Table 6: Examples of headline climate change <strong>and</strong> biodiversity issues to c<strong>on</strong>sider as part of SEAs• degradati<strong>on</strong> of ecosystem services<strong>Climate</strong> change mitigati<strong>on</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> change adaptati<strong>on</strong> <strong>Biodiversity</strong>• energy dem<strong>and</strong> in industry • heat waves (including impact <strong>on</strong>• freeze-thaw damage 20• energy dem<strong>and</strong> in housing <strong>and</strong>c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>human health, damage to crops,forest fires, etc.)• loss of habitats, fragmentati<strong>on</strong>(including the extent or quality of• GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s in agriculture • droughts (including decreased the habitat, protected areas,• GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s in waste water availability <strong>and</strong> quality <strong>and</strong> including Natura 2000 sites,managementincreased water dem<strong>and</strong>)habitat fragmentati<strong>on</strong> or• travel patterns <strong>and</strong> GHG • flood management <strong>and</strong> extreme isolati<strong>on</strong>, as well as the impactsemissi<strong>on</strong>s from transportrainfall events<strong>on</strong> the processes which are• GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s from energy • storms <strong>and</strong> high wind (including important for the creati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong>/orproducti<strong>on</strong>damage to infrastructure, maintenance of ecosystems)• l<strong>and</strong> use, l<strong>and</strong>-use change, buildings, crops <strong>and</strong> forests) • loss of species diversity (includingforestry <strong>and</strong> biodiversity• l<strong>and</strong>slidesspecies protected under the• sea level rise, extreme storms, Habitats <strong>and</strong> Birds Directives)coastal erosi<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> saline • loss of genetic diversityintrusi<strong>on</strong>• cold spellsThis is <strong>on</strong>ly an indicative list, it is not comprehensive. The issues <strong>and</strong> impacts that will be relevant toany particular SEA will depend up<strong>on</strong> the specific circumstances <strong>and</strong> c<strong>on</strong>text of each PP (e.g. the typeof PP, the sector covered, its locati<strong>on</strong>, scale <strong>and</strong> the characteristics of the receiving envir<strong>on</strong>ment,instituti<strong>on</strong>al <strong>and</strong> governance arrangements, etc.). Therefore this secti<strong>on</strong> should be used just as astarting point for c<strong>on</strong>sidering what issues <strong>and</strong> impacts may be relevant. The level of certainty of theprojected changes listed in Table 6 will also vary, <strong>and</strong> some changes may be more certain thanothers. Annex 1 <strong>and</strong> the sources of informati<strong>on</strong> in Annex 2, as well as relevant nati<strong>on</strong>al <strong>and</strong> localinformati<strong>on</strong>, should help determine which are the relevant key climate change <strong>and</strong> biodiversityissues (see also the discussi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> the use of scenario, vulnerability assessment, etc. below <strong>and</strong> inSecti<strong>on</strong> 5).This informati<strong>on</strong> can be used during both the scoping <strong>and</strong> screening stages to help identify whichclimate change <strong>and</strong> biodiversity issues <strong>and</strong> impacts might be most relevant to an SEA of a particularPP. Some key questi<strong>on</strong>s are provided to help a reader think through which might be most relevant ina specific situati<strong>on</strong>. It may be useful to explore these questi<strong>on</strong>s with stakeholders with an interest orexpertise in climate change or biodiversity.4.2 Identifying the key climate change issuesThe starting point is likely to involve c<strong>on</strong>sidering climate change scenarios, al<strong>on</strong>g with socioec<strong>on</strong>omicscenarios, <strong>and</strong> what the implicati<strong>on</strong>s of these could be for the PP. Key issues of c<strong>on</strong>cernare likely to be around GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s for mitigati<strong>on</strong>, <strong>and</strong> adaptati<strong>on</strong> measures needed to deal withanticipated impacts resulting from climate change. Note that the mitigati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> adaptati<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>cernswill need to be appropriate to the level at which the PP is operating <strong>and</strong> will have an influence <strong>on</strong>/beinfluenced by.20 Freeze-thaw weathering is a form of physical weathering, comm<strong>on</strong> in mountains <strong>and</strong> glacial envir<strong>on</strong>ments, caused by the expansi<strong>on</strong> ofwater as it freezes. This process also applies to infrastructure materials, e.g. c<strong>on</strong>crete. <strong>Climate</strong> change is projected to bring moreunpredictable winter weather in some parts of the world, increasing the frequency of freeze-thaw cycles. As this happens, roads, railways,water networks, etc. will suffer problems <strong>and</strong> increased maintenance costs. (adapted from: Talk Talk, <strong>and</strong> Weathering of buildingInfrastructure <strong>and</strong> the changing climate: adaptati<strong>on</strong> opti<strong>on</strong>s (Auld H., Klaassen J., Comer N., 2007)32 <str<strong>on</strong>g>Guidance</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> integrating climate change <strong>and</strong> biodiversity <strong>into</strong> SEA
