© ICAO All rights reserved.This document and all informationcontained herein is the sole property ofICAO. No intellectual property rights aregranted by the delivery of this document orthe disclosure of its content. Thisdocument shall not be reproduced ordisclosed to a third party without priorpermission of ICAO. This document and itscontent shall not be used for any purposeother than that for which it is supplied.The statements made herein are based onthe mentioned assumptions and areexpressed in good faith. Where thesupporting grounds for these statementsare not shown, ICAO will be pleased toexplain the basis thereof.