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Guidance on Integrating Climate Change and Biodiversity into ...

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stage, but may be extended <strong>into</strong>the following stages ofassessment.case studies in Annex 4 of theguidance.Regi<strong>on</strong>alEc<strong>on</strong>omyEnvir<strong>on</strong>mentInput Output(REEIO)Resources<strong>and</strong> EnergyAnalysisProgramme(REAP)Riskmanagementelements of a project <strong>and</strong>envir<strong>on</strong>mental outcomes, <strong>and</strong>that these can be identified.This enables the identificati<strong>on</strong>of acti<strong>on</strong>s that may achievedesired objectives, such asreduced impact orenhancement.Within SEA it is particularlyuseful in relating n<strong>on</strong> materialelements of a PP (such asfunding or managementopti<strong>on</strong>s) to specificenvir<strong>on</strong>mental impact.The Regi<strong>on</strong>al Ec<strong>on</strong>omyEnvir<strong>on</strong>ment Input OutputModel is a powerful decisi<strong>on</strong>support tool used to assesstheenvir<strong>on</strong>mentalimplicati<strong>on</strong>s of producti<strong>on</strong>within a regi<strong>on</strong>.The model was the mainoutput from the REWARDproject <strong>and</strong> is nowmaintained by CambridgeEc<strong>on</strong>ometricsREAP is a software tooldeveloped by the StockholmEnvir<strong>on</strong>ment Institute.In additi<strong>on</strong> to managing datato quantify GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s<strong>and</strong> other indicators ofresource use REAP can beused as a scenariodevelopment tool.Subscripti<strong>on</strong> is required.When c<strong>on</strong>sidering climatechange it is particularly usefulto frame potential impacts interms of the probability <strong>and</strong>magnitude of impacts. Thesetwo comp<strong>on</strong>ents make uprisk.This can be achieved byc<strong>on</strong>sidering the probability ofimpact (e.g. how likely is itthat sea level rise will impact<strong>on</strong> a PP) in relati<strong>on</strong> to themagnitude of the impact(what would be the likelyREEIO links ec<strong>on</strong>omic activity in 42industrial sectors to envir<strong>on</strong>mentalcomp<strong>on</strong>ent. Using eitherCambridge Ec<strong>on</strong>ometrics regi<strong>on</strong>alec<strong>on</strong>omic forecasts or a userdefined scenario, it allows the userto measure <strong>and</strong> compare theenvir<strong>on</strong>mental impact of ec<strong>on</strong>omicdevelopment. The model providesannual comprehensive projecti<strong>on</strong>sto 2020 for a wide range ofindicators.REAP can be used to answercertain questi<strong>on</strong>s related tounderst<strong>and</strong>ing the envir<strong>on</strong>mentalc<strong>on</strong>sequences of ec<strong>on</strong>omicactivity. These include:• How do we account for theresource use associated witheverything people buy <strong>and</strong> use?• How do we track complexproduct supply chains?• How do we calculate, attribute<strong>and</strong> report results in a c<strong>on</strong>sistentfashi<strong>on</strong>?• How do we relate this topopulati<strong>on</strong>s at different spatialscales <strong>and</strong> over time?• How do we explore whereresource savings can be madeboth in producti<strong>on</strong> efficiency<strong>and</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> patterns?Thinking in terms of probability<strong>and</strong> magnitude within an SEA caninform the stakeholders as to thevulnerability of a PP <strong>and</strong> thereforethe necessity of adaptati<strong>on</strong>measures (what alternatives areavailable) <strong>and</strong> what m<strong>on</strong>itoring isrequired to enable adaptivemanagement.http://www.camec<strong>on</strong>.com/AnalysisTraining/suite_ec<strong>on</strong>omic_models/Reeio/ReeioOverview.aspxTool website:http://www.resourceaccounting.org.uk/Vulnerability <strong>and</strong> climatechange:http://www.metrovancouver.org/planning/<strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong>/<strong>Climate</strong><strong>Change</strong>Docs/Vulnerability_climate_change.pdfIAIA’s risk management advice:http://www.iaia.org/iaiawiki/ra.ashx<str<strong>on</strong>g>Guidance</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> integrating climate change <strong>and</strong> biodiversity <strong>into</strong> SEA 67

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