For climate change, in particular, it will be important to c<strong>on</strong>sider early in the SEA process not just theimpacts of the PP <strong>on</strong> climate <strong>and</strong> climate change, but also the impact of a changing climate <strong>on</strong> the PP<strong>and</strong> its implementati<strong>on</strong>. The examples of key questi<strong>on</strong>s therefore guide you through both of theseaspects (see Tables 7 <strong>and</strong> 8):• How may the climate be affected by implementing the PP in terms of GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s?• How may the implementati<strong>on</strong> of the PP be affected by climate change, including the need toadapt to a changing climate <strong>and</strong> the impact of extreme events? The use of spatial data (see boxbelow) could be very useful to address this questi<strong>on</strong>.Case study:SEA of Masterplan for Kijkduin, the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s − identifying climate risksThis case illustrates the use of spatial data to identify climate changerisk exposure. To obtain a first indicati<strong>on</strong> of the degree to whichclimate effects are important in an area, a mapping tool has beendeveloped in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s — the <strong>Climate</strong> Effect Atlas. It is meantto make climate impact data available nati<strong>on</strong>wide in a simple <strong>and</strong> fastway, via an interactive website, all based <strong>on</strong> the same assumpti<strong>on</strong>s<strong>and</strong> prec<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s.Source: <strong>Climate</strong> Effects Atlas (in Dutch),DHV (in Dutch), <strong>Climate</strong> Impact Atlas promotes the use of climateinformati<strong>on</strong> in policy making (<strong>Climate</strong> Research Netherl<strong>and</strong>s —Research Highlights, 2009) (in English)Example map for salt intrusi<strong>on</strong>Table 7: Examples of key questi<strong>on</strong>s for identifying climate change mitigati<strong>on</strong> issuesMain c<strong>on</strong>cerns related to:Key questi<strong>on</strong>s that could be asked at the screening <strong>and</strong>/or scoping stage of the SEAEnergy dem<strong>and</strong> in industry • Will the proposed PP increase or decrease dem<strong>and</strong> for energy in industry?• Does the PP encourage or limit opportunities for low carb<strong>on</strong> businesses <strong>and</strong>technologies?Energy dem<strong>and</strong> in housing<strong>and</strong> c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>• Will the PP increase or decrease dem<strong>and</strong> for c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> of housing <strong>and</strong> for energyuse in housing?GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s inagricultureGHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s in wastemanagementTravel patterns <strong>and</strong> GHGemissi<strong>on</strong>s from transportGHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s fromenergy producti<strong>on</strong>• Will the PP increase or decrease generati<strong>on</strong> of methane (CH 4 ) <strong>and</strong> nitrous oxide(N 2 O) in agriculture?• Will the PP increase or decrease use of nitrogen in fertilising practices?• Will the PP adversely affect or protect carb<strong>on</strong> rich soils?• Will the PP increase waste generati<strong>on</strong>?• Will the proposed PP influence the waste management system?• How will these changes affect emissi<strong>on</strong>s of CO 2 <strong>and</strong> CH 4 from waste management?• Can the PP increase pers<strong>on</strong>al travel — the number <strong>and</strong> length of journeys <strong>and</strong> themode of travel? Will it entail a shift from more-polluting to less-polluting modes oftravel (e.g. from pers<strong>on</strong>al cars to public transport or from buses to electric trains)?• Can the PP significantly increase or decrease freight transport emissi<strong>on</strong>s?• How can the PP enhance or stimulate the provisi<strong>on</strong> of sustainable transportinfrastructure or technologies — for instance electric vehicle charging points, LPGfuel, hydrogen fuel cells?• Will the PP increase or decrease energy c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>?• How will these changes in energy dem<strong>and</strong> affect the energy supply mix?• What implicati<strong>on</strong>s will this change in energy supply have <strong>on</strong> GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s fromenergy producti<strong>on</strong>?Forestry <strong>and</strong> biodiversity • What opportunities could the PP give for carb<strong>on</strong> sequestrati<strong>on</strong> via investment inforestry <strong>and</strong> biodiversity?<str<strong>on</strong>g>Guidance</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> integrating climate change <strong>and</strong> biodiversity <strong>into</strong> SEA 33